They're back. With three zero values, no less.

If no detections are reported later, 4 weeks with zero detections will be a first since these data are reported (since October 2020).

They're back. With three zero values, no less.

If no detections are reported later, 4 weeks with zero detections will be a first since these data are reported (since October 2020).

of the total viral load, it might explain the pattern.

Interestingly, the infectieradar survey, which does not contain kids, also had a long stretch of very low incidences.

I'd guess so.

We see the current minimum in ww a factor 2-3 below the former inter-wave minima. It now runs below sentinel detections (which should contain kids given that they come from GPs and Pediatricians).

If older age groups are "resistant" and kids anyway make up only a small fraction...

Given the high hospitalisation incidences of the 0-4 and 5-14 age groups, I would have expected them rising beyond reported cases in the age group. But I found high agreement.

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I looked at the age-stratified hospitalisation figures and compared to reported cases:

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Yes, Stefan Pöhlmann was on the ball, early-on

Yeah, compare the inane statements to the quality of your work or those of your peers.

Would be interested in the reference! In Perth it was constantly overrepresented in clinical specimens as compared to wastewater. We wondered about severity, in general, but kids were never mentioned.

They should have some data about age groups, after all the time.

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The statement I copied is from December, but was cited April 2. In the last months, a plethora of statements by "experts" about "no evidence for bla bla", while epidemiologically most interesting things happen. Really pathetic.

Or when 19% of 65+ deaths were missing for half a year and everybody was happy because of the miraculously low mortality "after" Covid.

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The poorer the data, the more empty the "no evidence for change" statements.

All this, while for the first time, since the advent of Omicron, BA.3.2 shows appreciable and remarkable phenotypic change, for better or worse.

The intellectual inertia of some putative experts is quite astounding.

Thank you. We see historically low viral loads (for Omicron), below previous inter-wave minima. It fell below the GP sentinel (comprising data from pediaters and general practitioners), possibly linked to BA.2 stongly rising in proportion.

Regarding your argument: Possibly, the fact that still one third of <1 are BA.3.2 and that age group has very high hospitalisation incidences (independent of BA.2) accounts for the whole-population result in the figure? Very hard to say much without stratification.

Austrian SARI hospital admissions (which are not SARI but Covid diagnoses) run parallel with German hospital SARI, RKI Grippeweb, Swiss GP sentinel data - no shifts discernible, to date. Swiss GP sentinel correlates with viral load in ww. So roughly, not much to see yet, on this population level.

Switzerland has no real time hospital data at all and has destroyed its Covid flu hospital sentinel, can you imagine.

They have such a large difference betw. low incidence periods and wave peaks (presumably because they undertest in summer) that short time differences are impossible to determine.

I don't understand the units in your statement. My best guess at infection hospitalisation rates is about 0.2% - 0.3% at high testing, based on comparing my infection incidence calibrations to German Covid SARI hospitalisation incidence sentinel data. Trend is somewhat lowering since 2022.

Sorry typo above, I meant at their BA.3.2 maximum.

When he talks he lies. It’s practically synonymous.

However, Ryan’s point that one should expect lower admissions rates in the whole-population figure at equal severity when BA.3.2 is so overrepresented in youth.

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Yes, I presume NSW notifications or German reported cases (or getting sequenced) represent rather severe presentations.

The German admissions, age-stratified, did not detach in children at their BA.2 maximum, suggesting the fall is in older ages, too.

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Maybe similar to NSW?

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A NEW PHASE OF SARS-COV-2 EVOLUTION?

The evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has followed a familiar pattern: new variants emerged, spread rapidly across the globe, and replaced their predecessors - triggering successive waves of infection.

‘He talks too much’: how Trump’s erratic commentary is the real block to an Iran deal US president’s contradictory statements only make Tehran more wary of anything but the most watertight deal

Morons will be morons.

www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

Quite vexing that surveillance has gotten so poor that this cannot be readily determined.

FWIW, in the Scottish age-stratified data, test positivities rose along with admission incidences. During the German BA.3.2 maximum, cases (from ED visits?) to admissions, age-stratified, remained stable.

Excess mortality (65+) in Switzerland, data until April 12th.

The longterm summer week median trend based expectations continue to outperform the FSO expectation.

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At least in Northern Ireland, it seems to have gone through the children fast. Wonder how much immunity it created.

It's funny how people tend to ignore the evidence for rather high incidences (absolute, not relative variant fraction size) in children. Respectively, alternatively, virulence. A bit myopic, isn't it.