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Posts by David Watson

Yes, sorry, I couldn’t figure out how to find his Reddit post in my history.

But yea, getting the format right requires synthetic data, and given the outsized influence of fine tuning on behavior, it’s important to get it right

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

Ah, I found your Reddit post with answers. I really liked the suggestion from one of the commenters to try translating user queries into Victorian English

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

Wait, how did you get it to follow a standard chat-style question answer format without any modern text for fine tuning?

3 weeks ago 3 0 1 0
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@idothethinking.bsky.social I’m curious if you have an update on open.substack.com/pub/darrello... given the new stats. Seems like you were correct that policing was inefficient, but fare evaders were causing real problems

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

The takeaway for me was that for anything important is still getting human translation, it’s just that tons of other stuff used to also require human translation, and that market is going away fast.

7 months ago 1 0 0 1
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How human translators are coping with competition from powerful AI Productivity is up and real wages are down, but humans are still in the game.

This is a really interesting subject. Here’s a great article including interviews with some professional translators.

www.understandingai.org/p/how-human-...

7 months ago 0 0 2 0
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@dieworkwear.bsky.social Dumb question: what about a collar gap without the jacket.

10 months ago 1 0 0 0
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With Jamie Dimon out there lying about wage stagnation, I'm reminded of what @mattyglesias.bsky.social said about his message discipline: Dimon is never foolish enough to talk about the issue he actually cares about: lower taxes on the rich.

10 months ago 1 0 0 0

But how will the penguins open the packaging without opposable thumbs?

11 months ago 0 0 0 0

We're not getting SB 677, but presumably SB 79 was the more important one I hope?

11 months ago 10 0 1 0

So maybe she’s not open to changing her mind? 😟

11 months ago 0 0 0 0

Owens thinks she may not hold these beliefs strongly and could be convinced to turn back these positions.

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
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Oh yea, gotta try some movies

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Waymo has had dozens of crashes—almost all were a human driver's fault Human drivers keep crashing into Waymos that aren't even moving.

Great article on Waymo safety by @binarybits.bsky.social, who has IMO the best reporting on self-driving cars out there

1 year ago 23 5 2 0
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Sake barrels, Tokyo, 2018

Sake barrels, Tokyo, 2018

I tried a straight-on version of that photo, but I'm not sure I prefer it.

1 year ago 1 0 1 0

It’s good to personally support things that are morally right but unpopular.
But I voted for Obama and was proud to do so even though he opposed gay marriage.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Who’s “everyone”? Didn’t Trump oppose this back when the bill was passed? He’s willing to break the law on funding USAID, he’s willing to break the law on this too.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0

He already reneged on a bet on COVID no? With Sam Harris I think?

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
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Amazing end to the episode this week @matt-levine.bsky.social

Waited the whole episode to understand the title, but it was a satisfying answer.

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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What a great metaphor on the AI Summer podcast @deanwb.bsky.social is quoting Aidan McLaughlin, I have no idea if it’s accurate, but it got the point across.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
I bet NO here because what Google actually said is: we will make this change when the Geographic Names Information System (GNIS) makes this change. The headlines make that sound like it's a done deal, but GNIS, which is maintained by USGS, is a database, not an agency, and it follows the guidance of the Foreign Names Committee of the US Board of Geographic Names. They have in no way signaled that they are going to support this change. In fact, opposite: 
There are major roadblocks to renaming the Gulf of Mexico, according to Leo Dillon, the former chair of the Foreign Names Committee. He said that the committee’s procedures allow only one name for high seas, and it usually reflects the most commonly used name.
It's possible these folks will cave to political pressure, but keep in mind these are geographers, not politicians. They have a professional stake in making decisions like this rationally, not politically. Remember the last time around when Trump tangled with librarians? My bet is that unless these folks are truly circumvented, GNIS will not change.

I bet NO here because what Google actually said is: we will make this change when the Geographic Names Information System (GNIS) makes this change. The headlines make that sound like it's a done deal, but GNIS, which is maintained by USGS, is a database, not an agency, and it follows the guidance of the Foreign Names Committee of the US Board of Geographic Names. They have in no way signaled that they are going to support this change. In fact, opposite: There are major roadblocks to renaming the Gulf of Mexico, according to Leo Dillon, the former chair of the Foreign Names Committee. He said that the committee’s procedures allow only one name for high seas, and it usually reflects the most commonly used name. It's possible these folks will cave to political pressure, but keep in mind these are geographers, not politicians. They have a professional stake in making decisions like this rationally, not politically. Remember the last time around when Trump tangled with librarians? My bet is that unless these folks are truly circumvented, GNIS will not change.

Folks discussing this on Manifold think it won’t actually happen, apparently something about it being part of the “high seas”

manifold.markets/MaxwellTabar...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Are you gonna ask Josh Barro about his opinion on this?

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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It’s literally what he’s asking for, yes

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Not that I approve of the guy, but Tom Cotton said that yesterday. I was honestly surprised he’d break with Trump so loudly.

1 year ago 5 1 1 0

If that was your point, you could have said it! You just successfully expressed the concept in 300 characters.
Maybe I should just complain to Charlie for taking you out of context… but you can see how that post looked on its own right?

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Look, @cstross.bsky.social reposted your claim. I follow him, I saw it, I thought “woah, that’s wild” and then before reposting it myself I did like 5 minutes of research and found that the claim is factually false. And now I’m a bit annoyed with you both!
But you feel it is true in your gut. Ok 👍.

1 year ago 0 0 1 0
Motte and Bailey with motte as “The Boston Tea Party didn't mention taxation without representation” The Bailey is “No mention of taxation without representation until after the revolution”

Motte and Bailey with motte as “The Boston Tea Party didn't mention taxation without representation” The Bailey is “No mention of taxation without representation until after the revolution”

You literally said “no mention” pre revolution. I’m not making an argument about Tea Party. If that’s what you’re arguing now…

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
If the parliament have a right to lay a duty of four shillings and eight pence on a hundred weight of glass, or a ream of paper, they have a right to lay a duty of any other sum on either. They may raise the duty as the author before quoted says, has been done in some countries, till it "exceeds seventeen or eighteen times the value of the commodity." In short, if they have a right to levy a tax of one penny upon us, they have a right to levy a million upon us. For where does their right stop? At any given number of pence, shillings, or pounds? To attempt to limit their right, after granting it to exist at all, is as contrary to reason, as granting it to exist at all is contrary to justice. If they have any right to tax us, then, whether our own money shall continue in our own pockets, or not, depends no longer on us, but on them. "There is nothing which we can call our own", or to use the words of Mr. Locke, "What property have" we "in that, which another may, by right, take, when he pleases, to himself."[34]
These duties, which will inevitably be levied upon us, and which are now levying upon us, are expressly laid for the sole purpose of taking money. This is the true definition[77] of taxes. They are therefore taxes. This money is to be taken from us. We are therefore taxed. Those who are taxed without their own consent, given by themselves, or their representatives, are slaves.[35] We are[78] taxed without our own consent given by ourselves, or our representatives. We are therefore——I speak it with grief——I speak it with indignation——we are slaves.

If the parliament have a right to lay a duty of four shillings and eight pence on a hundred weight of glass, or a ream of paper, they have a right to lay a duty of any other sum on either. They may raise the duty as the author before quoted says, has been done in some countries, till it "exceeds seventeen or eighteen times the value of the commodity." In short, if they have a right to levy a tax of one penny upon us, they have a right to levy a million upon us. For where does their right stop? At any given number of pence, shillings, or pounds? To attempt to limit their right, after granting it to exist at all, is as contrary to reason, as granting it to exist at all is contrary to justice. If they have any right to tax us, then, whether our own money shall continue in our own pockets, or not, depends no longer on us, but on them. "There is nothing which we can call our own", or to use the words of Mr. Locke, "What property have" we "in that, which another may, by right, take, when he pleases, to himself."[34] These duties, which will inevitably be levied upon us, and which are now levying upon us, are expressly laid for the sole purpose of taking money. This is the true definition[77] of taxes. They are therefore taxes. This money is to be taken from us. We are therefore taxed. Those who are taxed without their own consent, given by themselves, or their representatives, are slaves.[35] We are[78] taxed without our own consent given by ourselves, or our representatives. We are therefore——I speak it with grief——I speak it with indignation——we are slaves.

Look, I’m not going to argue that “taxation without representation” was definitely the true motivation. But saying the complaint didn’t exist pre revolution is flatly false. Here’s letter from a Pennsylvania Farmer VII, published in January 1768.

1 year ago 0 0 1 0

Most of its reasons are things like “you don’t know germ theory”. It’s fundamentally misunderstanding the prompt!

1 year ago 1 0 1 0

Watch out, Dana is gonna see this and it’s gonna be another fight

1 year ago 1 0 1 0