Dear USA

Deploying troops against civilians will not go well.

Yours
Great Britain and Northern Ireland

"WE'VE ARRANGED A society based on science and technology, in which nobody understands anything about science technology. And this combustible mixture of ignorance and power, sooner or later, is going to blow up in our faces. Who is running the science and technology in a democracy if the people don't know anything about it?" "Science is more than a body of knowledge, it's a way of thinking. A way of skeptically interrogating the universe with a fine understanding of human fallibility. If we are not able to ask skeptical questions, to interrogate those who tell us that something is true, to be skeptical of those in authority, then we're up for grabs for the next charlatan, political or religious, who comes ambling along."

I think a lot about what Carl Sagan said in one of his final interviews.

Plenty of politicians on both sides of the aisle feel threatened by rising class consciousness.

I’m not sure people understand just how much higher these types of visa fees are in the UK compared to our competitors but they are egregious ripoffs that harm our science sector without affecting immigration numbers more than a smidgeon.

it is actually incredibly important we disambiguate this for as many people as possible. there is a very real risk that business owners or service providers might start policing trans use of single-gender spaces only because they think this is a legal requirement (it is not!).

I am no expert in health/ medicine but any solution to the problem?

On a personal level, I am a sedentary person and if a GP prescribes me this, I will take a suggestion rather than a command.

Demand Forecasting Principles with examples in R - Lancaster University

Ivan Svetunkov (@isvetunkov.bsky.social) and I are organising a course in demand forecasting with R in May 2025!

The course is meant for practitioners and academics alike who are interested in learning forecasting as a methodology.

Come and join us!

Link: www.lancaster.ac.uk/centre-for-m...

There is still time to sign up for our forecasting course. See the link below.

#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning

Graphic displaying the tagline "The conversation starts here" in black text against a yellow background, with the British Academy's logo in lighter yellow.

Our inaugural SHAPE Conference is underway, exploring how the humanities and social sciences can be supported and strengthened across policy, education and R&D. We will be sharing insights and ideas from our speakers here throughout the day.

Happy eid mubarak!

Exciting news! Hexaly is the headline sponsor for #EURO2025, Europe’s leading OR & analytics conference. Join us in Leeds, 30 June – 3 July for cutting-edge insights & collaboration!

https://www.theorsociety.com/EURO2025

#OperationalResearch #AI #Analytics #DecisionScience

Demand Forecasting Principles with examples in R - Lancaster University

Ivan Svetunkov (@isvetunkov.bsky.social) and I are organising a course in demand forecasting with R in May 2025!

The course is meant for practitioners and academics alike who are interested in learning forecasting as a methodology.

Come and join us!

Link: www.lancaster.ac.uk/centre-for-m...

Me being a geek, after work, listening to Helen Castor about Richard II and Henry IV 👑👑👑

Unfortunately it's not related to forecasting.

lmao no, TikTok users are not moving to Bluesky. They would literally rather learn Mandarin than learn how to read a feed of text posts. This is a millennial retirement home.

Oh? It's an ignorant of me but is there any quantitative analysis of Marxist economics? If so, can you please recommend me a textbook? Should I refer to planned economics? TIA

Wouldn't fear "automate" your decision process hence making it easier and faster?

On the relations between human, labor, machine, and human conditions.

My skepticism towards Generative AI leads me to this book. I haven't finished yet but I bet this is a life learning process, especially in making arguments/ points of view on GenAI.

"While we’ve seen remarkable developments in machine learning over the past year, I feel that some people are starting to lose sight of basic forecasting principles."

I will quote this sentence on my potentially future presentation.

A paper to read over the Xmas holiday: Wang et al. (2023) - Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review - Open Forecasting Christmas and the New Year are upon us, and I wanted to publish a celebratory post before taking a break. Instead of writing something educational, I decided to simply recommend a paper for you to rea...

A paper to read over the Xmas holiday: Wang et al. (2023) – Forecast combinations: An over 50-year review by Xiaoqian Wang, @robjhyndman.com, Feng Li, and Yanfei Kang
openforecast.org/2024/12/23/a...

Press Release We Are All Sue Campaign 9 December 2024 11 December 2024 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Newcastle University Admits Negligence Concerning Disabled Student from Nigeria Newcastle University agreed to refund £13,285.75 in tuition fees, waive rent a...

Newcastle University admits negligence and makes payout to PhD student over bullying supervisor and threats to undermine visa status docs.google.com/document/u/0...

Accurate

Title slide: Will your code run again? Tips for making code reproducible in R

If you missed my talk but still want to learn how to make your R code more reproducible, my slides are here 🙂:

daxkellie.quarto.pub/will-your-co...

All the links to packages and resources I mentioned are there, so hopefully this can be a nice reference, too!

#ESAus2024 #rstats #quartopub 🧪🌏

Presenting Forecast Congruence at Drexel University Oliver Schaer, a colleague of mine at Drexel University, US, invited me to talk about my current research with Nikos Kourentzes in forecast evaluation; we call it forecast congruence. This research…

Managed to writing up another blog post. It's about my presentation at Drexel University (online), where I presented my current research called forecast congruence with Nikos Kourentzes.

kandrikapritularga.com/2024/12/07/p...

Ivan (@isvetunkov.bsky.social) and I just finished our first online Demand Forecasting with R. We learnt basic principles of forecasting as a set of rigorous activities - it's not merely talking about models! It was fun and pleasure to meet people across the world to join us. Happy forecasting!

Scientists who don’t understand that #science is political are dangerous. Who can participate in the Academy is political. What data we value, collect, analyze, interpret, & report on is political. I’m disappointed to see a NAS president suggesting science is & must be apolitical. That’s a problem.

Joined Twitter since 2009, and I miss the old Twitter! So much fun and informative. BlueSky feels nostalgic and is definitely a better place to be.

I’ll be giving a talk on epidemic dynamics at @lshtm.bsky.social next Monday at 5.30pm, from dengue and Zika to pandemic influenza and COVID. Free and open to all: www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/e...

Find out more about the new MA in Global Medical and Health Humanities in the School of Global Affairs at Lancaster University!

www.lancaster.ac.uk/study/postgr...

Example of intermittent demand that has artificially occurring zeroes

Why zeroes happen: a post discussing what is and what isn't intermittent demand and why it is important to tell the difference: openforecast.org/2024/11/18/w...

#forecasting #datascience #machinelearning

Lessons from England’s National Health Service | NEJM The NHS in England has historically delivered high quality at low cost, but recently, its performance has declined. The challenges facing the NHS hold potential lessons for the United States.

Lessons from England’s National Health Service. Tldr: the UK NHS is in principle a great model but is now precarious, undermined by austerity and redisorganisation. Primary care is critical to the whole thing but is facing huge risks. www.nejm.org/doi/full/10....