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Posts by Nick Vavich

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The New Revolution in Military Affairs How Ukraine is driving doctrinal change in modern warfare.

carnegieendowment.org/research/202...

1 day ago 51 15 1 0
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Dear World,
When you say “peace,”
Do you mean silence?

Because Ukrainians won’t stay quiet.
We’ll fight for our voices,
Our homes,
Our right to exist.

1 day ago 130 23 4 0
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Turning the Corner: Momentum Builds in Ukraine’s Strike & Ground Defence Campaigns While Pacific Democracies Enhance their Strategic Deterrence. My weekly update on war and strategic competition. This week, Ukraine's long-range strike & ground ops, Russia still not generating momentum in its spring offensive and Pacific security issues.

Ukraine’s strike campaign is hitting targets 1,000km away, costing Russia 40% of its recent oil windfall. Meanwhile, the Iran war is reshaping the Indo-Pacific. My weekly update on war and strategic competition covers it all. mickryan.substack.com/p/turning-th...

2 days ago 219 45 0 3

We’re defending Western Civilization by kicking Plato and Shakespeare out of university classes.

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Vladimir Solovyov is upset about Orban, Gubarev and the economy
Vladimir Solovyov is upset about Orban, Gubarev and the economy YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor

Meanwhile in Russia: state TV host Vladimir Solovyov was upset about Viktor Orbán's loss in Hungary, Pavel Gubarev's interview with Yury Dud, and Russia's faltering economy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=etuT...

1 week ago 215 57 21 4
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Stop praising Orbán for not attempting a coup.

He only stepped down because Magyar's win was too massive to steal.

He rigged the constitution, captured the institutions, and used state media to his advantage.

He did everything he could to destroy democracy, and he failed

2 days ago 10473 2080 539 149
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What Does War Is "Too Easy" For The USA Mean? Phillips’s Newsletter is a reader-supported publication.

In my piece last week about the US not understanding war, it was said that one problem was the US finds war too "easy" (with disastrous results). In this piece I explain how that works and why US assumptions about war are built often on unreality. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

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Phenomenal. Read this.

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The message left by Pope Leo XIV in the guestbook of the Great Mosque of Algiers: “May the mercy of the Most High keep the noble Algerian people and the entire human family in peace and freedom.”

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Peter Magyar confirmed that Szijjarto, Orbán's FM, has barricaded himself with some of his closest colleagues and is shredding documents related to the sanctions on Russia any other evidence of treason.

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Pulling Reports, Playing Politics The CIA’s retraction of intelligence reports should raise concerns about politicization and the Trump administration’s embrace of white supremacist rhetoric.

"The retraction should call attention to...the Trump administration’s continued retreat from efforts to counter white supremacist violence, its ongoing politicization of U.S. intelligence, and its alarming use of the bully pulpit to spew extremist rhetoric."

www.lawfaremedia.org/article/pull...

1 week ago 102 60 1 1

Hungary has chosen Europe.

Europe has always chosen Hungary.

A country reclaims its European path.

The Union grows stronger.

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Hungary election live: Polls in Hungary close in tightly fought election after 16 years under Viktor Orbán Prime minister has been trailing in the polls to Péter Magyar in race that could have repercussions for Europe, the US and Russia

BREAKING: Victor Orban has CONCEDED to Magyar www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...

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This is huge!

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PATTON: I don’t see how this war ends. Maybe Putin will eventually get blown up by one of oligarchs. But I really feel Ukrainians are in very strong position right now.

They’re losing fraction of what Russians are losing. Russians have already taken something like 1.5 million casualties.

1 week ago 257 45 7 2
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The Learning Curve: Ukraine's Attrition Campaign and the PLA's Iran War Study My weekly update on war and strategic competition. This week, Ukraine's long-range strike & ground ops, Chinese learning from the Iran War and my Big 5 reading recommendations.

Ukraine's frontline operations and long range strikes are hurting Russia more. China is helping Iran and has 'opened the classroom' to learn from the Iran War. This and more in my latest weekly update. mickryan.substack.com/p/the-learni...

1 week ago 158 25 2 0

This is excellent!

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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Vladimir Solovyov urges Iran to acquire nuclear weapons
Vladimir Solovyov urges Iran to acquire nuclear weapons YouTube video by Russian Media Monitor

Meanwhile in Russia: decorated state TV host Vladimir Solovyov urged Iran to focus on acquiring nuclear weapons as soon as possible.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=tn9_...

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Worth a listen.

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Weekend Update #180: The Ukrainians Stop Pretending Costs And Balances In Russian Oil; The Russian Spring Offensive After 3 Weeks

Hi All, Just sent out my free weekend update. The big story this week was the Ukrainians speaking truthfully about the USA not being their (or Europe's) friend. In war seeing reality as opposed to what you desperately want to see, is a fundamental test. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...

1 week ago 305 97 8 8
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Trump says U.S. will blockade Strait of Hormuz after Iran peace talks fail Trump said the U.S. blockade will stop Iran from policing the strait and benefiting economically while the rest of the world suffers from its closure.

So US is going to blockade the Strait of Hormuz. No oil or anything else gets out. Prices will skyrocket. Nothing could be better from the Russian perspective.

www.cnbc.com/2026/04/12/t...

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Not ideal

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BUTTIGIEG: The strait was open before they started this

KERNEN: They were close to having 11 nuclear weapons!

BUTTIGIEG: We had other ways of dealing with them

KERNEN: Like what? Obama's way?

BUTTIGIEG: That worked

KERNEN: That didn't work!

BUTTIGIEG: Did they get a nuclear weapon under Obama?

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All military objectives achieved. Zero political and strategic objectives achieved. = defeat

1 week ago 150 34 9 1
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Anne Applebaum: Hungary's Surreal, Post-Reality Campaign Putin puppet Viktor Orbán—whose nepotistic and corrupt government in Hungary has become the model for the far-right in America and Europe—is facing his first serious election challenge in 16 years.

With Tim Miller, on Hungary (with Zebras) Iran, Kari Lake and more
open.substack.com/pub/thebulwa...

1 week ago 458 107 9 2
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"It's impossible that he doesn't understand that, but he, he genuinely doesn't."

@timmiller.bsky.social and @anneapplebaum.bsky.social talk Trump's lack of strategy on today's Bulwark Podcast

1 week ago 464 103 17 5

With this settlement the US is worse off in every way than it was before the war; Iran is strengthened by the huge new tolls in the Straits of Hormuz, paid by the whole world. (1/14)

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Russia's rhetoric on the Iran war reveals it's losing At a March meeting on Operation Epic Fury, European Council President Antonio Costa said, "There is only one winner in this war: Russia." Europe is right to be worried about Russian gains in this war. But this analysis is short-sighted and overlooks a central fact: the Kremlin is watching a key chess piece slip from the board, and its anxiety, not Europe's, should dictate the terms of this conflict. Despite its modest effort to aid Iran, Russia has failed to meet operational objectives on the

"The Western alliance, while prone to natural internal tensions, has also fallen victim to Russian information warfare," writes Natalie Arbatman, Research associate with Hudson Institute's Center for Peace and Security in the Middle East, in her op-ed.

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Poland intercepts Russian Il-20 spy plane for 2nd time in a week Polish F-16s intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft during a patrol over the Baltic Sea on April 9, Polish Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz said on X.

⚡️ Poland intercepts Russian Il-20 spy plane for 2nd time in a week.

Polish F-16s intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft during a patrol over the Baltic Sea on April 9, Polish Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz said on X.

1 week ago 210 58 6 2