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Ballot Splitting and Straight-Ticket Outliers Examining when local clans win on the party-list ballot

Where four Thai parties came in first on the party-list vote in any constituency in 2023, eight parties accomplished this feat in 2026. I examine how locally-driven parties won big in the nationally-fueled proportional system: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/ballot-spl...

Dr Warong Fights to Cut MP Benefits Should MPs get free food, eight assistants, and a pension?

Should MPs get free food, eight assistants, and a pension? Dr Warong Dechgitvigrom has made parliamentary benefits his rallying cry in his return to parliament. I take a look at his proposals: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/dr-warong-...

Anutin Makes His Policy Declaration From quick big wins to long-term plans

Anutin made his policy declaration to parliament today, shedding light on his second administration's priorities:
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/anutin-mak...

An Overview of Anutin's Second Cabinet The makeup of a purple coalition

An overview of the second Anutin cabinet: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/an-overvie...

The Energy Crisis Worsens Fuel prices begin rising significantly, and the government's options are limited

The Anutin government's options are limited as the fuel subsidies became increasingly unsustainable. Updates on the energy situation Thailand: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-energy...

Regionalized Nationalism in the 2026 Election Did the Cambodian conflict affect how voters at the border cast their ballots?

Was there a nationalist wave in Thailand's 2026 election? I do a deep dive here on how this effect was likely regionalized and strongest in areas bordering Cambodia. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/regionaliz...

Bhumjaithai Takes the Speakership Sophon Saram elected Speaker of the House

Bhumjaithai takes the speakership
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Thailand Confronts an Energy Shock Government tries to rein in prices and panic

A summary of the energy situation in Thailand and how the Anutin government is dealing with the rise in fuel prices:
www.coffeeparliament.com/p/thailand-c...

Post-Election Political Calendar | Projected Coalition Makeup Anutin's second term set to begin next month

A short update from The Coffee Parliament on the political calendar over the next two months and latest reports on the makeup of the next Thai government. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/post-elect...

One Year (Plus!) of The Coffee Parliament Some reflections on a busy year

A very late post to mark the fact that The Coffee Parliament is now over one year old! 🎉 www.coffeeparliament.com/p/one-year-p...

Thailand’s Democrat Party: A Political Institution Survives | FULCRUM The Democrat Party has made a comeback from a near-death experience. But there are still key challenges to overcome.

The Democrat Party, previously thought to be facing certain extinction, survived the 2026 general election. But as it enters its 80th year, Thailand's longest-surviving party still faces key challenges. My piece for Fulcrum: fulcrum.sg/thailands-de...

A Battle Over Ballot Barcodes Was the principle of the secret ballot violated?

Did barcodes on Thai election ballots violate the principle of a secret ballot? I take a look at the opposing arguments posed by two of Thailand's most prominent legal minds: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/a-battle-o...

Why Bhumjaithai won Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul enjoyed the power of incumbency in Thailand’s elections. And Mathis Lohatepanont argues he used that advantage wisely—combining appeals to populism, nationalism and ...

While there's still controversy over election irregularities, the Bhumjaithai margin of victory was big enough that it's highly unlikely to be overturned. I take a look here at why Bhumjaithai won: asialink.unimelb.edu.au/diplomacy/in...

Go Green or No Green? Analyzing whether Bhumjaithai will exclude Kla Tham

Yesterday evening, reports began circulating of hardball coalition negotiations. Will Bhumjaithai go green, or will there be no green in the next government? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/go-green-o...

Election Aftermath: Reports of Irregularities Coalition negotiations in limbo until election results are clear

Update on reports of election irregularities www.coffeeparliament.com/p/election-a...

Takeaways from the 2026 General Election How did the parties fare?

Takeaways from the 2026 general election www.coffeeparliament.com/p/takeaways-...

Bhumjaithai On Track to Win Election Dark blue surge

Bhumjaithai on track to win general election www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

One question on our minds: who's going to form the next government? Here's a diagram of what parties have said about their coalition red lines.

2026 Election: Closing Thoughts An ambiguous election

Some closing thoughts on the 2026 general election. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/2026-elect...

Election strategies built on competence It has long been the tradition that Thai cabinet appointments are made with little regard to the qualifications or experience of those who will go to these ministries.

Cabinet choices in Thailand are usually made with little regard to expertise. But this year, many parties have pledged in advance to appoint technocrats, even as it comes at the expense of promoting longtime party loyalists.

My piece in the Bangkok Post: www.bangkokpost.com/opinion/opin...

Bhumjaithai's Warning Signs Some updates from new polling

New data shows the People's Party and the Democrats gaining momentum: both are warning signs for Bhumjaithai.

Thoughts on seat forecasts and how this election will depend on whether the national triumphs over the local: www.coffeeparliament.com/p/bhumjaitha...

Thank you, Mark!

Who Wants to Be a Millionaire? Pheu Thai announces its biggest giveaway yet

Many Thais wouldn't turn down the chance to be millionaires. But will Pheu Thai's particular way of creating 9 millionaires a day move the needle? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/who-wants-...

The Southern Electoral Battleground "You cannot give just half your love"

In today's newsletter, I examine the dynamics of the South, where we're seeing a clash of party loyalty vs. local influence. Abhisit Vejjajiva has revived the Democrats' popularity, but will that be enough against Bhumjaithai and Kla Tham? www.coffeeparliament.com/p/the-southe...

Usually scam centers and other illicit industries!

My voter's guide for the Thailand 2026 general election is out now on Latitude Ten!

It contains an explainer of how this election works and the platforms offered by the major contenders.

Check it out here: latitudeten.com?p=1572

2026 Election Weekly Briefing (Jan 16) Updates on the People's Party, and a Cambodian intervention

Updates from another week of campaigning.

A lot of People's Party-related news this week, including the full launch of their potential governing team and the arrest of one of their candidates.

www.coffeeparliament.com/p/2026-elect...

Campaign Midway Point Vibe Check Thoughts on latest NIDA forecast

My "vibe check" of the 2026 election campaign at its midway point. www.coffeeparliament.com/p/campaign-m...

2026 Election Weekly Briefing (Jan 9) Pheu Thai rally, Songkhla polling, and more

This week in the 2026 election campaign:
• Pheu Thai announces several new policy pledges
• Democrats top Songkhla poll
• People's Party unveils new cabinet picks
...and more!

www.coffeeparliament.com/p/2026-elect...