🚨🚨🚨 March 2026 was the warmest March on record according to Prism climate data (1895-present). Previously, 2012 was far and away the warmest March, but this March beat 2012 by about half a degree Fahrenheit. This map shows how March temperatures ranked compared to all other Marches.🔥🔥🔥
Posts by GrumpyUncleSean🔥
Percentage of insured economic losses driven by primary perils (tropical cyclones (black), winter storms (dark grey), earthquakes (light grey) and secondary perils (floods (dark blue), convective storms (medium blue), wildfires (light blue) and other (pale blue) for 2025 and as decadal averages over 1995-2024. The 2015-24 figure amounts to 101% due to rounding. Source: Swiss Re (2026)
NEW – How wildfires and storms drove insurance losses in 2025 – in three charts | @orladwyer.carbonbrief.org Ho Woo Nam
Read here: buff.ly/0XOfI5t
Nice article from CBC featuring our recent research findings relating snowpack to fire severity. More important than how much area burns, is how it burns. 🔥🧪🌎 @grumpyunclesean.bsky.social
www.cbc.ca/news/science...
Think a warmer, drier spring means no rx fire (like I did?) Think again! www.hcn.org/articles/why...
The western U.S., limping away from one of the driest winters on record, is primed for wildfires.
insideclimatenews.org/news/2703202...
6 front pages of articles about climate risk connected by a red line.
1/ For those of us keeping an eye on systemic #climate risks, these aren’t difficult dots to connect.
I find it downright frightening. We need to brace for impacts and spring into preparedness now.
This thread outlines 6 key papers and what we can do in response. ⬇️🧵
Trust me: the alternative is worse.
To complement this @theguardian.com article, please see our new (very timely) paper on snow-wildfire dynamics 🔥
Lowest snowpack on record in the Southwest by longgg shot!
Only 36% of normal currently. Much lower in spots. Former record 57% in 2015 going back to 1987. Obviously this can have huge implications for water availability and fire season… 1/
5/5
Other members of the research team include Jared Balik (lead author) and @coopecology.bsky.social
4/5
Another key finding:
3) Overall, continued snowpack decline is expected to drive increases in both total area burned and fire severity—not just more fires, but more damaging ones! Increased high-severity fire raises the risk of forest loss and conversion to shrubland or grassland.
3/5
Another key finding:
2) Reduced winter snowpack results in higher severity fire that is more damaging to forests. This is highly relevant given ongoing declines in western US snowpack in some areas. The southwestern US, for example, shows the strongest evidence of long-term snowpack decline.
2/5
Coincidentally, our research team published a paper on snowpack-wildfire dynamics yesterday!
Here are the key findings:
1) Early snowmelt results in more area burned by extending the fire season. We already knew this, but importantly ...
1/5
NEW paper alert! 🧪🔥
A lot of you know that snowpack is currently at a record or near-record low in many watersheds in the western US.
A logical question is thus: how will the low snowpack affect wildfire in the coming months?
Read the thread for key findings ...
My research team recently published “Guardians and gardeners: Managing wilderness for the twenty-first century.” If you’re interested in wilderness philosophies, Indigenous stewardship, and the questions raised by climate change and fire - this one’s for you!
www.researchgate.net/publication/...
Interesting article in the @wsj.com by Katherine Clarke about a rebuild in the Pacific Palisades area. Two things to note - expensive but not crazy build costs plus a massive savings generated on insurance. www.wsj.com/real-estate/...
🔥 Critical Fire Weather Monday 🔥
“Critical” is rare for #Florida - a couple times of year. And it’s the first of 2026 due to very dry air, gusty winds and drought-stricken crisp ground. Please take great care as any fire that ignites will spread rapidly. This will be a challenging #fire season!
Hot, dry, windy conditions are increasingly arising in multiple regions at the same time, setting the stage for simultaneous wildfires around the world, a study shows. via @vox.com
One scientist talking to two others. "These days. If you're not a mad scientist, you're not paying attention."
Me. I'm a mad scientist.
(Paul Noth cartoons)
Really proud of my paper with @ecologyofgavin.bsky.social, @grumpyunclesean.bsky.social, Andrew Stillman, and Courtney Davis out now in @natcomms.nature.com, which looks at the forecasted exposure of bird biodiversity to high severity fire in the western US. www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Some nice media exposure about the threatened whitebark pine that highlights one of our recent studies.
🧪🌎
Democracy may die in darkness, but it also seems you can kill it in broad daylight.
None of what's happening now would be possible without gop enablers. They own all of it. The gop is the party of evil. Vote them all out.
In 2025, more than 200 climate-related disasters affected more than 87.8 million people worldwide, according to prelim figures from the International Disaster Database. The disasters include flash floods, landslides, severe storms, wildfires & droughts. news.mongabay.com/short-articl...
Smash hit! A whopping eight people are in attendance at the 315 showing of Melania in Missoula
Yet another stroke of genius from POTUS 🔥
Map of Western US showing snow-water equivalent by basin. Most basins are well below the historical median with the Northwest, Great Basin, NorCal, and the Southwest all below 50% of historical averages.
OK, as we go into February, I'm officially worried about our snowpack numbers across the Western US. Less snow means dryer soils and fuels heading into the summer and I don't like fire years where the high country comes online early.