Like, if you don't think FDR could have reduced the death toll by 5% compared to Trump then you're out of your mind, and if you don't think it would have been worth it you're misanthropic. A lot of both (along with ignorance and just not thinking important things through) flying around these days
The general consensus that even if you didn't like Trump, you couldn't really blame him for the way he handled covid was in hindsight an underrated "flashing warning lights" moment for collapsing belief in government (and, more generally, collective) capacity to improve society somewhat
it's kind of his go-to move
Claude correctly diagnosed my issue that a virtual nurse practitioner misdiagnosed (later confirmed by my PCP and an MRI) 🤷♂️
Yeah exactly, or ask another non-expert. Sure it can be misused, but it’s not that hard to use better than the previous status quo
They’re really pushing as hard as they can forTexas to be represented by two democratic senators come 2027
In fairness, the mean is a classic rescaled sum. One of the best ones we've come up with IMO
I'm surprised he wasn't described as "gallivanting" (pretty much exclusively used to add "being out of the house" to the list of charges of somebody you're already mad at)
many americans did up until like 3 months ago, and a lot do to this day.
This is just like how Trump only came around in the first place because Democrats resorted to the dirty trick of trying to win the 2012 election
kind of depends on the relative all-in cost of renting vs owning. you can come out ahead renting and investing the difference depending on the specifics
Temporary, sure, but I think there's a lot of juice to squeeze out of AI in the next few years in good markdown files. A decent number of AI startups are basically good markdown files. A lot of AI overhang is solvable with good markdown files.
contemporaneous headline economic indicator that reflects "how long did you have to spend calling or driving between retailers to get baby formula in 2024 vs April 2026."
I feel like we're kind of agreeing. There's clearly self-destructive economic behavior happening, monetary policy is able to partially compensate for it in a way that genuinely mitigates damage and also makes headline economic indicators look okay, and in the end neither of us can name a
Tell me more! How does this happen?
I think economists can and have illustrated these kinds of phenomena with economic data, and I also think there's a valid point that the generally accepted topline economic indicators don't really directly capture some of these things.
Not to mention the ever-present (and well-founded!) sense of "well maybe Trump will cave and this will flip back to normal quickly; no sense in making changes" when times are bad and "who knows what nonsense Trump will pull next week; better not make any sudden moves" when times are relatively good.
Right but which well-publicized metric reflects that? The main mechanism by which shortages should show up in "monthly economic reports" is the inflation rate, right? What if for goods like vaccines and formula, regulations and the desire not to be seen as price gouging dampen price increases?
oof. I hope not, but I could see you being right.
I think it will be about as effective with voters as Kamala Harris trying to distance herself from inflation and immigration under Biden
feels like 3.5 is the fair comparison. and even then we're comparing a long-awaited product from a household name (if nothing else for the imac g3) to a company almost no one had heard of
yes. we have not imagined the possibilities of "person with ~college graduate intelligence and infinite energy and patience" nearly enough
Yes. It is worth remembering that the reason Trump won’t be impeached and removed tomorrow is that Republicans are blocking it, period. And they in turn think that it’s good (or at least survivable) politics for their voters.
Send him to The Hague. If it was wrongful he can challenge it from there. If the courts say he has to come back, I suppose we’ll just have to ask nicely and see what they say, like he did with Abrego Garcia.
Simple black-and-white comic drawing of a person standing beside a desktop computer. The person says, “Say ‘I am alive’.” The computer monitor displays the text “> I AM ALIVE.” The person responds, “oh my god.”
“Simulated surveys” is basically this meme except the person says “Generate a sample from a population where the mean is 4” and then the computer says “>THE SAMPLE MEAN IS 4.03”
No, come on, we all saw them panic way earlier. Code Red declared in 2022 (www.nytimes.com/2022/12/21/t...). The Bard era in 2023. Satya Nadella remarked on the panic at the time (fortune.com/2023/02/10/m...).
At least they cited their source
Now we just need to crack whether $7.62 is less than $11.90
fair enough, but I think as a nation we lost that benefit of the doubt until we're at least a good 20 years removed from re-electing a career con artist/game show host. credible news sources gotta put that rhetorical device aside for a while I fear
Interesting, do you think that will affect the incidence that much? I expect to see an increase in pressure to tip.