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Posts by Institute for Global Affairs at Eurasia Group

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امریکہ-ایران مذاکرات نتیجہ خیز بنانے میں پاکستان کیا کردار ادا کر سکتا ہے؟ - BBC News اردو مبصرین کا کہنا ہے کہ پاکستان، ترکی، مصر اور چند دیگر ممالک کی کوششوں کے سبب ایران اور امریکہ کے درمیان دو ہفتوں کی جنگ بندی ضروری ہوئی ہے لیکن اسلام آباد کے لیے اس عارضی جنگ بندی کو کسی دیرپا معاہدے ت...

www.bbc.com/urdu/article...

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"Even if these talks fail, Pakistan still suffers no loss," IGA's @khansahar1.bsky.social tells BBC Urdu.

"Hosting the talks has proven that Pakistan understands everyone's point of view and has the ability to convince people to talk to each other."

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How the Iran War, Then the U.S. Blockade, Has Changed the Strait of Hormuz: Maps Iran’s stranglehold over the waterway completely reshaped shipping during the war. The U.S. naval blockade is an attempt to stop that.

www.nytimes.com/interactive/...

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This map shows how long ships have been stuck in the Persian Gulf.

Most have been there since the first US-Israeli attack against Iran, 47 days ago.

On Monday, Trump initiated a blockade of Iranian ports, via US naval vessels in the Arabian Sea.

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None Of The Above: The Limits of Monitoring the Situation w/ Tyler McBrien War in the Middle East keeps expanding, oil prices are rising, and an unpredictable American president has everyone trying to guess his next move. As trust in media institutions hi...

noneoftheaboveegfpodcast.libsyn.com/the-limits-o...

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Amid war in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and an unpredictable American president, how can we begin to make sense of things?

Host Jonathan Guyer is joined by friend of the pod Tyler McBrien (@tylermcbrien.com) managing editor at Lawfare to discuss.

Listen now.

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The Limits of Monitoring the Situation — None Of The Above Tyler McBrien on prediction markets, open-source sleuthing, and Trump’s big war

A huge thanks to Jonathan Guyer, Eloise Cassier, and everyone at @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social for having me on the show, listen here: www.noneoftheabovepodcast.org/episodes/s7e...

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I went on @instglobalaffairs.bsky.social None Of The Above podcast to talk to the great Jonathan Guyer about Trump's One Big War™️, the unholy alliance between open source situation monitoring and prediction markets, and why former Biden admin officials keep getting questions on Gaza

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US warships around the Strait of Hormuz SiteDescription

m.aa.com.tr/en/info/info...

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This map shows American naval and air assets around the Strait of Hormuz, after Trump announced a blockade Monday morning.

The US military clarified that the blockade would only impact traffic which attempted to leave or enter Iranian ports.

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Hungary’s New Leader Magyar Convinced Rural Voters He Cared More Opposition leader Peter Magyar won resoundingly in Hungary, with key and unexpected backing coming from Viktor Orban’s most important fan base: the nation’s countryside.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

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This map shows the early results of Hungary's elections, which took place yesterday.

Viktor Orbán, Hungary's semi-autocratic prime minister, was voted out of office after 16 years in power.

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Opinion | For Kushner and Witkoff, C.E.O. Diplomacy Is No Longer Working

www.nytimes.com/2026/04/13/o...

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"At this point, one almost wishes the White House were running foreign policy like a business — that is, like a real business," says IGA's Jonathan Guyer in his latest for @nytimes.com.

Read the full article, linked below.

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3/ Iran may be the immediate crisis but India is the larger opportunity.

A disciplined American exit from the Iran war would vindicate Indian engagement with the United States.

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2/ What India has received instead is strategic whiplash.

The US has pressured India to reduce purchases of Russian oil, threatened punitive tariffs and then partially reversed course in a trade deal.

Meanwhile, it has deepened ties with India’s longtime rival, Pakistan.

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1/ India rewards serious strategic attention.

Its economy is among the world’s fastest-growing and is expected to become the third-largest.

It is a technological power, a major supplier of pharmaceuticals, and an increasingly central player in the Indo-Pacific balance.

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America’s Iran war is costing it India | Opinion India is a country that rewards serious strategic attention. What it has received instead is strategic whiplash.

www.newsweek.com/americas-ira...

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Trump’s trade whiplash and the Iran war have pushed India away from the US.

This critical relationship is now in peril, argues IGA CEO Mark Hannah.

It can still be corrected. Read the full piece in @newsweek.com.

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US-Iran talks in Pakistan: Who’s attending, what’s on the agenda? Islamabad hosts negotiations as US and Iran seek off-ramp. But deep mistrust and regional tensions threaten talks.

www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/...

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“A sustainable settlement is only achievable if Israel stops attacking," said Sahar Khan, a nonresident fellow at IGA.

"Ultimately, it’s up to the US: abandon the ceasefire and attack Iran or tell Israel to abide by the ceasefire or else.”

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All eyes on the Strait of Hormuz following the US–Iran ceasefire SiteDescription

m.aa.com.tr/en/info/info...

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This map shows vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, waiting to cross as the Iran ceasefire remains uncertain.

Only about 12 ships have passed through the strait since the ceasefire was declared.

That's far fewer than before the war, when 100+ vessels crossed daily.

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understandingwar.org/research/mid...

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This map shows Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon yesterday.

The Israeli military killed 300+ people and left 1,165 wounded in just 10 minutes.

Netanyahu today announced that Israel would negotiate with Lebanon to reach a ceasefire "as soon as possible."

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How Israel’s invasion of southern Lebanon created a humanitarian crisis In the last month, 1.2 million people in Lebanon, or one-fifth of the population, have been forced to flee their homes.

www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/4/...

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This map shows the areas of Lebanon that Israel has ordered to evacuate.

Israel has stated that Lebanon will not be included in the US-Iran negotiated ceasefire.

Iran announced today that it would close the Strait of Hormuz until attacks against Lebanon cease.

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How war in the Middle East is disrupting the global economy The Middle East conflict is triggering economic shocks worldwide, affecting oil prices, jobs, and remittances

www.indiatoday.in/diu/story/mi...

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This map shows how countries across Africa and Asia have curbed energy usage since US-Israeli war against Iran began.

In Sri Lanka and the Philippines, governments have introduced 4-day work weeks for much of the public-sector to conserve energy.

Oil prices remain $100+.

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3/ More host countries for US bases can isolate Trump and Netanyahu.

There is a growing opposition to a war that's caused regional humanitarian catastrophe and global economic damage.

Preventing the US government from an illegal war on their soil is the legal, moral, and pragmatic thing to do.

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