Despite having what most #notts fans would say was an average season last term, probably a hangover from a major injury, Matt Palmer still managed to record good numbers compared to other CM’s in L2.
Does he still have what it takes to have an impact next season?
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I did a technical analysis piece for @analystsbar.bsky.social on George Abbott.
Definitely a shining light amongst a season of mediocrity.
www.analystsbar.com/post/can-t-s...
One more from me today, cumulative goals compared to expected goals.
We had half a dozen games early on where Jodi and DC were on fire together.
The drop off after the Gillingham game and Jodi’s injury (🤬) is clear to see and we never really fully recovered.
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Regular season match stats
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Here’s one I’ve done for @analystsbar.bsky.social
One of THE standout performers in League Two this year 📊
Rightly recognised by @efl in the recent #EFLAwards and a reminder of the talent available for development loans from #PL2
#Notts #Spurs
No, it’s a post shot expectancy of scoring. When he takes the shot it’s an expected 2% likelihood of scoring, if the shot is on target then that expectancy increases, on this occasion to 35%.
It’s the xGoT that’s interesting. 2% chance of scoring that goal when he hits it but if it’s on target it suddenly jumps to 35%! Why Luke Williams use to tell him not to shoot from outside the box is beyond me 😅
Nearly!!
Incredible how divided & divisive our fan base currently is.
Still everything to play for but can understand the frustrations of what could be a season of missed opportunities.
I’ve been supportive of SM but even that resolve has been tested at times.
Still, one last push for promotion!
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#notts slight favourites with the bookies at Colchester today.
☑️ 5/4 = 44.4%
🤝 23/10 = 30.3%
❌ 23/10 = 30.30%
#coyp ⚪️⚫️
Ciabatta believe it!
A key element of his job will be looking to sign players who can pasta ball 😉
Current best outright odds for #notts v MKD tonight:
✅ 4/6 = 59.88%
🤝 10/3 = 23.09%
❌ 15/4 = 21.05%
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Good solid all round performance, a win and a clean sheet, can’t ask for much more than that.
7 more to go, just ignore the noise and focus on ourselves.
Closer to top than 8th. All to play for.
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I know! 😩
Very little between the teams with both cancelling each other out. A couple of contentious decisions from the ref and you feel this is where the game will be won or lost. Neither team really deserve to be ahead at the break.
#notts #CreweAlex
Sam Austin??
Outright result chances for #notts based on current best odds vs #CreweAlex
✅ 19/20 | 51.28%
❌ 31/10 | 24.39%
🤝 27/10 | 27.02%
Today’s Referee Martin Woods refereed Notts’ 2-0 home win over Accrington.
This is the first time he will referee Crewe this season.
#coyp ⚫️⚪️⚽️
Current outright odds for tomorrow.
#notts win 19/20
#spirites win 11/4
Draw 29/10
These work out as:
Notts win 51% chance
Chessie 27% chance
Draw 26% chance
Personally I’d call it much closer than that.
I’d like to say I’m looking forward to it but … 😰
#coyp ⚫️⚪️
Really enjoyed this one.
Plenty of #notts chat plus analysis of Mansfield’s decline and my reaction to claims that Forest in Europe will be the saviours of our city … 🤔
www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...
About to go on In The Game on @BBCRNS with @ArunSocrates 6pm talking all things #notts … whenever I can squeeze it in!
Much better ⚫️⚪️💪
Much better second half, by far the better team and looking more like the Notts we have come to expect.
If ever you needed proof that missing players like Didzy doesn’t impact your performance it was clear to see tonight.
10 more cup finals ⚫️⚪️
Probably happier of the two team at half time, rode our luck at times but also shown a bit more going forward than recent games.
Tsaroulla and Gordon on their stronger wings and Grant and Whitaker as #10s gives us much more balance.
Pitch is pants.
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I started working on some new metrics today around possession, territory, progressive passes, smart passes etc. Had to stop after about 30mins as it was getting way too depressing 😅
Get ready for a 3-6-1 😂
Here you go, full current table including average possession %.
It’s an interactive table so you can search a club in the search box or filter by column by clicking or touching the column header.
public.flourish.studio/visualisatio...
Easy enough to do, will have a look when I get chance 👍
That might be in all comps but I’d have to check that, would be interesting if that was the case, this is based on Wyscout data for L2.