Happy democracy day Australia! #Election25 #auspol #democracysausage

Going with the flow - The Poll Bludger Amid talk that One Nation might prove the Coalition's salvation, an in-depthlook at how preferences might flow.

A post on the election's great imponderable: preference flows www.pollbludger.net/2025/05/01/g...

I miss the worm #BringBacktheWorm #leadersbedate25

On a knife's edge as well. Appreently, it will also come down to a handful of seats 😏

The distribution shows that while there was a high primary vote for minor parties and INDs, these people weren't hating the majors, just liking someone else more. Of voters for candidates outside the top 3, 72.2% put one of the majors ahead of Hopper.

Raises all sorts of issues, such as, what defines the split, geography, assets, share of market etc. We all want cheaper insurance but as you say, climate change is currently the strongest variable driving costs.

Since 1990:

Cases where a non-major-party federal Reps candidate has led on primaries but lost to a major party candidate: 1

Cases of the opposite: 19.

(includes by-elections)

Grattan on Friday: Albanese and Trump put Australia in holding patterns on election timing and tariffs

When parliamentarians left Canberra on Thursday after the fortnight sitting, federal politics had the air of an uneasy waiting game.

The WA election race is underway today with the issue of writs. So far 253 candidates lower house candidates have been named. Find all the names plus election background and profiles of every seat at my WA Election guide. www.abc.net.au/news/electio... #wavotes

May you continue to get good scans Jon.

Your cartoons have made me think, laugh & sigh over the years - your light on the Hill cartoon is still relevant today as when you drew it.

My #WAVotes2025 election guide has just been launched. The usual features, a preview, full profiles of every seat, indexes by candidate, electorate name and margin. Legislative Council to be added in a day or two. www.abc.net.au/news/electio...

Musical Mix-Ups | The Late Show 30th Anniversary YouTube video by Working Dog Productions

Wonder World was before my time, but its legacy no doubt had an impact. Will always remember Simon’s musical number (30s onwards). Vale Simon. #WonderWorld #SimonTownsend @tonymartin.bsky.social

youtu.be/7EUG4qlTr0o?...

Hail starting to fall in Belconnen. Stay safe #Canberra

The geopolitical plates have shifted. We'll see fallout for years to come Few recent years have seen such dramatic changes as 2024 — changes that will resonate well into the future.

My new column: the year the geopolitical plates shifted & where to in 2025. From Ukraine, Gaza, Syria, Russia, China to what Trump means. Mideast deteriorating. Gaza now almost unliveable, Turkey new kingmaker after Russia, Iran lose Syria. We’ll see fallout for years
www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...

The Sun shines against a blue and cloudy sky, above a giant antenna dish - Deep Space Station 43, in Canberra, Australia. A part of NASA’s deep Space Network.

The #ParkerSolarProbe is just hours away from its close encounter with the Sun.📡〰️〰️〰️🛰️🔜☀️
Just 6.1 million kilometres from the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000 kilometres per hour, it’s going to be an amazing ride as it races around our star. See you on the other side!

Screenshot showing the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024

Popular Podcasts 2024
These were the 100 most popular podcasts on Great Australian Pods in 2024. These podcast entries piqued the most visitor interest and attracted the greatest number of page views.
Supported by Lenny.fm

www.greataustralianpods.com/popular-podc...

#AusPods #Podcasts #Australia

Or pressure on governments to lift restrictions, conditions etc. to “save retail”.

Here comes the Sun - On the 24th December 2024, at 11:53 GMT (10:53pm AEDT) (6:53am ET), NASA’s Parker Solar Probe will fly 6.1 million kilometres above the Sun’s surface, travelling at 692,000km/hr.

Follow its journey at: science.nasa.gov/mission/parker-solar-probe

That takes me back. Add a pine tree smell and that was my Christmas growing up.

Kind of set him up to fail. First test against India, geez seriously look at how other senior players went.

FED25 – A Plethora of Estimated Margins and Problems with the AEC Version In a pre-Christmas treat for election nerds, the Australian Electoral Commission is about to publish its estimated seat margins for next year’s Federal election. The 2025 Federal election will be f…

The AEC has published its estimates of seat margins on post-redistribution electoral boundaries. Antony Green and Ben Raue weigh in on how and why they differ from ours. antonygreen.com.au/fed25-a-plet... www.tallyroom.com.au/58564

The AEC published their margins for the next federal election earlier today, which will be the basis for calculating swings. But in a number of non-classic seats, despite their best efforts, I don't think their margins accurately reflect the seat. I explained more here:

www.tallyroom.com.au/58564

It’s nice reconnecting with people again, became almost impossible on the other site.

2023 Federal Polling Year In Review 2PP Aggregate Average For 2023: 54.8 To Labor (2023 Preferences) Labor won almost every poll this year Labor's lead declined in second half

It's this time of year again ... 2024 a very different year in polls to 2023.

(Link to last year's piece, working on 2024 review tonight kevinbonham.blogspot.com/2023/12/2023... )

Popeye and Tintin enter the public domain in 2025 Popeye and Tintin are among the iconic works to enter the public domain in the US from next year.

Perpetually annoyed by Australian articles claiming things will become public domain based on US copyright terms. Please could you interview an Australian lawyer? Sigh www.abc.net.au/news/2024-12...

The moonrise is spectacular tonight. I’m just going to watch it and enjoy it on this warm summer evening #moon #Canberra

Will Australia have its first national February election? And what about the WA Election Date? All the details here. antonygreen.com.au/will-austral... #auspol

Carbon Neutral Canberra #4: Electrify everything! Households’ role in Canberra’s next big carbon neutral push Podcast Episode · FAB Canberra · 23/10/2024 · 1 sec

Carbon Neutral Canberra #4:

Electrify everything! Households' role in Canberra's next big carbon neutral push 

with UC Centre for Environmental Governance director, Prof Jacki Schirmer, & UC Canberra Business School Prof Rebekah Russell-Bennett.

podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/c... #auspol

A very common misconception I see is that it is necessary to vote below the line in the Senate to control where your preferences go. This was true for Senate elections from 1984 to 2014 but is no longer true. (It is still true in the Vic state upper house for now.)

2025 Australian federal election Welcome to the Tally Room’s guide to the next Australian federal election. This guide will include comprehensive coverage of each seat’s history, geography, political situation and results of the 2…

I'm excited to announce that my complete guide to the 2025 Australian federal election is now live, all 150 House races and 8 Senate contests can be found here: www.tallyroom.com.au/aus2025

#auspol

(The only exception is the candidates section, which will be filled in later this week)