From our FirstView: The Green Transition and Political Polarization Along Occupational Lines by VINCENT HEDDESHEIMER, @hannohilbig.bsky.social and @erikvoeten.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
🚨 New paper in the @apsrjournal.bsky.social:
Nils-Christian Bormann and I propose to model the electoral effects of ethnic and other cleavages with a new *Covoting Regression Model*. A short on the method and our results on ethnic voting in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Do citizens care who makes policy?
In Germany, some policies can be adopted either by federal or state governments. But do voters have preferences over which actor adopts a policy?
Turns out, they mostly do not.
New paper out @epsrjournal.bsky.social 🧵 1/8 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
I am looking for a postdoc to join my team at the University of Bremen. 5-year-contract, top-up to 100% possible for most of the contract period.
Apply by 04 May 2026.
If you have questions about the position, send me an email!
www.uni-bremen.de/en/universit...
Hungary: National parliament election
Turnout at 3:00 PM CEST
2010: 46.78%
2014: 45.02%
2018: 53.64%
2022: 52.75%
2026: 66.01%
Source: Nemzeti Választási Iroda
➤ europeelects.eu/hungary
#Hungary
🧠 Do citizens take information into account when forming an opinion about new policy proposals or do they just follow their priors?
@jannikfenger.bsky.social suggests they do by exploiting panel data on EU referendums in Denmark and the UK 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
New paper out in @thejop.bsky.social : "Immigration, Public Housing, and Support for the French National Front."
How does expanding public housing affect far-right support? The answer depends heavily on local conditions, and specifically on local immigrant shares.
Paper: doi.org/10.1086/736361
People who normatively endorse greater influence by ordinary citizens simultaneously show limited willingness to exercise such influence, posing significant democratic challenges journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database.
- State elections update: new years + mail-in
- 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European
- Municipal elections: 1984-2025
- Meinungsbild public opinion
- New website & features
german-elections.com
Die Bundesregierung macht falsch, was man nur falsch machen kann. Statt eine gesellschaftliche Vision zu entwickeln für ein besseres, gerechteres, prosperierendes Land macht sie Angst, baut Druck auf, verteilt Lasten ungerecht und belehrt das Volk, "es sei zu Opfern bereit". So verliert man Wahlen.
🤔 When is migration politicized?
Chendi Wang examines how the three factors problem pressure, public salience, and political pressure contribute to politicization 👇
🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The flagship journal of the European Sociological Association, European Societies, makes published articles free for everyone & does not charge authors a publication fee.
Authors of quantitative work are required to openly share data & code.
No @asanews.bsky.social journal shares all these traits.
Man sieht auch absolut keinen Rechtsruck unter Arbeiter:innen, wenn man Rechts-Links-Positionierungen anschaut. Der Teil der Arbeiterklasse, der vorher schon rechts war, hat in der AfD eine Partei gefunden. Linke Arbeiter wurden dagegen vergessen und demobilisiert.
🗳️ Planning Europe’s elections just got easier.
The updated Europe Elects Election Calendar is your one-stop hub for every vote across the continent—from local races to the next EU Parliament election.
Check the full schedule: https://europeelects.eu/calendar
Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025. In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.
📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026
💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications...
📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra...
#PoliSky #PoliSciSky
1/3
Trouble brewing in German European politics - research from @dpa.com released over the weekend shows that cooperation between the EPP and the far-right including the ESN/AfD on migration policy is far more extensive than argued by Manfred Weber:
Well, two months later the article and its fake literature references are still online 🤦♂️
"Violence can destroy power; it is utterly incapable of creating it."
-- Hannah Arendt
www.jstor.org/stable/23025...
On Sunday, one of Germany’s largest states went to the polls in a closely contested election. What can we learn from the results & how do they relate to looming deindustrialization in one of Germany’s industrial heartlands? A thread with some decriptive patterns from data on 1,101 municipalities. 🧵
Summary of Hungarian arguments. Full text in the link.
New EU court case III
Rule of law/asylum law
Hungary sues EU court for damages, saying that the EU court breached EU law by fining Hungary for *its* breach of EU law eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-conten...
🔍 How does economic inequality impact beliefs in meritocracy?
Using comprehensive survey data from 39 advanced capitalist democracies over more than three decades, Markus Gangl & I examine how rising economic inequality has been shaping citizens' belief in meritocracy.
🔗 doi.org/10.1093/ser/mwag016
Rechtzeitig zur #Landtagswahl: eine neue Version von „Immigration and Nationalism in the Long Run“
(mit schneiderst.de/)
-> Die historischen Erfahrungen mit Einwanderung wirken sich dort bis heute auf die Wahlergebnisse der #AfD aus. <-
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Paper w/ @carogarriga.bsky.social: Academia’s Class Problem. PoliSci is dominated by the upper middle class / people with parents who went to university – unlike society as a whole.
dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...
Hey people, stop using Claude to code or write your next paper for you. Be more imaginative. Here is what Claude did when I asked it to turn one of my recent columns into a standup comedy routine. docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Peep this from @anthlittle.bsky.social & @tompepinsky.com. We CAN learn even from biased estimates if we do exactly what @stablemarkets.bsky.social is saying.
www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....
Logo for the European Journal of Political Research displaying the text "EJPR European Journal of Political Research" in cream letters on a blue background, accompanied by the hashtag "#OpenAccess".
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social -
Reference groups and electoral behavior - https://cup.org/46neAJZ
- Rune Stubager, Christoffer Hentzer Dausgaard, @lenamariahuber.bsky.social & Michael Lewis-Beck
#FirstView
"But at the beginning of the period of my investigation, it was actually possible to disappear on Danish soil and become someone else. And by the end of the period in 1850, that became almost impossible" Johan Heinsen.
ML showing it's possible power as a tool in research.
#skystorian #skystorians
