🇩🇪🪖Very interesting article by @lianafix.bsky.social in @foreignaffairs.com on the threat that German “rearmament” could pose to Europe if the #AfD came to power - even though I’m doubtful about the motives behind the “revanchist” territorial claims of the AfD
www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/euro...
🇫🇷🇫🇷🇫🇷 A bombshell? Not quite but President Macron went further than expected this afternoon in announcing progress towards a strengthened “European dimension” for France’s nuclear deterrent. 1/
French President Emmanuel Macron has just given a truly remarkable speech on France's nuclear policy at a moment of great anxiety in Europe. I wanted to offer an early comment. Welcome to the age of 'Dissuasion Avancée' in Europe.
New post: panda.substack.com/p/dissuasion...
Coordinated with Macron - sometimes that Franco-German cooperation does work - Merz announces that France and Germany have set up a 'nuclear steering group' and that DE will participaty with conventional forces in French nuclear exercises.
“German rearmament could very well yield a Europe that is more divided, mistrustful, and weaker,” warns @lianafix.bsky.social.
Inzichtelijk essay van @lianafix.bsky.social over Duitsland als Europa's dominante (militaire) macht, welke gevolgen heeft dat voor de veiligheidsverhoudingen & stel dat AfD in de regering komt, hoe zou je dan haar macht kunnen beheersen
www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/euro...
Thank you, Nicolai - any and all feedback welcome, and will be part of my forthcoming book „Germany Rearmed - The Return of War and the End of Illusions“
Yes - Merz needs to address the China shock…
Can Germany afford to be Europe's protector? Sudha David-Wilp and I argue for @foreignaffairs.com that Germany's path to a military power in Europe is only viable with economic reform - otherwise, the Merz government may face domestic crisis. www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/can-...
Read @sdavidwilp.bsky.social and @lianafix.bsky.social on how German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and his grand coalition can reboot Berlin’s economy—and keep the country’s far right at bay:
Mit Beiträgen u.a. von @mlewandowsky.bsky.social und @anneuenfeld.bsky.social, @johnkampfner.bsky.social, @ardenthistorian.bsky.social, @sophiabesch.bsky.social und @lianafix.bsky.social, @havpost.bsky.social, @joerglau.bsky.social...
This is a big deal. Essentially a reversal of the US export control policy on advanced chips. Possibly decisive in the AI race. Compute is our main advantage — China has more power, engineers, and the entire edge layer — so by giving this up we increase the odds the world runs on Chinese AI.
"The structure and scale of the 28-point peace plan suggests that the Trump administration believes it can convince Ukraine to accept some of the red lines in return for vague U.S. security guarantees," writes Europe expert @lianafix.bsky.social
New piece for @euiss.bsky.social
Europe’s effort to rebuild its defences hinges on whether Europeans can cooperate more effectively with each other and with Ukraine. EU instruments can play a key role in driving this effort forward.
www.iss.europa.eu/publications...
We nuke nerds at @scientistsorg.bsky.social published a piece this morning on the nuclear weapons displayed during China's 2025 Victory Day Parade.
Read here for everything you need to know! 👇
fas.org/publication/...
One final prediction and I will shut up. No matter what is said inside the room, or what Trump would be willing to agree to, Putin will still push too hard, demand too much and overplay his hand. Because that's exactly what he has been doing for years and has neither desire nor capacity to change
Terrific primer ahead of today's #AlaskaSummit by my @cfr.org colleagues Charles A. Kupchan, @lianafix.bsky.social, and Paul B. Stares. www.cfr.org/article/what...
The data shows that Europe’s long-promised defence revival, driven by an injection of public subsidies, is beginning to materialise not just in policy rhetoric or spending pledges but also in concrete and steel
on.ft.com/46OwOFn
Nachdem Armenien und Aserbaidschan ihr gemeinsam ausgearbeitetes Friedensabkommen in Washington paraphiert und damit inhaltlich festgeschrieben haben, hat es die Regierung in Jerewan veröffentlicht. Das ist nach Jahrzehnten des Konflikts historisch. www.mfa.am/en/press-rel...
Mein Stück für Die Zeit, in dem ich argumentiere, dass es wieder dt. Scheckbuchdiplomatie braucht: unabhängig davon ob Trump‘s Russland deadline und Kehrtwende bestehen bleibt, muss DE den langfristigen Einkauf von US-Waffen für die Ukraine sichern, nicht nur ad hoc: 👉 www.zeit.de/politik/ausl...
Forging ahead: Russia sidesteps sanctions to import Austrian machinery for making howitzer barrels
A Spanish company has supplied Russia with an Austrian radial forging machine.
“In an ideal world, Ukraine and Russia should have been the top priority at the summit,” @lianafix.bsky.social said. “But in a Donald Trump world, it’s understandable why major allies choreographed it the way they did.” www.nytimes.com/2025/06/25/w...
This morning, @remkorteweg.bsky.social, @camillegrand.bsky.social, @robdewijk.bsky.social and @lianafix.bsky.social looked at the highlights of the NATO summit in The Hague and the alliance's near future.
📺Full session at The NATO Public Forum: t.co/yUJja0EGc6
🔴Wednesday at 08.00: Looking Ahead at Today's North Atlantic Council
Expert panel with @remkorteweg.bsky.social,
@robdewijk.bsky.social, @lianafix.bsky.social,
@camillegrand.bsky.social, moderated by Ikenna Azuike.
📺Stream: www.youtube.com/watch?v=D2Hj...
9 specialisten die hun licht laten schijnen over NAVO-top volgende week:
1. @hoanssolo.bsky.social Hoe verdedigt Europa zich?
2. @lianafix.bsky.social Hoe gaat Duitsland zich verdedigen?
3. @frhoffmann.bsky.social Hoe zou Russische aanval op NAVO eruitzien?
foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/20/n...
🆕🎙️ Neue Folge „Pod und die Welt“ vor dem #NATO-Gipfel (#21)
Wie die Europäer einen Trump-Eklat in Den Haag verhindern wollen. Unter anderem darüber sprechen @mabialecki.bsky.social & Katharina Peetz mit @lianafix.bsky.social @cfr.org.
Jetzt anhören: 👉 pod-und-die-welt.podigee.io/21-europas-t...
👉 www.cfr.org/article/weat... perhaps of interest for @acwlapsley.bsky.social @leslievinjamuri.bsky.social @ivodaalder.bsky.social @clingendael.bsky.social @hcss.bsky.social @remkorteweg.bsky.social @maxbergmann.bsky.social @cerianbond.bsky.social @mijrahman.bsky.social @danielfiott.bsky.social
The #NATO summit in The Hague is just around the corner - what surprises should Europeans prepare for, and how can NATO's future look like in the long-term? Read Rebeca Lissner's and my new @cfr.org paper for everything you need to know 👉 www.cfr.org/article/weat...
