Really think the game being played with futures markets is leaving a lot of folks unprepared for the future which now seems functionally locked in.
If supply is down 10m barrels a day, then demand will, eventually, have to conform and that is going to be unpleasant.
The Brennan Center defined bias as the difference between representation in existing maps and representation in the average map that met existing federal rules.
I think it was the Cook Political report that dug deeper. Looked at the bias of compactness, etc.
www.brennancenter.org/our-work/res...
An aside: the late Kevin Drum argued 1960-2000 California was gerrymandered not for partisan advantage but for the advantage of politicians. A gentleman's agreement that created safe seats favoring incumbents of both major parties.
I think I have some books on this but not the energy to read.
You could design an "unbiased" system to favor centrists or firebrands. And you could make it harder or easier for the representation of minorities and minority issues.
Long term goal: a less polarized political environment and representatives who worked for common goals. Short term: oppose DJT?
There are so many different ways of organizing. And so many reasons for doing different things.
In the short term I might define bias as the difference between party affiliation of the electorate and real or simulated representatives in the legislative body.
This isn’t a scientific debate.
This is government censorship.
This is Lysenkoism, as @gregggonsalves.bsky.social pointed out last year.
And this will not end well.
www.washingtonpost.com/health/2026/...
That was the initial explanation for strikes on Oman.
Lots of possibilities for sequels. Hiroshima, Dresden, Aushwitz, Kobayashi Maru, Mariupol.
A lot of public service work is task specific, i.e. there is not a big private market for it. So one logic for civil service protections to recruit and retain people who see it has their career, and invest in improving their expertise. Harder to do that now.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Does BA.3.2 epidemiology imply a change in SARS-CoV-2 evolution?
On the evolution of SARS-CoV-2: plausible, but far from certain.
www.thelancet.com/jo...
1/10
The wonky solution might be multi-member districts and ranked choice. But anything that seems complicated tends to be demonized by people who think they benefit from the current system. There's a lot of noise and agitprop when it comes to voting systems.
I won't win the argument with the public as shape is such an easy thing to grasp.
Still think it would be better to focus on metrics for fairness rather than an abstract proxy for it.
There are other examples where we regulate X because we pretend it impacts Y. But we could just regulate Y.
I'm with you. I've heard the idea in California is that the coast has some motivated representatives rather than being ignored by 10 different reps with dominantly inland districts. Seems handwavy, and I can't judge if it's a good thing.
I do think a sole focus on shape skips the important stuff.
Since 2001, Wallace’s Hawk-eagle has lost about 35% of the forest within its range, and is currently listed as Vulnerable on the IUCN Red List. For the Wallace’s Hawk-eagle, and hundreds of other raptors, protecting forests means protecting their future. (Photo courtesy of The Peregrine Fund.)
Habitat loss driven by humans is one of the primary reasons for bird population declines. New research by @theperegrinefund.bsky.social studied forest loss for 369 forest-dependent raptor species around the world: all had lost ~10% of forest cover since 2001 and many had <25% of forest cover left.
Maybe someone in the chain of command was feeling less like murder that day. Wonder if they got replaced.
At a glance I thought it might be a back-filled burrow, but it does seem to have a lot of volcanic / diagenetic textures. Secondary minerals, concretions, rhythmic iron precipitation, ...
fossil hydrothermal system?
#FossilFriday ⚒️🧪
Maybe a bit self-serving as a Democrat. Prioritizing compactness apparently gives a pretty big advantage to Republicans nationally because of how metropolitan districts are chopped up.
If you prioritize proportional party representation your districts start getting wonky.
Playing devil's advocate: Geography isn't compact. Coastal or fluvial reps need 🦎
Shape and compactness of districts aren't something I'm sure I care about. There are both reasonable and unreasonable justifications for non-compact districts. You have to dig into actual motives and actual outcomes.
Hello from the field! The CRESCENT team has been hard at work along the Oregon Coast, collecting 33 tree slabs from two Cascadia earthquakes, capturing detailed 3D scans, and logging a full stratigraphic section.
Ashley (DNR), Bryan (UA), Marge (PSU), John (PSU), Charlotte (UA), and David (UA)
This is the kind of betrayal a nation carries out when its leaders don't believe in the concept of allies and that views promises as something for suckers.
It also makes our armed forces less safe. No nation will ever trust us again. Why should they? We stab our friends in the back.
Remember that glass (?) sponge #okeanos saw in the deeps off the North Pacific? BIGGER THAN A FREAKIN MINIBUS! #spongeThursday youtu.be/v1Tx2GKk-eM?...
Thirteen U.S. troops died trying to get these people to safety — Afghan interpreters, soldiers, and the families of our service members. Veterans spent sleepless nights during the chaotic withdrawal fighting to keep them alive. Now our own government is going to abandon them.
Oh look, what a shock, he's extending the ceasefire indefinitely.
I assume the market response will be 'oh good, no renewed war!' when it should be, 'uh oh, this 'almost no ships move, mutual blockade ceasefire could continue for a long time!'
Both sides think they gain from extending pressure.
Happening now. Approach to LAX.
Congratulations on finding the single website the government of the United States cares least about.
"Yes, I funded human trafficking, but I pinky promise to sell my interests if I am confirmed."
NASA’s Curiosity Finds Organic Molecules Never Seen Before on Mars
astrobiology.com/2026/04/nasa... #Astrobiology #Mars #biosignatue #OrganicChemistry
Institutional and regulatory instability also seems like a problem. Getting a green light to fuck things up doesn't mean you won't get shut down in 2029 because you fucked stuff up. Makes it hard to decide whether a project would be viable.
Companies are reticent to invest in countries with unrest.
Would be interesting to see the "bureaucracy" and "red tape" explained. If it's actually out-dated or overly onerous, it would be good to update it. Help other overlooked projects.
But mayors, governors, presidents like to be able to do sweeping things with their pens.