OpenAI Is A Confidence Game Empowered By The Media and Investors That Is Rigged To Explode
I tend to be pretty light-hearted in what I write, but please take me seriously when I say I have genuine concerns about the dangers posed by OpenAI.
I believe that OpenAI is an incredibly risky entity, not due to the power of its models or its underlying assets, but due to Sam Altman’s ability to con people and find others that will con in his stead. Those responsible for rooting out con artists - regulators, investors and the media - have not simply failed, but actively assisted Altman in this con.
Here’re the crucial elements of the con:
Creating a halo of uncertainty around the actual efficacies of LLMs, to the point that a cult of personality grew around a technology that obfuscated its actual outcomes and efficacies to the point that it could be sold based on what it might do rather than what it actually does.
Creating a halo of “genius” around Altman himself, aided by constant and vague threats of human destruction with the suggestion that only Altman could solve them.
Normalizing the idea that it’s both necessary and important to let a company burn billions of dollars.
Normalizing the idea that it’s okay that a company has perpetual losses, and perpetuating the idea that these losses are necessary for innovation to continue at large.
Sam Altman is a dull, mediocre man that loves money and power. He appears to be superficially charming, but his actual skill is ingratiating himself with others and having them owe him favors, or feel somehow indebted to him otherwise. He remembers people’s names and where he met them, and is very good at emailing people, writing checks, or finding reasons for somebody else to write a check. He is not technical - he can barely code and misunderstands basic machine learning (to quote Futurism) - but is very good at making the noises that people want to hear, be they big scary statements that confirm their biases or massive promises of un…
Tomorrow's Premium: The Hater's Guide To OpenAI, a 17,000 word guide to Sam Altman's decade-long con built on lies about the capabilities and economics of generative AI. This company can not be allowed to go public.
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