YouGov's London council election MRP forecasts breakthrough for the Greens and Reform UK in the capital, but with close races in many boroughs
# of boroughs where party has highest vote share, central projection
Lab: 15 (-6 from 2022)
Con: 5 (-1)
Grn: 4 (+4)
LD: 4 (+1)
Ref: 3 (+3)
Oth: 1 (-1)
Posts by Heather Rolfe
We are proud to support @localhistoryhub.bsky.social's #LocalHistoryDay
Our Learning Manager Tia Shah explores why teaching local history is a great way of engaging young people on migration – and highlighting some digital resources to get you started: www.migrationmuseum.org/why-teaching...
On the part that Trump appeasement plays - traits that should have disqualified Mandelson were seen as credentials to be emissary at the court of a rogue president www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
New IfG report recommends devolving employment support. I think the case for this is very strong: if you look at a map of “where sickness related economic inactivity happens”, it is obvious that what you are seeing is primarily a problem of how local economies operate:
Reform pledges to review the previous 5 years of asylum grants if got into power - deporting those granted refugee status if came without permission.
Reform claim 400,000 people granted asylum would be "in scope" - and they would deport most of them
www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...
People seeking asylum navigate one of the most complex areas of law, often not in their first language
Science can change lives. But only with public trust.
New research by @moreincommonuk.bsky.social finds Britain broadly trusts science – but we can’t take that for granted.
Find out more in our new report ⤵️
wellcome.org/insights/rep...
The number of people crossing by small boat this year compared to last year. The fall is very real and not seasonal. Little difference in numbers during the winter but since numbers increased in spring, half as many people are coming as this time last year. This is mainly because of European trends.
So improve reporting and investigation for domestic abuse overall.
This drip feed of misleading claims making out that there is widespread abuse of the asylum system is going to harm those genuinely affected, and make it harder for them to seek safety. 1/
#r4today
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
BBC editorial staff should re-read their immigration review
The corporation struggles to cover well stuff that is not politically contested or controversial
It should cover controversial issues but it risks reinforcing major public misperceptions on key issues
www.bbc.co.uk/news/enterta...
This is right, but I'd go further: winning the domestic argument on the free movement of people is what's needed to unlock anything further than the reset. That means Starmer has to repudiate many of his own arguments on migration.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
My analysis of the fiscal impact of the "earned settlement" proposals, based on government's own data.
The direct savings are a fraction of the Home Secretary's misleading claims, and likely to be offset by the substantial costs of lower work-related migration.
www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026...
✍️ "This is a tragedy for individuals, but also means our economy is missing out on a huge amount of potential talent."
The gap in attainment between richer and poorer pupils has lifelong implications - for both individuals and society.
It must be tackled ⤵️
This analysis is total nonsense.
1. There is no chance at all that net migration will average 235k in 2026-27.
It will be much closer to zero than 235k
2. There will be declining school pupil numbers & closures for demographic reasons
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/04...
"There is a problem with legal competence– the power for the EU to negotiate a full-fat youth mobility scheme enabling young people to travel, study and, crucially, work."
@cbarnard.bsky.social & Denzil Davidson explain why youth mobility negotiations are so complex
🔗 ukandeu.ac.uk/youth-mobili...
A new piece on Labour's red lines on tax, Europe and migration. We think it's time for Labour to drop them.
London Mayor Sadiq Khan has pledged £30m from this year’s budget to launch a ‘Youth Lates’ programme with a new youth club in every London borough
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
"The harm to integration, to the social fabric, to children’s futures and to workers’ rights will be immense."
@colinyeo.bsky.social on the government's "earned settlement" proposals.
freemovement.org.uk/earned-settl...
The economy and health are seen as the most important issues facing Scotland, ahead of the Holyrood election
Economy: 55%
Health: 45%
Immigration: 33%
Education: 20%
Housing: 20%
Independence: 14%
Crime: 14%
Europe: 14%
Tax: 14%
Environment: 12%
Welfare: 12%
Defence: 10%
yougov.com/en-gb/articl...
There’s only 2 weeks to until our webinar with @uofgpolicy.bsky.social where Prof Kezia Dugdale, @profnicolamcewen.bsky.social & Dr Hefin Gwilym will explore what can the devolved governments do to address the cost-of-living crisis. Register now➡️ www.eventbrite.com/e/what-can-d...
‘Immigrants could be found in every corner of the Irish Free State….the 1920s were quite a globalised world’. (John Gibney)
'Licence to Hate - Racism on the Front Line' - BBC Radio 4 this Sunday 5th at 1.30pm
Examining whether racism is becoming more frequent and visible, with a focus on healthcare workers - incl discussion with our @sundersays.bsky.social
www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m...
Our research internships are an opportunity for anyone looking to start a career in policy to gain experience working on some of the thorniest problems that the UK government faces.
Watch as our 2025-26 cohort tell us more about the projects they work on - and what they are particularly proud of.
Changing the rules for migrants already here is wrong and unfair but only affects a finite group of people. Extending default settlement to 10 years or more for everyone is a social policy disaster. open.substack.com/pub/wewanted...
This is absolutely spot on from Emily Thornberry 👏