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Posts by Matej Rafael Risko

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❗️EU authorities demand urgent explanations from Hungary after leaked recordings reveal FM Szijjarto shared internal EU and national discussions with Russia between 2023 and 2025. Lawmakers are also pushing to restrict access to sensitive information for pro-Russian officials within EU institutions.

1 week ago 423 100 11 6
Interview. Catherine Vautrin, ministre des Armées : « Les services de renseignement français sont en alerte maximale » La ministre des Armées Catherine Vautrin aborde les sujets d’une actualité brûlante, dans un entretien accordé au groupe EBRA, auquel appartient votre journal.

On 4 March, French Defence Minister Vautrin dropped quite the bomb in an interview with Etienne Ouvrier of Le Dauphine
regarding French stocks of HEU and plutonium: France has enough recoverable material from dismantled warheads for new warheads. 1/8

www.ledauphine.com/defense-guer...

1 week ago 12 2 1 1

This thread about the blast radius of bombs is going around but it’s ridiculously inaccurate, which is why quoting and replying are disabled. PSA it’s misinformation slop.

2 weeks ago 211 34 3 2

Yeah, when pro-Israel voices say that the US military commits war crimes just like the IDF, I want to throw hands.

2 weeks ago 32 2 2 0

Meanwhile, the USAF isn’t procuring MAWS for F-15EX

2 weeks ago 57 4 1 0

I mean CENTCOM sure has nuclear annexes to their OPLANs, the use of Trident for nuclear signalisation is entirely doable if boys are anywhere around.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

As for the Black Book and strike options, yes, it would take some time to create *entirely* new flight plans, but that’s about it.

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

2 things

1 Everyone should calm down, the US is not going to nuke Tehran.

2 Trump’s genocidal rhetoric is absolutely repugnant and should be instantly condemned in any decent society, regardless of politics, and it is pathetic and a sign of the times that this man is president

2 weeks ago 12 5 0 0

Have you ever heard of MMIII?

2 weeks ago 4 0 3 1
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Few words on NATO nuclear deterrence by Jim Stokes (frmr NATO Director of Nuclear Policy) and Yanitsa Dyakova (NATO Nuclear Policy)

www.jwc.nato.int/wp-content/u...

2 weeks ago 1 2 0 0
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As for the possible Qaem payload- Iranians have some experience with graphite-filled carbon-phenolic (C-Ph) composites (for nozzles, the technology for TPS is fairly similar in that regard) even though they have never tested RVs at such ranges.

Not speaking about the accuracy, likely horrible

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
Preview
Danmark forberedte sig på muligt angreb fra USA: Fløj poser med blod til Grønland og gjorde klar til at sprænge landingsbaner i luften Nøglekilder i Danmark og Europa fortæller nu for første gang, hvad der skete i de mest kritiske dage, hvor Donald Trump truede med at tage Grønland "på den hårde måde".

Remarkable story from Denmark's nat'l broadcaster. "When Danish soldiers were flown to Greenland in January...they brought explosives so they could destroy, among other things, the runways in Nuuk & Kangerlussuaq [to] prevent US mil aircraft from landing" www.dr.dk/nyheder/indl...

1 month ago 1943 718 33 130

Like why the JASSM, LRAShCM or TLAM?

1 month ago 3 1 1 0

Yeah, it always amazes me that they demand dual-capable systems that are completely unnecessary and no one stops to think about what would actually be extremely helpful for planning operations in the 2040s and 2050s. And that’s the (INS only 30-50m CEP) standoff option for the F-35 and more mod 11s

1 month ago 3 1 2 0

Trilateral/3-body deterrence dynamics are spooky and might be intrinsically unstable. Guess we are going to find out!

1 month ago 18 2 1 0

I'm gonna say it: Bob is at least directionally right even if I do not agree on all of his prescriptions. "We build, they build. We stop, they build" is back on the menu. It takes two to arms race, but we are categorically NOT the initiators if this race begins in earnest.

1 month ago 38 4 5 0

Same goes for LRHW, that’s ***A LOT*** of work on a new payload (different missile from the scratch but man, Pershing III would solve many problems).

Just give me INS-only 30-50m CEP standoff option that fits into the F-35s bays and produce more B61-11.
Please

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

TLAM, LRASM, JASSM and LRAShCM-N are really bad ideas but other points are quite sensible from the planning perspective.

Agree that most of this aren’t happening. At least GLCM should happen though, even if it’s difficult to containerise SLCM-N (use control features)

1 month ago 3 0 1 0

This is one of my favorite products to produce because it is about getting the terrain to tell a story to the staff.

1 month ago 74 7 6 0
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This is very good on how the cult of tactics and lethality is about to do serious damage to US PME

I'd add that anti-intellectualism is a major threat to PME elsewhere, too

1 month ago 71 12 1 0

Looks like Super Hornet btw (it may be Growler)

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

True in a technical sense, tho it’s important to note that in modern conflicts (Iran is no exception), the air dominance is localised to enable the mission objectives. So it is “localised total” air dominance

1 month ago 0 2 1 0
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IYKYK

1 month ago 35 4 5 0

This is important from a legal perspective, as the failure to distinguish an obviously civilian site can be considered a war crime

In any case,the lists of targets are constantly being updated,but they contain thousands of targets and some of the information used in them are (literally) decades old

1 month ago 2 0 1 0

The IRGC compound nearby was destroyed during the same strike and it was a former IRGC base, so I doubt it was even possible to clearly distinguish the nature target, no clear (functionally) observable differences.

It is a tragedy, the kind that unfortunately happens during war.
2/2

1 month ago 2 1 1 0

Re school strike-it likely wasn't a problem with the use of outdated imagery, it was an error in assessing the nature of the target. The planner relied on outdated intel and, based on the imagery he received he created a strike plan. You’d be surprised how much old info planning often relies on
1/2

1 month ago 2 2 1 0

NATO working groups do. Tho implementation and institutional learning.....

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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I have had quite deep and lengthy on and off record discussions on these topics with researchers and NATO officers, but unfortunately it is true that institutional learning is slower than slow.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Ukrainian Special Forces Operations drones destroyed a Russian 9C19 Ginger radar station and an S-300V air defense system near Mariupol overnight, using domestically produced FP-2 drones with 100kg warheads. #Ukraine

1 month ago 435 70 2 1

My deep condolences, very sorry to hear that

1 month ago 0 0 0 0