Charts! The quarterly @wsj.com economic forecasting survey for April in detail -- plus a report card on how our panel of economists fared in 2025. With my colleague Peter Santilli.

www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

We Asked a Panel of Economists to Forecast the War’s Impact Few think the conflict will derail a resilient economy, but inflation, growth and jobs are all expected to take a hit.

Recent months have been marked by slower growth, stubborn inflation and a weaker job market. Economists worry the war in Iran could exacerbate all three. www.wsj.com/economy/infl...

U.S. birthrates continued to hit new lows in 2025 as the number of children born hovered around roughly 3.6 million for the sixth straight year. My latest with colleagues Paul Overberg and Andrea Petersen.

www.wsj.com/us-news/why-...

The Epic 50-Year Story of Apple, Told Through the WSJ Archive See the headlines from decades of coverage that chronicle the evolution of an American icon

The Epic 50-Year Story of Apple, Told Through the WSJ Archive
www.wsj.com/tech/the-hea...

Economists Don’t See a Recession Unless Oil Hits $138—and Stays There for Weeks In a survey, the average of economists projects the Middle East conflict boosting inflation but probably not hurting growth.

In our latest economic survey for @wsj.com, the average recession probability has ticked up to 32% but the consensus is that the economy is resilient enough to weather the oil supply disruption—provided crude doesn't rise above above $138/barrel for a sustained period.
www.wsj.com/economy/econ...

Core LLM integration infrastructure to allow pgAdmin to connect to AI… · pgadmin-org/pgadmin4@f2756a3 … providers. #9641 * Core infrastructure for LLM integration. * Add support for a number of different AI generated reports on security, performance, and schema design on servers, databases, and sc...

pgAdmin team working on adding AI capabilities to its popular PostgreSQL query and management tool (i.e., things you learn by watching GitHub repos). github.com/pgadmin-org/...

How Trump Administration Aimed Tariff Exemptions at Rising Food Costs Charts show how the president has eased his levies—but some key ingredients might still weigh on consumers.

Latest from me: How President Trump aimed tariff exclusions at food—and which items remain under levies. In charts: www.wsj.com/economy/trad...

Stronger Growth, Weaker Hiring: Forecasters See a Split-Screen Economy In the latest Wall Street Journal survey, forecasters also predict that the Federal Reserve will become less independent.

Stronger growth but a weaker jobs picture: Economists surveyed by @wsj.com see a bifurcated picture of the nation's economic prospects. Latest quarterly survey, with @HarrietTorry www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

Tariffs Are Way Up. Interest on Debt Tops $1 Trillion. And DOGE Didn’t Do Much. The books have closed on the U.S. government’s fiscal 2025. Here’s what has changed about the federal budget—and what hasn’t.

Tariffs brought in record revenue in fiscal year 2025 for the U.S. government. But how much did that change the overall picture? Five takeaways from @richardrubindc.bsky.social and me today on what has changed about the federal budget—and what hasn’t. www.wsj.com/economy/tari...

How Trump’s Deportation Effort Is Playing Out, in Charts ICE is moving to step up arrests, detentions and deportations. We crunched the numbers.

Highly recommend this deportations data breakdown from @anthonydb.bsky.social @wsj.com J

Importantly, it highlights *missing data*

DHS' statistics office hasn't released broken down info since January, meaning we don't have the complete picture of who is being deported, by which agency & where

DataGrip Is Now Free for Non-Commercial Use | The DataGrip Blog We’re excited to announce a change in our licensing model that we believe will benefit the developer community – DataGrip is now free for non-commercial use!

Wow, JetBrains is making DataGrip available for free for non-commercial use. Great news for students and open-source projects. blog.jetbrains.com/datagrip/202...

Postgres.app — my favorite way to run PostgreSQL on macOS — is making it easier to add extensions to your environment. Really handy. postgresapp.com/extensions/

The Path to Record Deficits A generation ago, the federal budget was briefly in surplus. Now, it appears headed for a record stretch of peacetime deficits. What happened?

Take a spin in the time machine, back to an era when the federal budget deficit didn’t look like a problem at all. Today, my colleagues @richardrubindc.bsky.social, Rosie Ettenheim and I break down how to the U.S. arrived at record deficits. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

The Nats should be 4-0 against the Rockies. They're 2-2.

@natschatpodcast.bsky.social What a sad series against the Marlins. 1) The Nats are now just 1 game ahead of the Marlins for the NL East cellar. 2) 0-9 with RISP in today's game! 3) At least Cole Henry looks like a future closer with those two K's and 2.22 ERA.

Exclusive | Economists Raise Questions About Quality of U.S. Inflation Data The Labor Department says staffing shortages reduced its ability to conduct its massive monthly survey, forcing it to turn to less precise guesses.

Some economists are beginning to question the accuracy of recent U.S. inflation data after the federal government said BLS staffing shortages hampered its ability to conduct the massive monthly survey. www.wsj.com/economy/cpi-...

Image of the pgAdmin Query Tool showing the custom font.

Newest versions of pgAdmin now let us customize the font in the Query Tool. Nice upgrade.

Set here to MesloLGL Nerd Font:

U.S. total fertility rate in 2024 only slightly above 2023's low. www.wsj.com/us-news/u-s-...

That explains it.

Transactions The Official Site of Major League Baseball

I may be wrong but the "Transactions" tab here lists almost every Nat changing numbers on April 16. Or is that some sort of glitch?

www.mlb.com/nationals/ro...

@markzuckerman.bsky.social Did the Nats all change uniform numbers recently? If so, what’s the story there?

What Economists See Ahead—and How They Fared Last Year Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, and were wrong.

Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal expect slower growth this year and a higher chance of recession. Today, my colleague Peter Santilli and I break down our panel's forecasts—and report on how well the panel fared in 2024.

www.wsj.com/economy/econ...

Economic Outlook Dives Just Three Months Into Trump’s Term The probability of a recession has leapt while the growth outlook has slumped, a survey of economists has found.

Since President Trump took office, economists have slashed estimates for growth while raising them for inflation and unemployment. www.wsj.com/economy/trad...

See How Government Spending Is Up Even as Musk Touts Savings The Musk team’s estimated $150 billion in savings barely makes a dent in $6.8 trillion of expenditures largely on autopilot, a WSJ analysis finds.

Federal spending is higher since President Trump took office even as the Department of Government Efficiency slashes contracts, cuts jobs and ends diversity programs, by @anthonydb.bsky.social / @jamesgbenedict www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Microsoft PostgreSQL OSS engine team: reflecting on 2024 | Microsoft Community Hub In  "Microsoft PostgreSQL OSS engine team: reflecting on 2024", the first part of a two part blog post, you will learn about who the Microsoft...

Interesting post on Microsoft engineers' contributions to PostgreSQL in 2024. techcommunity.microsoft.com/blog/adforpo...

Why daylight saving time is worse for your body than standard time Daylight saving time gives us more light at the end of the day to enjoy spring and summer activities, but it can have a negative impact on our health.

From this, which is fun and well done:
www.washingtonpost.com/wellness/int...

Yep, that's me.

While DOGE hasn’t offered details about all of the stated savings, it has posted a list of more than 1,100 canceled contracts to its website. As of Friday, it said the savings from these contracts amounted to about $7 billion. The Journal analysis projects the actual savings could be closer to $2.6 billion over the next year if spending levels remained constant—and about 2% of the funds would have gone to contracts related to DEI. Research-focused agencies were among the top targets for cuts, including the Education Department and the Department of Health and Human Services, where DOGE terminated contracts costing the government more than $900 million last year. DOGE terminated more than 60 Health and Human Services contracts including a clinical evaluation of an Alzheimer’s and traumatic brain injury drug and a study of smokers with chronic lung disease. DOGE described these as “administrative expenses.”

My colleagues, @ceostroff.bsky.social, Shane Shifflett, and James Benedict have a fantastic look at DOGE's savings claims: "A WSJ analysis of government data found that many claims of savings were overstated and ‘woke’ cuts were only a tiny fraction of the total." www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

Important note for new readers of Practical SQL! Today's release of pgAdmin v9.0 introduces a "Workspace" layout that's enabled by default. I've written instrux on how to set the layout back to "Classic," which matches the book and is, IMO, better. github.com/anthonydb/pr...

DOGE Staffer Resigns Over Racist Posts A staffer for Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency whose access to U.S. Treasury payment systems was approved by a federal judge on Thursday has links to a deleted social-media account…

A staffer for Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency whose access to U.S. Treasury payment systems was approved by a federal judge has links to a deleted social-media account that advocated for racism and eugenics