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Posts by Nils Steiner

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Concentrated academic recruiting. 10% of political science departments produce 60% of all polsci professors in Germany. FU Berlin produced most professors, followed by Mannheim, Hamburg, Frankfurt, Heidelberg. In psychology,...

3 days ago 24 12 3 0
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🚨 I have an article out at APR titled “Educational Polarization in American Politics: More than Just a Diploma Divide” in which i look at how educational attainment shapes public opinion and political behavior across the entire education spectrum, not just the across the degree/no degree binary 1/x

5 days ago 88 33 6 4

After Orban:
Huge turnout (could be close to 80%). Constitutional majority in play for TISZA.
If TISZA Party wins in 🇭🇺, this is not a change of government. It is a potential regime rupture.
🧵

1 week ago 105 40 2 9
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🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database.

- State elections update: new years + mail-in
- 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European
- Municipal elections: 1984-2025
- Meinungsbild public opinion
- New website & features

german-elections.com

2 weeks ago 115 36 3 5
Screenshots of the conference program

Screenshots of the conference program

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We are already looking forward to the 2026 "AK Wahlen" @dvpw.bsky.social conference at JGU Mainz on 7–8 May and to welcoming many of you there for an exciting program.

The conference is open to non-presenters.

Registration deadline: 24 April 2026.

More information: www.dvpw.de/gliederung/a...

2 weeks ago 23 7 0 1
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Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review!

We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

2 weeks ago 351 146 8 21

Herzlichen Glückwunsch, Arndt! Das freut mich sehr für Dich und ich wünsche Dir einen guten Start im Pferdestall.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

This is a must-read for everyone working on group identities in party competition! Looking forward to re-reading it 😊

3 weeks ago 11 3 1 0

Ja, genau.

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Happy to see my chapter on #directdemocracy out!

It shows that referendums have become a widely used tool far beyond Switzerland. Our meta-analyses find that direct democracy can have important positive effects, eg strengthening citizens’ sense that they have a say link.springer.com/rwe/10.1007/...

3 weeks ago 30 8 2 0
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Ein sehr schönes Stück Datenjournalismus zum Wahlverhalten der jungen Wähler:innen in Deutschland: www.sueddeutsche.de/projekte/art....

Die Abbildung zeigt, wie außergewöhnlich die Overperformance der Linkspartei bei den Jungen im Langzeitvergleich ist.

Datenbasis: Repräsentative Wahlstatistik.

3 weeks ago 18 3 2 0
Call for Papers: Eurobarometer Symposium March 2027 Stay updated with the latest news and developments from the Eurobarometer Data Service. Explore recent updates and insights for your research at GESIS.

📢Please share widely! 📢

Do you do research with Eurobarometer data? Then submit your abstract for the Eurobarometer Symposium at GESIS Cologne on March 11 and 12, 2027: www.gesis.org/en/eurobarom...

3 weeks ago 13 18 0 1

📣Deadline extended! You have until Sunday (29.3) to apply.

We are looking for Early Career Researchers engaging with far-right politics in Europe.

3 weeks ago 17 15 2 2
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FOUR GRAPHS ABOUT 🇩🇰'S GENERAL ELECTION

My read of the election in four graphs. First: big urban-rural divide. The two big mainstream parties, Social Democrats and Liberals, are now mainly rural/suburban, with niche parties dominating in cities. (1/4) #polisky

3 weeks ago 96 37 3 5
A bar chart titled "Proportion of 18–24s that say each is their main source of news," comparing data from 2015 and 2025.

Key data points:

Social Media: Increased from 21% in 2015 to 39% in 2025, becoming the top source.

News websites and apps: Decreased from 36% to 24%.

TV: Decreased from 28% to 21%.

Print and Radio: Both saw slight declines, from 6% to 4%.

The chart notes that young people in 2025 are much more reliant on social media for news than those 10 years ago.

A bar chart titled "Proportion of 18–24s that say each is their main source of news," comparing data from 2015 and 2025. Key data points: Social Media: Increased from 21% in 2015 to 39% in 2025, becoming the top source. News websites and apps: Decreased from 36% to 24%. TV: Decreased from 28% to 21%. Print and Radio: Both saw slight declines, from 6% to 4%. The chart notes that young people in 2025 are much more reliant on social media for news than those 10 years ago.

1️⃣ Online platforms are now the main source of news for many young people

In 2015 only 21% of 18-24s across 18 markets said their main source of news was social media. Ten years later, this percentage has risen to 39%, overtaking news sites and apps, which have decreased from 36% to 24%

4 weeks ago 57 23 3 3
Six line graphs showing the changing news consumption habits of 18–24-year-olds on various social platforms between 2014 and 2025 across nine markets.

Key Trends:

Rising Platforms: Instagram grew steadily to 30%, and TikTok saw a sharp increase from 0% in 2020 to 22% in 2025.

Stable Platforms: YouTube (23%), Twitter/X (20%), and WhatsApp (15%) have remained relatively stable or shown slight fluctuations.

Declining Platform: Facebook shows a significant drop, falling from nearly 50% in 2016 to 16% in 2025.

The data illustrates a shift toward visual-based platforms and away from legacy social networks for news.

Six line graphs showing the changing news consumption habits of 18–24-year-olds on various social platforms between 2014 and 2025 across nine markets. Key Trends: Rising Platforms: Instagram grew steadily to 30%, and TikTok saw a sharp increase from 0% in 2020 to 22% in 2025. Stable Platforms: YouTube (23%), Twitter/X (20%), and WhatsApp (15%) have remained relatively stable or shown slight fluctuations. Declining Platform: Facebook shows a significant drop, falling from nearly 50% in 2016 to 16% in 2025. The data illustrates a shift toward visual-based platforms and away from legacy social networks for news.

3️⃣ Instagram, YouTube and TikTok are the platforms young people use the most for news

Those platforms have now overtaken Facebook, which has gone from 53% to 16% in the past nine years. See the evolution nine countries we’ve tracked in the past decade in the chart below

4 weeks ago 71 29 3 8

Welcome to @powimz.bsky.social, Constantin! We’re absolutely thrilled to have you on board.

4 weeks ago 13 1 1 0
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„Schweitzers Bonus hat nicht gereicht, um gegen den SPD-Bundestrend anzukommen“ Die SPD verlor die Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz deutlicher als erwartet. Wahlforscher Steiner erklärt, warum der Bundestrend entscheidend war.

Mit der @fr-zeitung.bsky.social habe ich über das Ergebnis der Landtagswahl in Rheinland-Pfalz gesprochen: www.fr.de/politik/trot...

4 weeks ago 13 4 0 0
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This news has really shocked and saddened me. I held Leo in very high regard, both as a researcher and as a person. Thank you for sharing the obituary, Felix.

“His work will be remembered as precise, honest, and innovative.”

4 weeks ago 13 1 0 2
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Stellenangebote

We are hiring! The Department of Inequality, Transformation and Conflict is looking for Postdoc & Doc Researchers (m/f/d). Find out more & apply via www.ips.mpg.de #MaxPlanck #Postdoc #PhD #Sociology #SocialScience #PoliticalScience #Inequality #Conflict www.ips.mpg.de/13135/stelle...

4 weeks ago 102 54 1 4

Weil das Narrativ der "jungen rechten Männer" sich derart hartnäckig hält - einige Auswertungen aus den repräsentativen Wahlstatistiken der verschiedenen Bundesländer.

Spoiler: *IN KEINEM BUNDESLAND DEUTSCHLANDS WÄHLEN 18-24-JÄHRIGE MÄNNER MEHR AfD ALS MÄNNER ZWISCHEN 35 UND 60.*

4 weeks ago 389 156 12 12

Und hier nun mit dem tatsächlichen Wahlergebnis. Umdrehung des Umfragefehlers gegenüber den beiden vorangegangen Landtagswahlen in Rheinland-Pfalz.

4 weeks ago 7 1 1 0

Und hier sieht man die Entwicklung der Umfragewerte von SPD und CDU in RLP in den letzten drei Legislaturperioden, mit den Aufholjagden der SPD vor den Wahlen. Sieht nach einem engen Rennen morgen aus...

1 month ago 14 2 0 1

Hinweise auf letzteres Phänomen gibt es für die Bundestagswahl 2025 in diesem tollen Journal: bsky.app/profile/pvs-...

4 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Die SPD gewinnt in einem sehr knappen Rennen Kaiserslautern I. Die AfD bleibt damit wohl landesweit ohne Direktmandat. Spannend ist, dass sie hier dennoch bei der Zweitstimme vorne liegt, was für einen starken Kandidatenfaktor und/oder kluges Stimmensplitting der Wählenden spricht.

4 weeks ago 13 3 4 0

Einmal mehr: Keine Altersgruppe wählte *SO LINKS WIE DIE 18-24 JÄHRIGEN*.

Die AfD war bei den Jüngsten *SCHWÄCHER als bei den 35-60 Jährigen*.

4 weeks ago 86 24 7 4

Und hier sieht man die Entwicklung der Umfragewerte von SPD und CDU in RLP in den letzten drei Legislaturperioden, mit den Aufholjagden der SPD vor den Wahlen. Sieht nach einem engen Rennen morgen aus...

1 month ago 14 2 0 1
Vorhersage der Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg und Rheinland-Pfalz Heute veröffentlichen wir unsere Vorhersage für die Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg und Rheinland-Pfalz – 8 bzw. 22 Tage vor der nächsten Wahl. Unser Vorhersagemodell basiert auf unserem neuen Mod...

Hier gibt es eine nähere Beschreibung durch die Kolleg:innen von @zweitstimme.bsky.social: zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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New data from V-Dem suggests that US democracy is now similar to what it was in 1965, which might sound strange.

That's because the overall score is the same, but for different reasons:

Elections are more democratic now, and civil liberties stronger — but checks on government are far weaker.

1 month ago 13 7 2 0

A🧵on recent 🔽 in gov't accountability in the US. In short, accountability:

1️⃣ Vertical: citizens
2️⃣ Horizontal: other state institutions
3️⃣ Diagonal: media and civil society

as Kyle explains, it's 2️⃣ horizontal accountability that has dropped the sharpest in the US recently.

1 month ago 3 4 0 0