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Posts by Raphael Brade

Postdoctoral Research Fellow (100%, E 13 TV-L)

Post Doc at Uni Tübingen! 100% position for 3 (+3) years; they're looking for somebody to analyze large-scale longitudinal datasets in education research.

Expertise in machine learning is an advantage, commitment to research transparency desirable 😌 proficiency in German beneficial but not required

1 week ago 56 51 2 0

one must always reblog this

1 month ago 339 77 5 0

4. As Jevin West and I have been saying for several years now, because a seemingly credible message no longer implies a human sender, LLMs will push us toward more emphasis on reputation and status — and as such serve as an anti-egalitarian force in all aspects of society, science included.

1 month ago 317 81 4 5
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Bericht: Interne Chats belegen Kooperation der EVP mit rechten Parteien Die Brandmauer zur AfD stehe auch im Europaparlament – das beteuerte CSU-Politiker Manfred Weber noch vor Kurzem. Eine Whatsapp-Gruppe und ein Treffen lassen daran Zweifel aufkommen, wie die Nachricht...

Friedrich Merz hat erst vor 6 Tagen gesagt: «Wir werden mit dieser Partei nicht zusammenarbeiten.»

Nun kommt raus, dass sein Parteifreund Manfred Weber im Europaparlament gezielt mit der AfD & anderen Rechtsextremen zusammen arbeitet.

Hat Merz noch die Macht in der Union - oder wusste er Bescheid?

1 month ago 1301 464 84 23

🚨Replication alert🚨
I'm pleased to announce that my replication of Moretti (2021) is now accepted as a comment at AER.

I find ten issues in the paper. My comment focuses on two major problems; in the appendix, I document eight (relatively) minor problems.

1/

1 month ago 147 50 9 11
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🚀 Come work with us: 7 PhD positions in #InequalityResearch at the Cluster of Excellence “The Politics of Inequality”, @uni-konstanz.de

Fully funded (TV-L E13, 75%, 4 years) Start: 1 Oct 2026
Application deadline: 15 Apr 2026

ℹ️ t1p.de/j3vk5, apply here: t1p.de/h5mz9

1 month ago 10 13 0 2
Paper Title: Information Framing and Student Decisions: Evidence from an Opportunity Cost Intervention
Authors: Lars Behlen, Raphael Brade, Oliver Himmler, Robert Jäckle
Abstract: Opportunity costs are central to economic decision-making but often neglected. In a pre-registered experiment with 2,222 German university freshmen, one treatment provides salary information; another additionally frames it as the opportunity cost of delayed graduation. Only the opportunity cost framing causes students to update salary expectations. We find no effect on academic progress but a 2.8 percentage points increase in first-semester dropout (p=0.080), concentrated among high-dropout-probability students (5.9 pp, p=0.025). For these marginal students, dropping out instead of progressing faster is the actionable margin. By semester three, dropout rates converge, suggesting acceleration of eventual exits rather than additional dropouts.
Keywords: natural field experiment, opportunity cost neglect, earnings expectations, academic achievement
JEL Codes: C93, D84, D91, I21, I23

Paper Title: Information Framing and Student Decisions: Evidence from an Opportunity Cost Intervention Authors: Lars Behlen, Raphael Brade, Oliver Himmler, Robert Jäckle Abstract: Opportunity costs are central to economic decision-making but often neglected. In a pre-registered experiment with 2,222 German university freshmen, one treatment provides salary information; another additionally frames it as the opportunity cost of delayed graduation. Only the opportunity cost framing causes students to update salary expectations. We find no effect on academic progress but a 2.8 percentage points increase in first-semester dropout (p=0.080), concentrated among high-dropout-probability students (5.9 pp, p=0.025). For these marginal students, dropping out instead of progressing faster is the actionable margin. By semester three, dropout rates converge, suggesting acceleration of eventual exits rather than additional dropouts. Keywords: natural field experiment, opportunity cost neglect, earnings expectations, academic achievement JEL Codes: C93, D84, D91, I21, I23

New WP!
We study whether telling first-year students about the earnings they forgo by delaying graduation changes their choices. Framing salaries as opportunity costs does not speed up progress but increases early dropout among students who are likely to exit eventually.
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...

2 months ago 10 4 0 0
Paper Title: Information Framing and Student Decisions: Evidence from an Opportunity Cost Intervention
Authors: Lars Behlen, Raphael Brade, Oliver Himmler, Robert Jäckle
Abstract: Opportunity costs are central to economic decision-making but often neglected. In a pre-registered experiment with 2,222 German university freshmen, one treatment provides salary information; another additionally frames it as the opportunity cost of delayed graduation. Only the opportunity cost framing causes students to update salary expectations. We find no effect on academic progress but a 2.8 percentage points increase in first-semester dropout (p=0.080), concentrated among high-dropout-probability students (5.9 pp, p=0.025). For these marginal students, dropping out instead of progressing faster is the actionable margin. By semester three, dropout rates converge, suggesting acceleration of eventual exits rather than additional dropouts.
Keywords: natural field experiment, opportunity cost neglect, earnings expectations, academic achievement
JEL Codes: C93, D84, D91, I21, I23

Paper Title: Information Framing and Student Decisions: Evidence from an Opportunity Cost Intervention Authors: Lars Behlen, Raphael Brade, Oliver Himmler, Robert Jäckle Abstract: Opportunity costs are central to economic decision-making but often neglected. In a pre-registered experiment with 2,222 German university freshmen, one treatment provides salary information; another additionally frames it as the opportunity cost of delayed graduation. Only the opportunity cost framing causes students to update salary expectations. We find no effect on academic progress but a 2.8 percentage points increase in first-semester dropout (p=0.080), concentrated among high-dropout-probability students (5.9 pp, p=0.025). For these marginal students, dropping out instead of progressing faster is the actionable margin. By semester three, dropout rates converge, suggesting acceleration of eventual exits rather than additional dropouts. Keywords: natural field experiment, opportunity cost neglect, earnings expectations, academic achievement JEL Codes: C93, D84, D91, I21, I23

New WP!
We study whether telling first-year students about the earnings they forgo by delaying graduation changes their choices. Framing salaries as opportunity costs does not speed up progress but increases early dropout among students who are likely to exit eventually.
www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...

2 months ago 10 4 0 0
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📣 Come join a top-5 strategy department in Europe and work with me on an exciting topic at the intersection of causal AI and strategy 🤖📈

I'm recruiting a PhD student as part of my Sapere Aude Research Leader Grant from the Independent Research Fund Denmark. (1/3)

2 months ago 31 17 1 2
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Postdoctoral Position at the Cluster of Excellence “The Politics of Inequality” Deadline: 20 February 2026, 12:00 pm CET

🚨 Postdoctoral Position at the University of Konstanz 🚨

We’re hiring a post-doc for our @excinequality.bsky.social project on political elites and decision-making.

4-year position | Deadline: Feb. 20 | Start: Sept 2026

Please share widely 🙏

The ad is here stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/f...

2 months ago 52 54 0 1
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📢 Call for papers:

CESifo Area Conference on Economics of Education
co-organized w/ Eric Hanushek (Stanford)

🏛️ 11-12 Sept 2026, Munich

🧑‍🏫 Keynote: John List (Chicago) @johnlist.bsky.social

👉 www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/ev...

⏰ Deadline: 11 May 2026

🖼️ Past programs:
sites.google.com/view/woessma...

2 months ago 39 27 1 3

Der SVR Wirtschaft sucht für den neuen Standort Berlin eine Ökonomin oder einen Ökonomen mit einem großen Interesse an Wirtschaftspolitik - Schwerpunkt „Öffentliche Finanzen“.

👉 Reposts willkommen!
Hier die Stellenausschreibung: www.sachverstaendigenrat-wirtschaft.de/karriere.html

2 months ago 18 18 0 1
Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Markets and Mobility: How Employers Structure Economic Opportunity

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

Intergenerational mobility, measuring the ability to achieve economic success regardless of family background, is a critical reflection of a society’s commitment to equality of opportunity. Rising income inequality has raised concerns about the potential erosion of upward mobility. While education has traditionally been viewed as the path to mobility, its transformative power is facing challenges in a rapidly evolving job market. This project reorients the focus of intergenerational mobility research by highlighting the labor market as an arena for the reproduction of advantage. It employs a comparative approach, using administrative data from four countries: Sweden, Austria, England, and the United States. It also incorporates evidence from a broader set of nations through cross-national surveys, longitudinal household surveys, labor force surveys, secondary data, and digital trace data. The project employs cutting-edge empirical methods, including quasi- experimental designs, event studies, within-family comparisons, decomposition analyses, counterfactual simulations, and diagnostic checks to rigorously assess the extent of inequalities in the labor market. The research investigates how family background influences the sorting of individuals to employers and workplaces, accounting for education and occupation, and explores variations in career progression within and between employers. It comprehensively catalogues and assesses mechanisms shaping workplace inequality, contributing to the development of social closure theory. Additionally, the project evaluates intervention strategies, encompassing both employer practices and government actions, to promote fair opportunity in the labor market.

JOB! I'm hiring a postdoc for 2 years on my ERC MaMo project.

Looking for someone with strong quant methods, ongoing work close to the project's aims, and a desire to publish in sociology. Start flexible in the next 12 months.

Formal call out shortly, but contact me first.

3 months ago 101 108 0 6
Workshop Homepage

📣 Call for Papers | Riederau Workshop on People’s Understanding of and Support for Economic Policies

We are pleased to announce the Riederau Workshop on People’s Understanding of and Support for Economic Policies, taking place 8–10 September 2026 in Riederau am Ammersee (Germany).

3 months ago 4 8 1 3
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📢 Very happy to see our paper "Child penalties in labour market skills" (w/ @jonasjessen.bsky.social & @michelebattisti.bsky.social) out in the special issue on "Education, Health, and Gender: A Family Perspective" of the European Economic Review.

Link (open access): doi.org/10.1016/j.eu...

More ⤵️

3 months ago 22 6 1 1
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📣SAVE-THE-DATE 📣

Our Workshop on Field Experiments in Economics and Business celebrates its 5th anniversary with FANTASTIC keynote speakers: @peterbergman.bsky.social (UT Austin) and Esther Duflo (MIT) 🎉🙌

📍 Sept 7–8, 2026 at TUM Campus Heilbronn (pre-workshop get-together Sept 6).

3 months ago 18 5 1 0
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⏰ Reminder!

Submissions for the EAYE 2026 Annual Meeting, hosted by @ehu.eus, are open for just a few more days!

Deadline: 28 December 2025

See the CfP for details 🔗 www.eaye.info/eayeam/2026-...

3 months ago 6 5 0 2
St Andrews Education for Palestinian Students - Study at St Andrews - University of St Andrews

Are you interested in studying Public Policy at @uniofstandrews.bsky.social ?

There are two scholarships available for Palestinian students:

www.st-andrews.ac.uk/study/fees-a...

4 months ago 13 8 1 0

Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵

Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...

4 months ago 2383 1219 68 353
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🎅🎁Our last newsletter of 2025 is out!

✨What Facebook data reveal about patience & educational achievement
✨Religious education has long-term effects
✨Good schools help disadvantaged children
...& more!

👉 sendlx.com/display.php?M=111332033&C=ff6ce63f422bb23d840c4ce5648c1c70&S=201333&L=1198&N=111605

4 months ago 4 2 1 0
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I'm very happy that this paper has found a home and has been published just in time for the holidays. Free access for 50 days: authors.elsevier.com/a/1mI6Bc24bB...

4 months ago 10 4 0 0
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Senior Lecturer or Reader in Economics (Microeconomics) - AC2400 at University of St Andrews Apply for the Senior Lecturer or Reader in Economics (Microeconomics) - AC2400 role on jobs.ac.uk, the top job board for academic positions in higher education. View details and apply now.

We are hiring in Applied Micro:

www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DPQ715/s...

4 months ago 8 6 0 0
W2-Professur für „Wettbewerbspolitik“ - Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin

Our dept is hiring an associate professor in microeconomics / competition theory.

It is a wonderful department - do get in touch.

The job ad is in German but we teach more and more in English, so we‘re flexible.

www.hu-berlin.de/en/universit...

4 months ago 18 15 0 3
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🚨 Unsere neue Studie zeigt:

👉 Das Erreichen der Ziele „Bessere Bildung 2035“ würde rund 21 Billionen Euro an zusätzlicher Wirtschaftsleistung bringen

"Volkswirtschaftliche Erträge besserer Bildung"
mit Katia Werkmeister für die @bertelsmannst.bsky.social

www.ifo.de/publikatione...
1/3

4 months ago 14 12 1 2
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Stellenangebote

‼️We are hiring!‼️

👉Postdoctoral Researcher in Behavioral / Experimental Economics (Log In required)

👉Postdoctoral Empirical Microeconomics (IO and trade) (Log In required)

www.dice.hhu.de/das-dice/ueb...

4 months ago 4 2 0 0
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📣 Call for Papers

Join us for the 2nd Berlin PhD Conference in Economics on July 6-8, 2026.

🗓 July 6-8, 2026
⏰ Application deadline: 25 January 2026

🔗 Learn more & apply: berlinschoolofeconomics.de/event-detail...

@wzb.bsky.social @hertieschool.bsky.social #phdconference

4 months ago 18 17 0 5
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🎉 I feel very honored to have received the Best Paper Award at the European Winter Meeting of @econometric.bsky.social in Nicosia, Cyprus, for my paper with @vsondergeld.bsky.social titled "Meet my family: women in leadership and gender stereotypes in the media".

More info on the paper below ⤵️

4 months ago 42 7 1 2

In light of record submission rates and a large volume of AI-generated slop, SocArXiv recently implemented a policy requiring ORCIDs linked in the OSF profile of submitting authors, and narrowing our focus to social science subjects. Today we are taking two more steps:
/1

4 months ago 286 143 4 23
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Very excited to organize one of the 2026 CESifo Venice summer institutes on “𝗪𝗼𝗿𝗸𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗰𝗲 𝗔𝗱𝗷𝘂𝘀𝘁𝗺𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝗧𝗲𝗰𝗵𝗻𝗼𝗹𝗼𝗴𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲” jointly with 𝗔𝗻𝗻𝗮 𝗦𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗺𝗼𝗻𝘀.

𝗗𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗱 𝗔𝘂𝘁𝗼𝗿 (MIT) and 𝗔𝗻𝗱𝗲𝗿𝘀 𝗛𝘂𝗺𝗹𝘂𝗺 (U Chicago) will join us as keynote speakers.

Submit your papers by 𝗝𝗮𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘆 𝟭𝟴: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/ev...

4 months ago 15 5 0 0
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#EconJobMarket💼

Meet Jinju Rhee, JM-candidate @econmunich.bsky.social

🎓JMP: How information shapes price competition

🔍Research topics: Applied microeconomic theory, Industrial organization, Organizational economics, Regulation

🌐 Website: sites.google.com/view/jinjurh...

4 months ago 3 1 0 0