Hamas says Israel tightening “engineered starvation” in Gaza by closing Rafah crossing
Hamas spokesperson Hazem Qassem said Israel is continuing to tighten its blockade on the Gaza Strip by closing crossings and controlling the entry of aid and the number of travellers through the Rafah crossing.
"Turkey has been quietly preparing for a war, with Israel the primary target."
"Although Ankara has not explicitly identified a specific adversary, growing evidence suggests that the Erdogan government may be steering Turkey toward a potential military confrontation with Israel."
“The southern neighbours [in the Gulf] should know that if their geography and facilities are used in the service of the enemies to attack the Iranian nation, they should bid farewell to oil production in the Middle East.”
(General Majid Mousavi, aerospace chief for the IRGC)
#collapse
Oh look, the global mining industry is facing a significant supply chain crisis as a “sulfuric acid crunch” threatens the production of critical metals like copper and nickel.
#collapse
"The Trump administration has begun accepting applications from businesses seeking refunds for more than $166bn in tariffs, months after the supreme court ruled that the president had no legal authority to impose them."
(The Guardian)
#collapse
Oh look, Russian oil output in April has fallen by an estimated 300,000 to 400,000 bpd from early-year averages as a result of Ukrainian drone attacks on critical ports and refineries, marking the steepest monthly decline in Russian production since the COVID-19 pandemic.
#collapse
Imagine a long conveyor belt delivering groceries to your town.
If the belt is turned off for 3 days, then turned back on — the 3 day "empty gap" still has to travel to you before groceries start reappearing on the belt.
The gap in oil supply will deplete onshore storage over the coming weeks.
Q1 was mostly prior to the middle east war. Consumer sentiment of 47.6 signals consumer spending (which drives ~70% of US GDP) will plummet. Huge drop in retail, travel & services ahead. Cutting rates would just drive inflation.
Q2/Q3 revisions will likely cause an aggresive stock market correction.
“In 2025, global annual drought affected ~30% of the global land surface. Near-record warming substantially increased evaporative demand, triggering widespread meteorological and soil moisture drought, even in regions where precipitation deficits were relatively intermediate.”
Berlin has summoned the Russian ambassador to condemn what it calls “direct threats” against “targets in Germany”.
At least three German firms were among those listed as supplying drones to Ukraine.
Ecosystems don’t always unravel when something large disappears.
Sometimes they unravel when the last small disturbance disappears.
open.substack.com/pub/lylel/p/...
Moscow issues chilling warning appearing to single out parts of UK as potential military targets
“Sleep well European partners”
Russia reportedly identified multiple sites involved in supplying/producing military equipment for Ukraine
Among these, 3 UK locations highlighted as potential targets
"Ukrainian drones have struck a handful of Russia's oil facilities overnight, including two oil refineries in the Samara region, an oil depot in Crimea and a Baltic Sea port that exports petroleum products.
Kyiv's troops have in recent weeks stepped up attacks on Russian oil depots and refineries."
A 10-12% oil loss paralyzes the ships, planes & trucks required to manufacture & distribute solar/wind components.
Substitution isn't currently possible at the scale or speed required to offset immediate constraints on trade, logistics & food production with 2026 tech. That'll take years to decades.
World energy consumption was forecasted to be ~620-650 exajoules in 2026
~3.5% of global energy supply has been lost just from oil removed from markets.
Those missing joules can't be substituted by solar, wind, coal, nuclear, hydro or geothermal etc to run planes, trains, ships, tractors & trucks.
"It's official:
We are now witnessing the largest energy supply disruption in modern history.
~500 million barrels of crude and condensate removed from the global market — enough to run the world's international shipping industry for 4 months.
The world has never seen anything like this before"
Oh look, a single miscalibrated variable in ice sheet models may have caused scientists to underestimate sea level rise by up to 35%, according to new research.
#collapse
"Secretary of War Pete Hegseth quotes a fake Pulp Fiction Bible verse during Pentagon sermon
He runs a bible study at the White House every week"
youtu.be/-Ip5dX6bm1M?...
Open for redirection...
Another indication of our climate-changed future.
#climate
phys.org/news/2026-04...
I was wondering the same thing. Sounds like they're in a similar situation to Australia.
Found this:
"BREAKING: Australia secures 100 million litres of diesel from Brunei and South Korea" — Al Jazeera
This is almost 1 day of supply.
Interesting times we live in; reminiscent of 1939...
Puts things into perspective...
"Yes, we have an El Nino – probably Super-Duper"
— James Hansen
jimehansen.substack.com/p/super-dupe...
Viva Energy chief executive Scott Wyatt said the fire had affected two petrol production units but others were undamaged.
"But naturally petrol will be one of the products that are potentially impacted."
"We'll only start increasing production again once we're confident we can do that safely."
Fire & explosions break out at oil refinery — one of just two remaining in Australia
Chris Bowen: "petrol, diesel & jet fuel continued to be produced at the refinery at reduced levels as a safety precaution, but petrol production may be impacted for some time”
Fuel restrictions may be on the cards
"I want to put an end to the rumors circulating online that claim China has agreed with the United States not to supply weapons to Iran.
Let me make it clear that no such communication has taken place."
— Guo Jiakun, Spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs
NEW: The U.S. is deploying about 10,000 additional troops and multiple warships to the Middle East to increase pressure on Iran.
This includes aircraft carriers and Marine units, adding to roughly 50,000 U.S. personnel already in the region.
