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Posts by Joey Schnaubelt

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Functions and Criteria for a New Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events: Report Release Webinar Register for this event from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

How can records of the past inform our understanding of extreme events?

Join the National Academies
on April 29 for a webinar releasing a new report on a proposed Center for Paleoenvironmental Records of Extreme Events (CPREE).

Register:
events.nationalacademies.org/46602

17 hours ago 18 8 0 0
Global glacier mass change in 2025 Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, Published online: 07 April 2026; doi:10.1038/s43017-026-00777-zGlaciers lost 408 ± 132 Gt of mass during the hydrological year 2025, equivalent to 1.1 ± 0.4 mm sea-level rise. Since 1975, glacier mass loss has totalled 9,583 ± 1,211 Gt, equivalent to 26.4 ± 3.3 mm of sea-level rise, with six of the highest mass-loss years on record occurring in the past seven years.

New online! Global glacier mass change in 2025

2 weeks ago 2 1 0 0
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Collapse of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation would lead to substantial oceanic carbon release and additional global warming - Communications Earth & Environment The collapse of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation would result in increase of 47-83 ppm of global mean atmospheric carbon dioxide and 0. 2 °C of additional global warming at higher carb...

🌊 If the AMOC collapses, the ocean could flip from a carbon sink → carbon source.

Mechanism:
↓ NADW formation
↓ Carbon sequestration efficiency
↑ Atmospheric CO2

Net effect: a shift toward ocean-driven carbon release and enhanced warming (positive feedback)

www.nature.com/articles/s43...

2 weeks ago 54 38 3 5
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A new paradigm for understanding Earth’s marine ice sheets Nature Geoscience - Grounding-line motion of the Antarctic Ice Sheet is driven by climate variability, challenging the assumption that the bed slope at the grounding line alone controls their...

We have a new perspective piece out at Nature Geoscience taking a critical view of how we talk about ice sheet stability and where we can go from here. Check it out! rdcu.be/faUdM

3 weeks ago 24 8 0 0
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Entrained debris records regrowth of the Greenland Ice Sheet after the last interglacial - Nature Geoscience Englacial structures in the Greenland Ice Sheet contain debris lifted hundreds of metres into the ice column, likely forming as the expanding ice sheet overrode its frozen margin following the last in...

⚒️ Article: Entrained debris records regrowth of the Greenland Ice Sheet after the last interglacial

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

4 weeks ago 9 6 2 1
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Climate snapshots trapped in ancient ice tell a surprising story Antarctic ice cores hint that changes in the ocean might have played a larger part than have greenhouse gases in key climate shifts of the past three million years.

Antarctic ice cores hint that changes in the ocean might have played a larger part than have greenhouse gases in key climate shifts of the past three million years

go.nature.com/4uFWL38

4 weeks ago 24 5 1 0
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In "Climate Models as a Retroactive and Exploratory World-building Tool," John Cook et al examine the fantasy worlds of J.R.R. Tolkien, George R.R. Martin & Robert Jordan, as well as one built by Cook, as speculative climate models on a global scale.

Read here: fafnir.journal.fi/article/view...

1 month ago 20 5 1 2
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Evaluating Physical Climate Model Emulators for Global Warming Projections We propose a novel framework for evaluating physical climate model emulators for use in global warming projections Calibrating a widely used emulator to match the historical warming of GCMs does ...

A nice example of the high scientific standard of the IPCC when it comes to downplay the warming

Complex Earth system models are needed to simulate all these feedback's now becoming operational

#climate #IPCC #CMIP

2 months ago 6 5 0 0
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Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments - Nature Meta-analyses on a global scale show that the measured coastal mean sea level is higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments.

Nature research paper: Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments

go.nature.com/4lesnZA

1 month ago 27 12 1 2

The amount of misogyny is academia remains horrific -- and even worse, it is not going away with the older generation as one might have hoped. It is being recapitulated in a new generation.

1 month ago 26 7 1 0
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Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments - Nature Meta-analyses on a global scale show that the measured coastal mean sea level is higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments.

🌊 Sea level much higher than assumed in most coastal hazard assessments

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

1 month ago 18 8 1 1
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Thirty years of glacier grounding line retreat in Antarctica | PNAS The Grounding Line (GL)—the transition from ice grounded on the continent and ice afloat in the ocean—is a sensitive indicator of glacier stability...

A multiple-satellite study of Antarctica’s grounding line area show a loss of 12,820 km2 over the last 30 years. Grounding lines are the contact points where continental ice sheets anchor to the seabed, slowing their flow into the oceans.
www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

#Antarctica #sealevelrise

1 month ago 36 18 1 0
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Emerging Effective Radiative Forcing in the Radiative Imbalance Since 2010 Observed top-of-atmosphere radiation fluxes and surface warming reveal a strong rise in effective radiative forcing (ERF) since 2010 Feedback responses are constrained using observed interannual ...

"From 2010 to 2024, ERF trends are ∼1.0 W m² per decade for both net and shortwave fluxes, exceeding those for 2001–2024 and substantially larger than projections from state‐of‐the‐art models"
doi.org/10.1029/2025...

1 month ago 29 8 1 1
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Big Friday energy on Nature this afternoon 🧪

1 month ago 5 1 0 0
This is figure 1, which shows a risk map of Antarctic ice catchment basins.

This is figure 1, which shows a risk map of Antarctic ice catchment basins.

The results of a study in Nature Climate Change imply that the Antarctic Ice Sheet does not act as one single tipping element, but rather as several tipping systems interacting across drainage basins. go.nature.com/4rFXQ9q 🧪

1 month ago 44 18 0 1
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East Antarctica has been the epicenter for unusually persistent blocking and atmospheric river landfalls that have resulted in some extreme high temperatures. From February 12-March 1, I've noted 5 distinct atmospheric river events observed/forecasted over Wilkes Land.

1 month ago 7 5 1 1
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🤯⚒️🧪❄️ "Preliminary dating, based on the presence of fossilized algae that only existed during specific geological periods, suggests that the core represents an archive of the past 23 million years" in West Antarctica

2 months ago 29 10 0 0
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The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements - a review

"Global warming must peak below 2°C, return to below 1.5°C as quickly as possible (i.e. within this century), and to around 1°C thereafter to limit tipping point risks".

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

2 months ago 34 17 2 2

Google Maps is like really bad in Antarctica by the way

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
We ❤️ NCAR - Let's Save It!
We ❤️ NCAR - Let's Save It! YouTube video by The Weather & Climate Livestream

Last December, weather and climate scientists sat down with us to tell us why they loved the National Center for Atmospheric Research, and why it benefits us all. Last night, the NSF began dismantling it. Listen to what they have to say, and why it's urgent that we #SaveNCAR wclivestream.com/act

2 months ago 63 53 1 3
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Oxygen Isotopes in Tree Rings Track Neotropical Climate Dynamics Tree-ring δ18O from Abies guatemalensis in Central America captures interannual variations in boreal summer rainfall Lighter δ18O years are associated with a weakening of the Caribbean Low-Level ...

Excited to have this paper out showing a strong coupling between Central American tree-ring oxygen isotopes and ocean–atmosphere dynamics (interbasin SST gradients, ITCZ, CLLJ... ). Many thanks to all co-authors!

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...

2 months ago 35 18 1 0
Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.

Photo showing a tall, jagged ice front of the Ronne Ice Shelf in West Antarctica rising above the calm surface of the Weddell Sea. Credit: Torsten Albrecht / PIK.

🔔🚨 New Publication Alert!

Research has shown that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is a climate tipping element.

We found: it’s not one — it’s many.

📄 Paper (open access): www.nature.com/articles/s41...

📢 Press release: www.pik-potsdam.de/en/news/late...

Tread below 🧵👇

2 months ago 140 64 4 10
RealClimate: The Climate Science reference they don’t want Judges to read RealClimate: For the first time, the Federal Judicial Center (FJC) commissioned a chapter on climate science for the manual they put out (with the NASEM) for judges, the Reference on Scientific Eviden...

RealClimate: The Climate Science reference they don’t want Judges to read www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

2 months ago 15 10 0 2
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Glacier biogeochemical cycling and downstream impacts - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment Far from frozen and sterile environments, glaciers are biogeochemical reactors and regulators. This Review outlines key biogeochemical and associated physical processes occurring in glacierized enviro...

How do glaciers drive and interact with Earth's regional and global biogeochemical cycles? ❄️🏔️🦠🪨🌊🌎🧪⚒️

@natrevearthenviron.nature.com

Expertly led by Jon Hawkings & many collaborators

@mioceanologie.bsky.social @cnrs.fr @cnrs-dr12.bsky.social @cnrs-insu.bsky.social

www.nature.com/articles/s43...

2 months ago 20 6 0 0
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Image of the article page for a new paper

Image of the article page for a new paper

If you're interested in how ice sheets respond to climate, particularly over very long timescales, you might be interested in our new (open access) paper:
www.nature.com/articles/s43...

2 months ago 26 12 2 1
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South Pacific carbon uptake controlled by West Antarctic Ice Sheet dynamics - Nature Geoscience Iron derived from debris eroded by the West Antarctic Ice Sheet rather than from dust deposition drove variations in carbon export in the South Pacific Antarctic region over the past 500,000 years, ac...

⚒️ Article: South Pacific carbon uptake controlled by West Antarctic Ice Sheet dynamics

@icbm-uol.bsky.social @awi.de @climate.columbia.edu @lamont.columbia.edu @gisela-winckler.bsky.social

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

2 months ago 15 8 1 1
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Share your comments on NCAR with NSF Tell NSF the future that you want for NCAR by 13 March

@agu.org has a tool to help you submit a comment to NSF on the importance of NCAR: agu.quorum.us/campaign/154...

#SaveNCAR

2 months ago 73 70 1 3

Check out the @pnas.org highlight for our new paper on how Paleoclimate Pattern Effects in the Pliocene lead to tighter constraints on the modern response to CO2 (a.k.a. climate sensitivity)

2 months ago 23 6 0 0
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Just an astonishing lede in this @isaacstanleybecker.bsky.social story. www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...

2 months ago 20 8 0 1