Electoral College cartogram showing which states are in the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact and which ones could join in time for it to activate by 2028. Each state is sized and labeled according to its number of electoral votes. The states are spaced out enough to accommodate the changes in size but retain their general shapes and relative positions on the map. Current members are in solid orange, potential members are in light green, and nonmembers that are unlikely to join are in medium gray. Members have 222 electoral votes, potential states have 68, and the unlikely states have 248. The compact would only activate once states with at least 270 electoral votes have joined. The seven potential members and their electoral vote are Alaska (3), Arizona (11), Michigan (15), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4), Pennsylvania (19), and Wisconsin (10). Democrats would need to gain the governor's office and/or legislative chambers to win unified power in these states, as detailed in the spreadsheet linked in this post.

NEW: Virginia just passed a law to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, giving it 222 of 270 electoral votes needed to activate.

This map and spreadsheet show which states could join to activate it by 2028 depending on the outcome of the 2026 elections docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

the fact that this was angus taylor's official wikipedia page for a bit is hilarious to me

They are not going to stop until you stop them.

🚨 WE NEED YOUR HELP!!! 🚨 One of our volunteers, Noah, a veteran who has been doing work as a medic in MN, was arrested and is being held without bail. Please call his reps using the call script!

This doesn't seem very consistent to me

I regularly get asked if I’m hopeful. Or optimistic.

My answer is always the same.

What I am, is determined.

It's good—very good, and very important—that district courts keep issuing these 100-page rulings upholding the law. It must be incredibly dispiriting to see them overturned in a two-page, lawless, unsigned order, but please, keep them coming. They expose SCOTUS' corruption like nothing else.

It is actually pretty impressive how the worst elected Dem is still better than the best elected R.

Like, can I actually think of any currently elected Rs that Fetterman is worse than? I don't know that I can!

The Downballot's 2025 election preview We go way beyond Virginia and New Jersey to spotlight dozens of races nationwide

We obsessively track overlooked elections all year so that we can bring you special reports like this one—our guide to the top races of 2025.

We go way beyond NJ/VA/CA/NYC to highlight races in PA, NH, GA, ME, TX, and more!

Find our complete preview of 40 top races here -->

Current 2025-2026 Predictions

Can we just take a moment to appreciate Adam Dib for composing some of the most beautiful pieces of music in Dragons Rising so far

Current House Prediction

JB pritzker has completely turned his public opinion around

does this mean he's voting yes or no

is there a chance 538 could continue independently or be bought by someone else? Under a different name if need be

Is he STILL talking??

Fun Fact: In the last 100 years. The median loss for the incumbent party in a midterm year has been 22 house seats and 4.5 senate seats (I rounded down) Here's what that would look like in 2026

This is what I think the current state of the 2026 house elections look like
Lighter colored districts are battlegrounds

cursed AI

Hopefully the Dems will be able to gain more in the state legislature and retain their supreme court seat this year (maybe the federal house map will get redrawn too)

Jesus that’s intense
What changed that allowed for it to start to be undone?

What happened in those two states? Was it the excessive republican gerrymandering or was there more

i am not doom scrolling, i am annihilationmaxxing

Thank you both for your amazing work, I’m glad to have you as my senators

@edmarkey.bsky.social @warren.senate.gov I heard you wanted to hear his the new admin had been affecting people’s lives. my life as a trans American has gotten substantially more dangerous and I’ve had to reevaluate my future. I’m going to start saving a lot more money in case of a recession as well

Why haven’t they faced it since 1989?

she'll give him a stern talking to, that'll teach him!!!