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Posts by Brad Lipton

I started by asking "What is financialization?" And then I started to see it everywhere. My latest for @rooseveltinstitute.org. This will be the subject of future work!

rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/what-is...

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This from Roberts is all you need to know about him: "I recognize that the posture of this stay request is not typical, but review is sought of what has been described as the most expensive regulation ever imposed on the power sector--net costs have been estimated to run as high as ~480 billion."

2 days ago 0 0 0 0

This column by @stevevladeck.bsky.social is worth reading in full. What we are seeing from the Supreme Court shadow docket now has its roots in rulings against Pres. Obama which truly were unprecedented and led by CJ Roberts, whose reputation should take a hit for sending the Court down this path.

2 days ago 0 1 0 1

7/ What I will say about this latest anti-affordability OCC effort: it may not work. These are called “orders,” but ultimately the legal effect will be up to courts. And courts have seen through OCC preemption nonsense before. So states should NOT take the OCC’s statements on this as the last word.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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6/ But this hasn’t slowed them down either.

Now, Comptroller Gould is taking action to prevent states from passing affordability laws that, e.g., try to ensure banks pay interest to families that have money in escrow, or reduce “swipe fees” that small businesses pay to credit card companies.

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5/ Nonetheless, in 2024, the Supreme Court unanimously rejected the OCC’s position. (With some wild quotes from oral argument where Justice *Gorsuch* mocked the OCC.)

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4/ It’s hard to say the Biden OCC was much better. Acting Comptroller Mike Hsu didn’t take action to help states protect their citizens, and even gave speeches vowing to “fortify and vigorously defend core preemption.”

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3/ The Dodd-Frank Act put certain restrictions on the OCC’s disastrous attempts to preempt state laws. Did this slow them down at all? No!

In 2011, the Obama OCC–over the Obama Treasury’s objections—finalized a bunch of ridiculous regs that the OCC itself won’t even rely on now…

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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2/ The OCC has been on a crusade for decades to preempt/overturn state consumer protection laws. The commission that investigated the Great Recession found that this helped cause the Great Financial Crisis!

📖Page 112 here:

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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US Moves to Block Illinois Swipe Fee Law During Banks’ Appeal The Trump administration is moving to shield national banks from an Illinois law limiting “swipe fees” on retail taxes and tips, even as a federal appeals court reviews banks’ challenge to the law.

1/ I keep reading that the Trump administration is focusing on affordability. So why are his financial regulators trying to drive up costs?

Exhibit A: Comptroller Jonathan Gould is running around the country trying to overturn state affordability laws! 🧵
@reporterev.bsky.social

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

Instead of “quietly asking,” Treasury could demand standardized, usable and comparable financial data from private credit firms.

But that would require a functional Office of Financial Research, which Bessent has gutted.

1 week ago 4 2 1 0
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Apparently the Caesar wrap at Ted’s Bulletin is going viral. Pretty good! And the homemade tots were really good.

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

One thing that jumps out from CFPB's latest court filing: they are NOT serious about enforcing the law or examining for compliance by financial institutions. Drastic cuts to CFPB enforcement & supervision (254 to 50; 523 to 77). Reupping this 🧵 on why that matters. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/01/u...

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

5/ In short: this move risks tying the stability of the housing market to the value of crypto assets. What could go wrong?

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

4/ And yes, the government guarantees payment to investors in the case of mortgage defaults. Homeowners typically pay for that in the form of higher interest or mortgage insurance. Yet if defaults spike unexpectedly, ultimately the taxpayer is on the hook to pay. In other words, me and you!

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

3/ The plan is to let people substitute a second loan backed by crypto for a down payment on a mortgage. That will tie people’s incentive to pay both loans to the value of their crypto. But, if there’s a crypto crash, those people will suddenly be much more likely to default on their mortgage.

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0

2/ The Trump admin continues to chase housing affordability through financial engineering—not making hard choices to, say, actually build more homes. 50 year mortgages! Using your 401k for a down payment! And here it’s combined with a weird allegiance to crypto even where it may not make sense.

3 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
Coinbase Powers the First Crypto-Backed, Conforming Mortgages by Better Coinbase is working with Better to make crypto-backed mortgages a reality for millions of Americans. This first-of-its-kind mortgage product, offered by Better and powered by Coinbase, expands access ...

1/ An alliance between Trump and the crypto industry means that people will soon be able to use crypto instead of cash for mortgage down payments. This threatens to inject a *lot* of volatility into the housing market. And just remember who is on the hook for that…🧵
www.coinbase.com/blog/coinbas...

3 weeks ago 6 2 1 1
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Private Equity for All: The Paradoxical Push to Democratize Private Markets Efforts to open private equity and other private assets to retail investors—including now through 401(k) plans—are often framed as a long-overdue democratizatio

for anyone who needs it, good primer on why this is a terrible idea

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

3 weeks ago 17 7 2 0
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Market Lunch @easternmarketdc

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
All of the major players in this investment ecosystem are vulnerable. Private-equity firms are being squeezed on both ends by generative AI: During the coronavirus pandemic, they bought up software companies, which are now plummeting in value because AI is expected to eat their lunch. Meanwhile, private equity’s new investment strategy, data centers, is also falling apart because of AI. Blackstone, Blue Owl, and the like are sinking huge sums into data-center construction with the assumption that lease payments from tech companies will pay for their debt. In order to pay for their investments, private-equity companies raised money from major financial institutions—but now the viability of those lease payments is coming into question as the hyperscalers’ cash flow is strained. “There’s a reason to think we’re seeing some of the same 2008 dynamics now,” Brad Lipton, a former senior adviser at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and now the director of corporate power and financial regulation at the Roosevelt Institute, told us. “Everyone’s getting tied up together. Banks are lending money to private credit, which in turn lends it elsewhere. That amps up the risk.”

All of the major players in this investment ecosystem are vulnerable. Private-equity firms are being squeezed on both ends by generative AI: During the coronavirus pandemic, they bought up software companies, which are now plummeting in value because AI is expected to eat their lunch. Meanwhile, private equity’s new investment strategy, data centers, is also falling apart because of AI. Blackstone, Blue Owl, and the like are sinking huge sums into data-center construction with the assumption that lease payments from tech companies will pay for their debt. In order to pay for their investments, private-equity companies raised money from major financial institutions—but now the viability of those lease payments is coming into question as the hyperscalers’ cash flow is strained. “There’s a reason to think we’re seeing some of the same 2008 dynamics now,” Brad Lipton, a former senior adviser at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and now the director of corporate power and financial regulation at the Roosevelt Institute, told us. “Everyone’s getting tied up together. Banks are lending money to private credit, which in turn lends it elsewhere. That amps up the risk.”

lotta conversations like this one (via @bradlipton.bsky.social )

3 weeks ago 233 45 8 3

Does this extend to questions about who would have standing to challenge?

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

In a moment where it’s so clear that so much is broken, we have to get down to the studs on what our public institutions and policy are for. That’s true for taxes. This is a shared social project to fund our public goods, create broad social insurance, and rebalance power in our economy.

4 weeks ago 29 17 2 0
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Trump Wields Defense Production Act to Promote Fossil Fuels. It Could Instead Be Used to Promote All-of-the-Above Energy Abundance. Reasonable people might think the DPA is no longer serving its purpose and should be abandoned. We argue this would be a short-sighted mistake, given the likely severity of the crises the US will soon...

NEW from me and @joeldodge07.bsky.social for @rooseveltinstitute.org / Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator: Trump is using the Defense Production Act to promote fossil fuel of a major donor. We show how it could instead be used to promote clean energy Abundance.
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...

4 weeks ago 12 8 1 3

The regulatory context here is that the SEC does not meaningfully supervise investment banks, and the (imperfect) alternative structure put in place after the 2008 financial crisis to supervise nonbank financial companies has been whittled away by lawsuits and years of deregulation.

4 weeks ago 6 4 1 0
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US Regulators Unveil Plans to Ease Big Bank Capital Rules Wall Street lending giants would get relaxed capital requirements under proposals unveiled by the Federal Reserve on Thursday, in a move that could potentially unleash billions of dollars for lending,...

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

I vividly remember sitting through a House Financial services meeting last year where a Congressman stated that "America was fine before the creation of the CFPB." Amazing how quickly some people forget the pain of the past. And you know the old saying about those who can't remember the past....

4 weeks ago 9 1 1 0

5/ The presence of statutory hammers in existing law should also affect the calculus of regulators in crafting regulations and other stakeholders, such as public interest groups, in choosing rules to challenge.

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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4/ Though statutory hammers have been used here and there in various contexts, Congress has not consistently incorporated them into the law. As Congress continues to consider legislation on everything from artificial intelligence to privacy, this drafting strategy will continue to be relevant.

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3/ The piece compares Dodd Frank's mortgage lending and debit-card interchange-fee regulation to show how legislative design can determine whether Congress’s intent gets reflected in policy or instead is an empty gesture.

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