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Posts by Research & Politics

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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Törnberg, Lundstedt, Vallström & Wahlström introduce a geocoded, nationwide dataset of Sweden’s police-reported xenophobic violence (2009–2022; N=2,522), enabling consistent longitudinal analysis beyond media or surveys.

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1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

🧩 Gocer & @polipsyprof.bsky.social: In a 2019 survey experiment, whites who feel like “political losers” oppose redistribution only when compared to non-whites—a subtle framing cue with big implications for status threat and right-wing populism.

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1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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Little room for motivated reasoning? How partisans respond to government misconduct with well-substantiated evidence - Wataru Onishi, 2026 How do voters respond to a political scandal? Previous studies emphasize partisan motivated reasoning as a key factor in shaping responses to political scandals...

🚨 When does motivated reasoning break? Onishi shows that in Britain’s Partygate, clear misconduct + clear blame made even copartisans punish the governing party - lower ratings and vote intent.

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1 month ago 3 2 0 0
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Audience costs in the eyes of an adversary - Makito Takei, Chanki Moon, Hirotaka Imada, 2026 Audience cost theory suggests that as a country increases its audience costs, it can send a credible threat to an opponent and prevail in an international crisi...

@makitotakei.bsky.social, Chanki Moon & @hirotakaimada.bsky.social test if target publics see audience costs. US survey (N=1,404): people infer domestic punishment for backing down; credibility is similar for democracies and autocracies.

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1 month ago 0 4 0 1
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

@lukasbirkenmai1.bsky.social, @astroppe.bsky.social @wurthmann.bsky.social & @msaeltzer.bsky.social use NLP+Wikidata: 50k tweets + 190k FB posts (Bundestag 2017–21). District MPs cite nearer places and deprived in-district areas more than list MPs.

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1 month ago 7 5 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Lisa Basil shows that not all conspiracy theory agreement reflects deep belief. She introduces a salience-based measure that separates fleeting endorsement from consequential belief—and suggests standard surveys may overstate it.

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2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Yixuan Zhang shows that corruption scandals in nearby regions can boost trust in China. When nearby areas face investigations, people report more trust in local government—showing institutions are judged by comparison, not just performance.

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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Do alliance treaties sway public support for war everywhere?
@smetanamichal.bsky.social, @mvranka.bsky.social @ondrejrosendorf.bsky.social find they do—but much less in non-Western, non-NATO countries. Alliance politics travels, but not evenly.

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2 weeks ago 2 1 0 1
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Gender shapes candidate choice in both directions. @atiradocastro.bsky.social & Susan Banducci find that women tend to prefer women candidates and men tend to prefer men—especially when gender identity is more strongly felt.

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2 weeks ago 2 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Why introduce bills that rarely pass? Eunseong Oh & @indridi.bsky.social show MPs use them less to win than to play party roles: government MPs stay cautious, opposition MPs signal credibility.

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2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Introducing the trust in government (TrustGov) dataset: A new resource for cross-national time-series trust research - Yuehong Cassandra Tai, 2026 Although political trust is a long-standing interdisciplinary topic, the lack of com parable cross-national time-series data has limited scholars’ ability to an...

How do you study political trust across countries and over time? Yuehong Tai introduces TrustGov, a new dataset covering 115 countries from 1973–2020—giving scholars a major new tool to track what shapes trust in government, and why it matters.

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2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Populist rhetoric may not win many votes—but it can get people to the polls. Alexander Kustov & Yaoyao Dai find that populist messaging has limited persuasive power, yet can slightly boost turnout, especially among already populist voters.

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2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Do younger voters turn against older people when politics feels unfair? @alonsoroman.bsky.social & @scottrw630.bsky.social show that perceived age-based political exclusion is strongly linked to explicit ageism across Italy, South Korea, and the US.

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2 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Moniz, Endres & @professorcostas.bsky.social show a key weakness in political microtargeting: the most persuadable voters may be the hardest to predict. Cross pressured voters don’t fit neat party profiles—and campaign data often misses that.

Read more: journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

2 weeks ago 2 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

🧩 Gocer & @polipsyprof.bsky.social: In a 2019 survey experiment, whites who feel like “political losers” oppose redistribution only when compared to non-whites—a subtle framing cue with big implications for status threat and right-wing populism.

Read more: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
Preview
Little room for motivated reasoning? How partisans respond to government misconduct with well-substantiated evidence - Wataru Onishi, 2026 How do voters respond to a political scandal? Previous studies emphasize partisan motivated reasoning as a key factor in shaping responses to political scandals...

🚨 When does motivated reasoning break? Onishi shows that in Britain’s Partygate, clear misconduct + clear blame made even copartisans punish the governing party - lower ratings and vote intent.

Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

1 month ago 3 2 0 0
Preview
Audience costs in the eyes of an adversary - Makito Takei, Chanki Moon, Hirotaka Imada, 2026 Audience cost theory suggests that as a country increases its audience costs, it can send a credible threat to an opponent and prevail in an international crisi...

@makitotakei.bsky.social, Chanki Moon & @hirotakaimada.bsky.social test if target publics see audience costs. US survey (N=1,404): people infer domestic punishment for backing down; credibility is similar for democracies and autocracies.

Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

1 month ago 0 4 0 1
Preview
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

@lukasbirkenmai1.bsky.social, @astroppe.bsky.social @wurthmann.bsky.social & @msaeltzer.bsky.social use NLP+Wikidata: 50k tweets + 190k FB posts (Bundestag 2017–21). District MPs cite nearer places and deprived in-district areas more than list MPs.

Read more: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

1 month ago 7 5 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

New study by Molly Offer-Westort et al. tests an AI social media agent for deep canvassing on anti-transgender prejudice. Personalized NLP messaging shows positive effects, pointing to scalable—but limited—alternatives to in-person outreach.

Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

2 months ago 4 4 0 0
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The use of confirmation and refutation frames in fact-checking war-related misinformation - Carolina F. T. Batista, Ernesto Calvo, Shibley Telhami, 2026 We implement a survey experiment to measure the effects of confirmation versus refutation frames in fact-checking wartime corrections. Respondents were presente...

Batista, @ecalvo68.bsky.social & @stelhami.bsky.social's study on fact-checking shows confirmation frames drive higher engagement than refutations. Even without added effort, refutations spark anger/disgust, while confirmations evoke happiness.

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2 months ago 3 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

@mollyow.bsky.social et al. test climate-policy framing in a 2,300+ U.S. RCT: scientific, religious, moral, and economic (efficiency vs equity). Policy-learning shows efficiency most boosts support, across parties.

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3 months ago 3 1 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Anderson, Byles, Calianos, Francis, Kot, Mosk, Seo, Vizbaras & Nyhan: boosting warmth toward the other party didn’t change intent to share true/false news or discernment. But accuracy reminders modestly improved discernment among political news sharers.
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3 months ago 2 2 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

@adamramey.bsky.social warns Big Five–politics findings may be distorted by who completes surveys. New data show Agreeable & Neurotic respondents finish at different rates, shifting estimated trait–behavior links—watch for selection bias.

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3 months ago 2 6 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

Darren Hawkins, Joshua R. Gubler, Celeste Beesley, Tayla Ingles & Julia Chatterley: Spain 2022 experiment (~2,000) priming corruption/unemployment lowered support for democracy in general, but not civil liberties or checks on executives.

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3 months ago 0 1 0 0
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Stereotypes and scandals: Politician gender and public judgments about scandal in Mexico - Fernanda Quintanilla Domínguez, Rebecca Bell-Martin, Brett Ryan Bessen, 2025 This article examines how politician gender shapes voter judgments about political scandal in Mexico. We test the hypothesis that individuals discount or disbel...

Gender stereotypes shape scandal reactions. Fernanda Quintanilla Domínguez, @rbellmartin.bsky.social & Brett Ryan Bessen find that in Mexico, women accused of “out-of-character” misconduct were rated more favorably—especially by benevolent sexists.

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3 months ago 0 2 0 0
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Gauging preference stability under authoritarianism - Jennifer Pan, Yiqing Xu, 2025 Do people living under authoritarianism exhibit stable, constrained preferences? Autocrats have incentives to suppress the formation of stable preferences struc...

Jennifer Pan & Yiqing Xu: Do people in autocracies hold stable prefs? 3 China surveys show views: institutions, econ policy, nationalism, social values & ethnic policy stay stable for months—like democracies. Stability rises with education/knowledge.

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3 months ago 0 1 0 0
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Strict voter identification laws and turnout: Differential effects by election type and adoption timing - Rivka Lipkovitz, 2025 Voter identification (ID) requirements remain a contested policy issue in American elections, with existing research producing mixed findings about their causal...

Using synthetic difference-in-differences, this study by Rivka Lipkovitz finds that strict voter ID laws have no net effect on turnout, with modest heterogeneous effects by election type and adoption timing that may explain prior conflicting results.

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3 months ago 0 1 0 0
Preview
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

New study by Molly Offer-Westort et al. tests an AI social media agent for deep canvassing on anti-transgender prejudice. Personalized NLP messaging shows positive effects, pointing to scalable—but limited—alternatives to in-person outreach.

Read more here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

2 months ago 4 4 0 0
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Sage Journals: Discover world-class research Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

New article by @algaraca.bsky.social, Byengseon Bae, @edwardheadington.bsky.social, Hengjiang Liu, Bianca Nigri and Lisette Gomez uses presidential approval, party brands and polling gaps to forecast 2024 U.S. elections, improving on standard models.

Read more: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

4 months ago 3 2 0 0
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From citizen input to a more egalitarian agenda: Public inquiries and the policy agenda - Hen Hana Kersenti Feldman, Ilana Shpaizman, 2025 Public inquiries serve as a path for citizens to convey daily grievances directly to politicians, seeking resolutions. This paper examines their role as an info...

Political agendas ignore the poor's preferences. Hen Hana Kersenti Feldman and Ilana Shpaizman show that Israel's Knesset Public Inquiries Committee (CPI) exposes MPs to citizen grievances, boosting representation of lower- and middle-class issues.

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4 months ago 3 2 0 0