The "economy reset" is not going... that well
Posts by Neil O'Brien
Even smarter to say Downing St has seized control from the Treasury, that always ends super well
Yikes
Thanks for sharing
Bizarrely the film is being blocked in some places by the Online Safety Act because it features a cute baby.
order-order.com/2025/08/07/o...
People aren't able to have the children they say they want to have. It's a huge problem we can't afford *not* to solve.
A short film with me, (aged 46),@PMArslanagic (aged 29) and Emina (age 0).
www.youtube.com/watch?v=l21q...
That tweet was exactly what I did not want to happen, off to find mindcleanser
Channelling Sean Connery in "Zardoz"
The Telegraph reports on data I’ve obtained showing there are over 600k graduates on Universal Credit.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/07...
My new longread on residential sorting - Is Britain Balkanising?
www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/is-britain...
Back in the day about a third of people wanted to join the euro AND keep the pound - we politicians are terrible at explaining
I mean, their main tax increase of 25bn is laser focussed on low income workers - particularly part timers. Assuming the pasthrough rate OBR use is correct it takes £500 off someone on 13k & takes away 5% of the earnings of someone on 9k
Really must take the kids next time :-)
Saw Mr Tumble live in Leicester, it's almost insane what a pro he is
What a mess. They promised more teachers, they delivered fewer, so they are trying to move the goalposts.
www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/07...
Also video versus the written word
The text does say it is in real terms! I have added that to the charts as well in case people only look at them.
Haha. Where there is harmony, may I bring (polite) discord
That's a strange response a data-led piece on migration but hey, whatever makes you happy
Literally replying to a person saying nothing had changed, when, obviously it has.
You have nothing left beyond low grade abuse, sad to see.
I promise you I haven't - show me your version then.
As you say, you *agree* with my conclusion on wages!
It's real terms - if you don't believe the data, take it up with HMRC, what are you using?
Even Schools Week talking about "shapeshifting" on this. If we had try to spin away declining teacher numbers like this Labour would have gone mad
schoolsweek.co.uk/the-shapeshi...
I’ve obtained a load of new data under FOI about where in the country recent migrants have moved to. I use it to look at the impact on wages and rental costs.
open.substack.com/pub/almondtr...
Part two looks at how we got here, and why the government is sitting on key decisions
www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/sex-educat...
I have a longish two-part piece out, on what's gone wrong with sex education in schools.
Part one is here:
www.neilobrien.co.uk/p/sex-educat...
If only the tsar knew what his evil advisors were doing