APEC Summit 2025: What’s at Stake? Quincy Institute experts share their assessment of what to expect at the summit.

I join @jyjamespark.bsky.social, @globalsarang.bsky.social, and @rajakorman.bsky.social to offer thoughts on the smörgåsbord of diplomacy around the APEC summit this week.

My focus is on the escalation–de-escalation cycle in Trump’s attempts to negotiate with China.
quincyinst.org/research/ape...

This got lost in the chaos, but here’s some (conditional) good news via @jyjamespark.bsky.social: N Korea will negotiate if the US drops the demand to denuclearize.

Denuclearization has long been an impractical precondition. Trump is willing to throw out old shibboleths on a whim, so let’s go!

Thank you John Carl!

Reality check: North Korea won’t give up its nukes If diplomatic efforts are to succeed, Washington cannot expect Pyongyang will give up its only security guarantee

Good piece from @jyjamespark.bsky.social

North Korea doesn’t want to talk about disarmament - but it might be wiling to talk about arms control. If so, the US should take them up on it. responsiblestatecraft.org/north-korea-...

Why South Korea's new president skipped the NATO summit Lee Jae Myung has his own problems, let alone having time for Europe's

In my latest, I explain why it makes sense that ROK Pres Lee Jae Myung passed on this year's NATO summit. Long story short, the stakes and benefits involved weren't significant, and Lee made a sensible decision in line with his principle of pragmatic diplomacy. shorturl.at/wWh4I

Will Lee Jae-myung Reorient South Korea’s Foreign Policy? The implications of Lee Jae-myung's presidential election.

Tomorrow, 9am ET!

I’ll be quizzing an outstanding panel about the meaning of South Korea’s election and its impact on foreign policy.

With Korean legislator Rep. Kim Joon-hyung, @darciedraudt.bsky.social, @jyjamespark.bsky.social, and @frankaum.bsky.social.
quincyinst.org/events/will-...

Will Lee Jae-myung Reorient South Korea’s Foreign Policy? The implications of Lee Jae-myung's presidential election.

On 6/9, my colleague @jwdwerner.bsky.social and I will be discussing the recent ROK presidential election and its foreign policy implications. Panelists will include Rep. Kim Joon-hyung, @frankaum.bsky.social, @darciedraudt.bsky.social. Register now! quincyinst.org/events/will-...

Will Lee Jae-myung Reorient South Korea’s Foreign Policy? The implications of Lee Jae-myung's presidential election.

On 6/9, my colleague @jwdwerner.bsky.social and I will be discussing the recent ROK presidential election and its foreign policy implications. Panelists will include Rep. Kim Joon-hyung, @frankaum.bsky.social, @darciedraudt.bsky.social. Register now! quincyinst.org/events/will-...

Coup and impeachment boost  liberal in South Korea election Lee Jae-myung favored to win Tuesday's vote, but he faces a host of issues with Trump admin on Day 1

In my latest piece, I preview tomorrow's ROK presidential election. The likely winner Lee Jae-myung will be given a tough task from day 1, having to navigate through complex alliance issues including tariffs, military cost-sharing, and strategic positioning toward China. shorturl.at/76b7H

Coup and impeachment boost  liberal in South Korea election Lee Jae-myung favored to win Tuesday's vote, but he faces a host of issues with Trump admin on Day 1

In my latest piece, I preview tomorrow's ROK presidential election. The likely winner Lee Jae-myung will be given a tough task from day 1, having to navigate through complex alliance issues including tariffs, military cost-sharing, and strategic positioning toward China. shorturl.at/76b7H

This is not an established fact and is certainly not true for realistic attack scenarios. The current system might--might!--be able to stop a single ICBM, but even that is debatable since tests occur under controlled conditions and even then the record isn't great. www.wsj.com/politics/nat...

Just a laughable situation…

Apart from whatever mythical constitutional reform Han DS thinks resolves this, PPP could take steps to win--or at least be competitive--in general elections. Instead, PPP has been trounced past two times. So maybe start with that?

I’m very excited to be taking part in this wonderful program with this incredible group of thinkers on China policy. There’s no better time to be challenging old assumptions and insisting on new possibilities.

Congrats to my colleague @jwdwerner.bsky.social for joining this exceptional list of China scholars!

From Punishment to Denial: Stabilizing Deterrence on the Korean Peninsula This brief argues for a more flexible, proactive, and credible approach to the U.S.–South Korea alliance’s deterrence vis-à-vis North Korea

An excellent new paper just out from my colleague @jyjamespark.bsky.social.

James reviews dangerous pressures building up in nuclear doctrine on both sides of the Korean peninsula and shows how rethinking effective deterrence could remedy the situation.
quincyinst.org/research/fro...

US-China trade war is on: Could it turn violent, and when? The far bigger threat from Trump-China tariffs is a sharp escalation in ongoing security tensions that could easily turn into something else

Biden left the US and China standing on a powder keg and Trump just lit the fuse.

My latest in Responsible Statecraft.
responsiblestatecraft.org/china-tariffs/

Book Talk: The Rivalry Peril A discussion of the new book from Van Jackson and Michael Brenes.

Tune in to Quincy Institute webinar today at 3 pm (EST)! We are hosting @vanjackson.bsky.social and @mbrenes.bsky.social to discuss their latest book, "The Rivalry Peril." Register now! quincyinst.org/events/book-...

Kim Jong Un reminds Trump they have unfinished business Despite Pyongyang's missile threats, the American president should choose a diplomatic do-over with North Korea.

This is something to watch. Trump’s statements and his foreign policy picks all indicate real potential for diplomacy with North Korea—but success rests on not repeating the mistakes of the first term. @jyjamespark.bsky.social with the details:
responsiblestatecraft.org/trump-north-...