NEW: Swedish intelligence assessments are consistent with ISW’s longstanding assessments about the significant challenges the Russian economy is facing and the Kremlin’s efforts to conceal these issues to falsely present Russia as able to sustain its war indefinitely. 🧵(1/3) isw.pub/UkrWar042026
Posts by Trond K. Botnen
NEW: RU forces conducted 4 platoon-sized or smaller mechanized & motorized assaults across the theater in the last 48 hours, but they are unlikely to bolster the RU spring-summer 2026 offensive.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, 4.19.26: isw.pub/UkrWar041926
More Key Takeaways ⬇️(1/3)
NEW: Ukraine’s long-range strike campaign continues to exploit overstretched Russian air defenses to damage oil infrastructure and military assets in Russia and occupied Crimea. (1/6)
Read more in the full April 18, 2026, Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar041826
NEW: Officials in Russian regions that the Kremlin has historically sought to shield from the effects of the war in Ukraine are beginning to acknowledge the impacts of Ukrainian long-range drone strikes in the Russian rear.
Full Report: isw.pub/UkrWar041726
Other Key Takeaways:
NEW: Russian forces conducted a large series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine overnight on April 14 and 15.
Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 15, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar041526
More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/2)
Life of Donaldito.
NEW: Russia is increasingly centralizing drone procurement for its Unmanned Systems Forces (USF), which will likely have both positive and negative consequences. 🧵(1/5)
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 14, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar041426
Other Key Takeaways:
NEW: The Kremlin is downplaying Viktor Orban’s election defeat as Russia loses a key European ally.🧵(1/5)
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 13, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar041326
NEW: Both Ukrainian and Russian sources accused each other of limited violations of the Kremlin’s unilateral short-term, theater-wide ceasefire over the Orthodox Easter holiday on April 11 and 12.🧵(1/3)
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 12, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar041226
Hungary, List vote, 55.1% counted:
National parliament election
TISZA-EPP: 53.3% (+0.5)
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 38.1% (-0.5)
MH-ESN: 6.0%
DK-S&D: 1.2%
MKKP→G/EFA: 0.8%
+/- vs. 47.2% counted
➤ europeelects.eu/hungary
NEW: The Kremlin unilaterally declared a short-term, theater-wide ceasefire over the Orthodox Easter holiday. (1/6)
Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar041026
NEW: Russian and Ukrainian reporting appears to confirm battlefield reporting that Ukrainian forces have achieved a drone advantage over Russian forces on the battlefield.
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 9, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar040926 (1/8)
Donald Trump kunne ha stormet inn i studio, skutt Jake Tapper, og Mark Rutte hadde erklært full støtte. Ruttes servilitet oppmunterer Trumps aggresjon. Han truet med en ny krig i natt. Målet ikke spesifisert, men det er ikke så viktig. Selve krigen, å utøve amerikansk dominans, er grunn i seg selv.
1/ NEW: Russia maintains expansive territorial goals in Ukraine beyond demands for Ukraine’s withdrawal from Donetsk Oblast.
Read the full April 8, 2026 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment: isw.pub/UkrWar040826
NEW: Russian forces continue to conduct drone strikes intentionally targeting civilians in southern Ukraine, weaponizing civilian harm as an intentional tool of war. 🧵(1/6)
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar040726
This is simply genocidal language and is a horror in itself.
NEW: Ukraine’s expanding long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure is exploiting overstretched Russian air defenses and significantly damaging Russian oil export capabilities. 🧵(1/7)
Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar040626
NEW: UA forces intensified their long-range strike campaign on RU oil infrastructure w/in roughly the last 2 wks (since March 22-23), focusing on the RU Baltic Sea port & oil infrastructure critical to RU oil exports. (1/4)
RU Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 5, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar040526
Det er i hvert fall noe monty pythonesque over det hele.
Two weeks ago, the Hungarian opposition was bracing for a false flag operation, an "emergency" that would allow Viktor Orban to turn the tide or even cancel an election he is losing. Now it appears to have arrived
The President of the U.S. The man with the nuclear codes. And people are just going to pretend this is ok.
In a functioning society, he would be removed from office within hours by his own party.