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Posts by Derek Willis

I mean, Smikle is in the portal...

1 hour ago 0 0 1 0

"New sign-ups for GitHub Copilot Pro, Pro+, and Student plans are paused."

1 hour ago 1 3 0 0

Amazing.

13 hours ago 5 1 0 0

We've really neglected them for so long.

13 hours ago 1 0 0 0

Think of the costs to the podcast industry!

17 hours ago 1 0 1 0

"I'm Robert Moses, and I approved this message."

17 hours ago 4 1 2 0
The Washington Post analyzed 1,435 hours of Nick Fuentes’s live streams and videos preserved on Rumble, from January 2025 through the end of March 2026, to identify donations sent to Fuentes in the form of “superchats” displayed on screen. The Post took screenshots every 2 seconds for each video, then extracted on-screen text from the resulting 2.6 million frames with the artificial intelligence tool PaddleOCR to obtain donor usernames and amounts. Some donations may have been missed because of optical character recognition (OCR) errors or superchats shown for less than two seconds, but a manual review of four videos found the method to be more than 99 percent accurate.

The Washington Post analyzed 1,435 hours of Nick Fuentes’s live streams and videos preserved on Rumble, from January 2025 through the end of March 2026, to identify donations sent to Fuentes in the form of “superchats” displayed on screen. The Post took screenshots every 2 seconds for each video, then extracted on-screen text from the resulting 2.6 million frames with the artificial intelligence tool PaddleOCR to obtain donor usernames and amounts. Some donations may have been missed because of optical character recognition (OCR) errors or superchats shown for less than two seconds, but a manual review of four videos found the method to be more than 99 percent accurate.

The methodology from @jeremybmerrill.com is very much worth reading, too:

17 hours ago 1 0 0 0
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He spreads hate online — and fans pay him hundreds of thousands of dollars The far-right influencer Nick Fuentes has pocketed roughly $900,000 from “fanatical” donors since the start of 2025. Some superfans see him as part of their families.

"Since the start of last year through the end of last month, roughly 11,000 donors have sent Fuentes nearly $900,000 in superchats, a Washington Post analysis found. The Post analyzed more than 1,400 hours of Fuentes’s streams, using artificial intelligence to tally the donations."

wapo.st/4mERkhv

17 hours ago 2 0 1 0

Maybe if we give them enough cocaine we don't have to remove a bunch of dams because they'll just leap over them?

18 hours ago 2 0 0 0

here are all the operating budgets for (almost?) every public school gym program...men or women.

18 hours ago 8 2 0 1
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Good fishing in the land of 10,000 lakes

19 hours ago 0 0 1 0
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Exposing a global ‘online rape academy’ that is teaching men how to abuse women and evade detection CNN exposes an online network of men encouraging each other to drug and assault their partners, and swap tips on how to get away with it.

Got the stones to read this finally. Unsurprisingly, crypto plays a huge role in keeping the rape economy alive and thriving

23 hours ago 32 8 2 0

A lot of creepers and pervs use our product, how can we cater to their needs?

22 hours ago 8 0 0 0

I have a lot of fundraising emails and a lot of women's college basketball games. Now you can have them, too.

1 day ago 2 0 0 0

100% would eat.

1 day ago 1 0 1 0
Screenshot of a token comparison tool with an uploaded screenshot PNG image. Models to compare: claude-opus-4-7 (checked), claude-opus-4-6 (checked), claude-opus-4-5, claude-sonnet-4-6, claude-haiku-4-5. Note: "These models share the same tokenizer". Blue "Count Tokens" button. Results table — Model | Tokens | vs. lowest. claude-opus-4-7: 4,744 tokens, 3.01x (yellow badge). claude-opus-4-6: 1,578 tokens, 1.00x (green badge).

Screenshot of a token comparison tool with an uploaded screenshot PNG image. Models to compare: claude-opus-4-7 (checked), claude-opus-4-6 (checked), claude-opus-4-5, claude-sonnet-4-6, claude-haiku-4-5. Note: "These models share the same tokenizer". Blue "Count Tokens" button. Results table — Model | Tokens | vs. lowest. claude-opus-4-7: 4,744 tokens, 3.01x (yellow badge). claude-opus-4-6: 1,578 tokens, 1.00x (green badge).

I upgraded my Claude token counter tool to compare different models and Opus 4.7 appears to use 1.46x times the tokens for text and up to 3x the tokens for images - it's priced the same as Opus 4.6 on a per-token basis so this is actually a pretty big price bump simonwillison.net/2026/Apr/20/...

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Subject line: Your silence is being counted in your area.
Sender: ICE Survey Desk

Body:

OFFICIAL SURVEY DOCUMENT
ICE Enforcement
Accountability Survey

ADDRESSED TO:
Peter	
SURVEY ZONE:
YOUR AREA
SURVEY STATE:
YOUR STATE
 
⚠ STATUS ALERT — RESPONSE WINDOW CLOSING

ICE survey responses for your area are being finalized. Most people in your area have already responded.

Subject line: Your silence is being counted in your area. Sender: ICE Survey Desk Body: OFFICIAL SURVEY DOCUMENT ICE Enforcement Accountability Survey ADDRESSED TO: Peter SURVEY ZONE: YOUR AREA SURVEY STATE: YOUR STATE ⚠ STATUS ALERT — RESPONSE WINDOW CLOSING ICE survey responses for your area are being finalized. Most people in your area have already responded.

FIELD NOTES

When you stay silent, you are counted among sympathizers of illegal aliens — not with the Americans demanding real enforcement and accountability.
YOUR POSITION
IS UNRECORDED
UNTIL YOU ACT

SURVEY QUESTION — YOUR STATE

Should ICE move forward to remove violent illegal criminals from communities in your state?
✓  YES
 	
✗  NO
“
Once responses are finalized, late input from your area will not be included.
— ICE Survey Desk

FIELD NOTES When you stay silent, you are counted among sympathizers of illegal aliens — not with the Americans demanding real enforcement and accountability. YOUR POSITION IS UNRECORDED UNTIL YOU ACT SURVEY QUESTION — YOUR STATE Should ICE move forward to remove violent illegal criminals from communities in your state? ✓ YES ✗ NO “ Once responses are finalized, late input from your area will not be included. — ICE Survey Desk

Totally normal fundraising email from the campaign of Sen. Katie Britt, R-Alabama:

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I started FT teaching in Fall 2021, but I also do not have a lot of solid B folks.

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New York City Hexmaps The five boroughs of New York City can be informally or formally carved up into many different pieces, depending on what it is that you’re doing. As part of an ongoing project, I recently made an R pa...

New York City Hexmaps. kieranhealy.org/blog/archive...

1 day ago 29 7 3 1
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Joplin police sniper who killed a 2-year-old girl just became a Missouri state trooper After a two-year court battle, Sniper 1 can finally be identified as Keaton Siebenaler. KCUR and The Midwest Newsroom have confirmed he departed the Joplin Police Department in August and graduated from the MSHP academy last week.

For almost four years, the city of Joplin fiercely guarded the identity of a SWAT sniper who shot Clesslynn Crawford in the head during a hostage standoff. For two of those years, the officer and Joplin have fought KCUR and The Midwest Newsroom in court to hide the officer’s name.

2 days ago 143 84 6 18
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Fundraising Emails as Data and WBB Games I recently passed the 11-year mark of collecting political fundraising emails, which seems either noteworthy or problematic. Who wants more email, and from...

New edition of SELECT * is out!

This one features downloadable JSON data of political fundraising emails plus play-by-play data for more than 200k women's college basketball games.

buttondown.com/dwillis/arch...

2 days ago 6 5 0 1

Would be great if our government would actually support this. Insane that we can't expect it to anymore.

2 days ago 8 1 0 0
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Fundraising Emails as Data and WBB Games I recently passed the 11-year mark of collecting political fundraising emails, which seems either noteworthy or problematic. Who wants more email, and from...

New edition of SELECT * is out!

This one features downloadable JSON data of political fundraising emails plus play-by-play data for more than 200k women's college basketball games.

buttondown.com/dwillis/arch...

2 days ago 6 5 0 1
A mural on the side of a building in downtown Richmond showing a glowering fat rabbit holding a block of cheese. It is labeled “The Velveeta Rabbit”

A mural on the side of a building in downtown Richmond showing a glowering fat rabbit holding a block of cheese. It is labeled “The Velveeta Rabbit”

Hello, Richmond:

2 days ago 7 0 0 0

It's also super weird that in a democratic society we have a major institution of government that has the transparency of the Vatican.

2 days ago 11 1 0 0

Can't be the only one who listened to the latest Hard Fork and thought, "Gee, @kevinroose.com is working really hard to make the case why anger over lack of AI regulation is misplaced, @caseynewton.bsky.social doesn't need a lot of words to make the opposite case."

3 days ago 1 0 0 0

Thanks! Emails are going out, at least I’m getting them. But haven’t sent this week’s yet.

3 days ago 0 0 0 0
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SELECT * Irregular updates on my data collection projects

Will have a new political data release in this week's SELECT * newsletter, plus some sports-related updates. Subscribe (like my data, it's free) at buttondown.com/dwillis

4 days ago 2 1 1 0

Shocking, tbh. Maybe not that Michigan won but that they won by 11 goals.

4 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Do protests change elections?

Prior research: "yes, and dramatically so."

But is that always true? What about protests in the last few years?

Our latest working paper challenges prevailing logic.

Our finding: most recent protests have failed to do anything to influence elections.

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