Republicans gained a net-13 seats in the House, nearly flipping the chamber after polls suggested a Dem House wave.

The poll has voters supporting a ban on puberty-blockers for minors.

St*phen Sm*th is great 99% of the time then the other 1% he wants us to live like Europoors because two people in one city's public housing facilities died in six years.

In 2006 Republicans won landslide reelections in CA, CT (to a first full term after the previous R incumbent resigned in scandal), and HI, as Democrats won landslide reelections in WY, OK, TN, and KS

It's possible fewer homicides would have occurred with more gun cases filed, especially when homicides were only down to 334 by 2022, but given homicides jumped sharply nationwide in that period it's hard to believe the rough halving in gun cases filed then played much role either way.

This graph shows fewer federal gun cases under Biden than in Trump's first term, with a collapse in gun cases also coinciding with a collapse in murders. Baltimore reported 348 homicides in 2019, 202 in 2024, and 133 so far this year. homicides.news.baltimoresun.com

FRED Graph FRED Graph

It's especially clear averaged quarterly to smooth volatility fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1OETT

FRED Graph FRED Graph

For the last two years and change the other three regions have been moving sideways as the South collapsed fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1OETw

JB: How will Republicans ever win elections again?

MY: Well they’ll probably win enough Senate races next November to hold the Senate at least another three years, letting them secure majorities on SCOTUS and other federal courts to reduce their need to win free and fair elections.

Replies:

Like his district, Giménez (as Miami's then-mayor) voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 before flipping the House seat as a Trumper in 2020 and voting to overturn the election. This is bottom-up.

If they’re dumb then why fight arguments to repeal them?

If you've never heard someone lament paper straws you don't know enough people who lack graduate degrees in Berkeley, CA.

It's something normies complain about IRL all the time. It's the sort of small nuisance people notice.

Circa 2008 at a deli in my PBC hometown my father once pointed out Theresa LePore was at a table near ours. (He used an impolite word to refer to her.)

If a non-Haitian did this in a different setting I’d quickly dismiss them as pretentious, but a Haitian festival seems like the sort of place where this would seem perfectly fine

bsky.app/profile/gefg...

Dinkins

Their steering committee includes a psychology professor and a professor of counseling. None are in engineering, math, statistics, a natural science, computer science, or a similar or related interdisciplinary field. myuff.org/steering-com...

No one listed in United Faculty of Florida leadership is in a STEM field (unless finance counts), though one is a "Latinx" woman "passionate about decolonizing social structures and interpersonal relations" whose teaching has "centered… queer, trans, and BIPOC artists." myuff.org/uff-officers...

This definitely feels like the one popular reform on which the most vocal academics On Here have the most out-of-touch views and by choosing total resistance over cooperation only risk making themselves even more increasingly politically irrelevant. (Are STEM profs even making an issue?)

He thinks they're good. That was kind of his point.

Clearly not familiar enough to know who was the last actual Democratic Socialist to be elected mayor

Even sillier. The previous election of a democratic socialist as mayor did the opposite of establishing a positive sea change for the economic left in either the City of New York or the US.

Early in Trump's second term, the reduction in Canadian tourists visiting the US was mostly just foregone day trips. But now short-term excursions have stabilized, and Canadians are instead increasingly avoiding long-term vacations in the US

She defeated a scandal-tarred incumbent by 2.3 as her district swung from Biden by 14.5 to Harris by 1.3 (and it probably flipped from Cuomo in 2018 by around 20 points to Zeldin by mid-single digits in 2022).

Daniel Biss is 48. For comparison Pelosi was 47 when she first won a special election in 1987.

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food Away from Home in U.S. City Average Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food Away from Home in U.S. City Average

fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUUR0...

Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food at Home in U.S. City Average Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Food at Home in U.S. City Average

fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CUSR0...