Advertisement · 728 × 90

Posts by alex williams

theyre playing paul weller in the five guys

1 hour ago 7 0 0 0
Post image Post image

Incredible shots of the exchange between Rep. AOC and RFK, Jr. at today’s congressional hearing.

(image credit: WSJ reporter @lizessleywhyte.bsky.social)

2 hours ago 5847 1202 224 236
3 hours ago 8 2 0 0

too much else going on to watch how stupid it is closely enough to make more granular guesses imo

3 hours ago 1 0 0 0

real

3 hours ago 10 1 0 0
"Few approve of how Donald Trump is handling the cost of living"

– Overall: 33-67
– Immigration: 40-59
– Iran: 32-67
– Economy: 30-70
– Cost of living: 23(!)-76

"The nationwide poll was conducted April 16-20, 2026 using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the probability-based panel of NORC at the University of Chicago. Online and telephone interviews using landlines and cell phones were conducted with 2,596 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.4 percentage points."

"Few approve of how Donald Trump is handling the cost of living" – Overall: 33-67 – Immigration: 40-59 – Iran: 32-67 – Economy: 30-70 – Cost of living: 23(!)-76 "The nationwide poll was conducted April 16-20, 2026 using the AmeriSpeak® Panel, the probability-based panel of NORC at the University of Chicago. Online and telephone interviews using landlines and cell phones were conducted with 2,596 adults. The overall margin of sampling error is +/- 3.4 percentage points."

There's no other way to say it: This AP-NORC poll is atrocious for Trump.

– Overall: 33-67
– Immigration: 40-59
– Iran: 32-67
– Economy: 30-70
– Cost of living: 23(!)-76

37% of Republicans disapprove of his handling of the economy, 47% disapprove on cost of living.

apnorc.org/projects/few...

4 hours ago 954 366 43 124

i think it ends mid-june if ending it requires a significant strategic loss by the US and mid-may if for some reason it doesnt require that

3 hours ago 1 0 1 0
a chart showing falling coal use in india and china

a chart showing falling coal use in india and china

holy moly this is a pretty wild one. The increase in coal use in the US was greater than the decrease in coal use in China

4 hours ago 41 15 1 2
Advertisement

we all know I have no life, so:

6 hours ago 6007 2133 282 314
The new money from the Senate reconciliation plan could be used better by directly helping Americans instead of providing more funding for the Department of Homeland Security
Select services and how many people could receive any of them through the end of fiscal year 2029 with funding equivalent to what is called for in the Senate Republican budget resolution

Table with 6 columns and 2 rows. (column headers with buttons are sortable)
People covered by Medicaid	Children receiving free school lunch	People housed in Section 8	Children given free child care	Adults with free community college tuition (two-year degree)
Senate stated deficit increase target ($70B)	2,188,000	22,702,000	2,412,000	1,364,000	2,196,000
Maximum allowable deficit increase ($140B)	4,375,000	45,403,000	4,824,000	2,729,000	4,392,000
Notes: Funding could be used for any of these individually, not all in combination. See Methodology for more details. Figures in the $140-billion deficit increase line may not appear to be double the $70-billion line due to rounding.
Source: Author’s calculations from U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget, “Concurrent Resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2026 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2027 through 2035” (Washington: 2026); Congressional Budget Office, “The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036” (Washington: 2026); Elizabeth Williams and others, “Medicaid Enrollment & Spending Growth: FY 2025 & 2026” (Washington: KFF, 2025); Food and Nutrition Service, “National School Lunch, Special Milk, and School Breakfast Programs, National Average Payments/Maximum Reimbursement Rates,” Federal Register 90 (140) (2025): 34827–34830; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, “Assisted Housing: National and Local” (last accessed March 2026); U.S. House of Representatives, “Division — Transportation, Housing and Urban Development, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 20…

The new money from the Senate reconciliation plan could be used better by directly helping Americans instead of providing more funding for the Department of Homeland Security Select services and how many people could receive any of them through the end of fiscal year 2029 with funding equivalent to what is called for in the Senate Republican budget resolution Table with 6 columns and 2 rows. (column headers with buttons are sortable) People covered by Medicaid Children receiving free school lunch People housed in Section 8 Children given free child care Adults with free community college tuition (two-year degree) Senate stated deficit increase target ($70B) 2,188,000 22,702,000 2,412,000 1,364,000 2,196,000 Maximum allowable deficit increase ($140B) 4,375,000 45,403,000 4,824,000 2,729,000 4,392,000 Notes: Funding could be used for any of these individually, not all in combination. See Methodology for more details. Figures in the $140-billion deficit increase line may not appear to be double the $70-billion line due to rounding. Source: Author’s calculations from U.S. Senate Committee on the Budget, “Concurrent Resolution setting forth the congressional budget for the United States Government for fiscal year 2026 and setting forth the appropriate budgetary levels for fiscal years 2027 through 2035” (Washington: 2026); Congressional Budget Office, “The Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036” (Washington: 2026); Elizabeth Williams and others, “Medicaid Enrollment & Spending Growth: FY 2025 & 2026” (Washington: KFF, 2025); Food and Nutrition Service, “National School Lunch, Special Milk, and School Breakfast Programs, National Average Payments/Maximum Reimbursement Rates,” Federal Register 90 (140) (2025): 34827–34830; U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, “Assisted Housing: National and Local” (last accessed March 2026); U.S. House of Representatives, “Division — Transportation, Housing and Urban Development, and Related Agencies Appropriations Act, 20…

New from me: Trump's plan to pump more money into ICE and CBP is a missed opportunity to help Americans.

Republicans want to give $70 bn to ICE/CBP, funding them through the end of Trump. Here's what we could do with that money instead.

Read more here: www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...

4 hours ago 72 29 2 1

will be more insulated from energy shock too

7 hours ago 6 0 0 0
Post image
10 hours ago 9 0 0 0
Preview
‘The Third Reich of Dreams’ Review: Nightmare of History As the Nazi regime took hold in Germany, a Jewish journalist in Berlin collected accounts of the dream lives of others—and smuggled them out of the country.

Has anyone been trying to collect accounts of dreams under Trump 2.0?

10 hours ago 16 5 1 2
Preview
A Green Cold War In our era of global economic interdependence, the face of geopolitics has changed.

"If this battle to control the connective tissue of the world economy comes to shape the future of geopolitics and globalisation, then it will also define any future climate and energy transition."

From the Archive: @iliasalami.bsky.social on the Green Cold War

www.break-down.org/a-green-cold...

10 hours ago 9 7 0 0

yeah, and i think there is a lot of experiential confusion going around these days where video or internet-text cultures are socially understood as oral cultures when they aren't really at all; approaching it that way generates purloined letter problems worse than any lacan ever encountered

11 hours ago 3 0 0 0

writing, inscription, as the dang ol Pharmakon, and the new electrical writing as nothing different from that

11 hours ago 1 0 2 0

in any event, i agree we should be pulling more cultures into the representation, its crazy in there

11 hours ago 2 0 1 0
Advertisement
Preview
The Vindication of Bidenomics Are we finally ready to acknowledge its successes?

"Dube has a terrific new book out, The Wage Standard: What’s wrong in the labor market and how to fix it, which is a manifesto on how to improve the state of workers."

Thanks for the shoutout, @pkrugman.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

13 hours ago 65 16 3 2

you ever read plato?

12 hours ago 2 0 2 0
Post image

"Canadian [steel] pricing has 'completely disconnected' from the U.S., running at a '40% discount to U.S. pricing,'" 👀 www.marketbeat.com/instant-aler...

12 hours ago 31 10 1 2

i mean we all already kind of do, in the same way that we all collectively owned linear algebra when google was making money off of pagerank, its just not satisfying either lol

12 hours ago 4 0 0 0

yannow come to think of it, i dont think i believe tech could design a policy as successful as the IRA lol

13 hours ago 12 0 0 0

its so funny to me that tech is actually worse at macro than environmentalists

13 hours ago 27 0 2 0
Preview
We can’t trust Palantir with our NHS data Is this really the company we should be entrusting with our health service’s digital architecture?

"Palantir is not just a problem of profiteering from our national healthcare system— it's a fundamental threat to the democratic control of our public infrastructure + the privacy of every citizen. By giving our taxes to this company, we are aiding their operations everywhere."

tinyurl.com/3ejuyv89

21 hours ago 5317 2109 138 90

Oh wow, this is huge. You used to have to go to the Library of Congress to get most of this.

1 day ago 101 26 1 0
The Great Separation With a keen attention to how culture and elite conflict shape politics, The Great Separation upends deterministic understandings of the Chinese Cultural Revolution and the market reforms that followed...

looks useful: press.umich.edu/Books/T/The-...

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
Advertisement

cheers 🫡

1 day ago 1 0 1 0

may as well put out a 50y or 100y treasury lol

1 day ago 0 0 0 0

esp in an environment when the majority of holdings are domestic and so not thinking so much about exchange rate shifts to price changes in NGDP growth against. its a bit "bro just one additional mechanism for representing macro expectations and then the macro expectations channel will really work"

1 day ago 0 0 1 0

and if you admit that, i dont see a reason why setting up a second kind of betting on NGDP growth (really, with Fisher, youd think the risk-free 30y rate is already basically betting on medium term NGDP growth) is gonna really get you anything

1 day ago 0 0 1 0