I agree the high-cloud changes need assessing and they may explain some of the discrepancy in EEI trends.
That said, the set of models included in our study was small, so we can't say for sure that models get the low-cloud trend exactly right; just that the observed trend is "within model range".
Posts by Paulo Ceppi
@granthamicl.bsky.social @imperialsci.bsky.social @imperialphysics.bsky.social
Cloudiness has been declining globally for the last two decades. Why is this and how does it matter for global warming?
Read our new article to find out! 👇
doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-4153-2026
And see the @carbonbrief.org post summarising the key findings buff.ly/oLxKacO
📢Submit to our EGU session!📢
We are organizing a session at EGU 2026 in Vienna, with a focus on climate sensitivity, radiative feedbacks and the pattern effect!
If you work on anything related to climate sensitivity, we'd love to have you! 🥳🥳🥳 Submit soon! :)
Interesting point thanks – but note the railway line to Geneva is 25 kV (French standard).
I haven't submitted to AMS journals in a few years – they're not fully open access so we're not allowed to use grant funds towards their fees. We do have an institutional agreement with AGU journals though.
There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵
🔔BREAKING🔔
The NSF has frozen all research grant awards—cutting off life-saving science midstream and demanding ideological screenings for future funding.
This is censorship disguised as oversight.
Here’s how you can help us spread the word ➡️🧵(1/3):
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Can climate models reproduce observed trends?
The answer can be challenging. Our new review paper in Science Advances led by Isla Simpson and Tiffany Shaw @drshaw.bsky.social discusses challenges and ways forward in confronting climate models and observations.
www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Scientists & experts: Add your name to this open letter calling on Congress and the Trump administration to ensure that NOAA and its sub-agencies remain fully funded and staffed, and that the independent, trusted science the agency produces is protected. act.ucsusa.org/4kajJuk
Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week.
"...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"
Have we already breached the 1.5°C global warming target?
@tinymaddie.bsky.social speaks to climate experts including @pauloceppi.bsky.social
Read more here
⬇️
Fair enough – same photo but cropped differently
Reverse image search.
On Android, press and hold the home button and then select anything on the screen for an image search 😊
📢Submit to our EGU session!📢
We are organizing a session at EGU 2025 in Vienna, with a focus on climate sensitivity, radiative feedbacks and the pattern effect!
If you work on anything related to climate sensitivity, we'd love to have you! 🥳🥳🥳 Submit soon! :)
Redrawing the global warming stripes.
In a new paper led by Sebastian Sippel published in Nature today, we show that the early 20th century global ocean surface temperatures and thereby global mean surface temperature were warmer than previously thought.
Thread... (1/13)
For climate-interested people new on bluesky, here is an excellent starter pack of climate scientists to follow from @katharinehayhoe.com
@edhawkins.bsky.social @lisaschipper.bsky.social @andrewdessler.bsky.social @rahmstorf.bsky.social @oceanterra.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/7Mbnoge
Here is why 2024 is virtually certain be the warmest year on record and first one above 1.5°C 👇
Data released today by Copernicus Climate shows:
🌡️ It is now virtually certain that 2024 will be the warmest year on record. It is also virtually certain that the annual temperature for 2024 will be more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level, and likely that it will be more than 1.55°C above.
Timeseries of GISTEMP annual temperatures with uncertainties from 1880 to 2023 and including an estimate for 2024 using YTD temperatures. The 2024 estimate is clearly above and distinct from all previous years and straddles the '1.5ºC above the late 19th C' line.
With the (belated) September data now in, the updated prediction is that 2024 is almost certain to be a new annual surface temperature record, and possibly by more than 0.1ºC. 50% change of exceeding 1.5ºC above the late 19th C.