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Posts by Paulo Ceppi

I agree the high-cloud changes need assessing and they may explain some of the discrepancy in EEI trends.

That said, the set of models included in our study was small, so we can't say for sure that models get the low-cloud trend exactly right; just that the observed trend is "within model range".

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

@granthamicl.bsky.social @imperialsci.bsky.social @imperialphysics.bsky.social

3 weeks ago 1 1 1 0

Cloudiness has been declining globally for the last two decades. Why is this and how does it matter for global warming?

Read our new article to find out! 👇
doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-4153-2026

And see the @carbonbrief.org post summarising the key findings buff.ly/oLxKacO

3 weeks ago 27 7 1 0
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📢Submit to our EGU session!📢

We are organizing a session at EGU 2026 in Vienna, with a focus on climate sensitivity, radiative feedbacks and the pattern effect!

If you work on anything related to climate sensitivity, we'd love to have you! 🥳🥳🥳 Submit soon! :)

4 months ago 16 12 2 0

Interesting point thanks – but note the railway line to Geneva is 25 kV (French standard).

5 months ago 2 0 1 0

I haven't submitted to AMS journals in a few years – they're not fully open access so we're not allowed to use grant funds towards their fees. We do have an institutional agreement with AGU journals though.

10 months ago 1 0 0 0

There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵

11 months ago 1278 780 63 108
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Exclusive: NSF stops awarding new grants and funding existing ones US science funder also plans to screen grant applications for compliance with ‘agency priorities’.

🔔BREAKING🔔

The NSF has frozen all research grant awards—cutting off life-saving science midstream and demanding ideological screenings for future funding.

This is censorship disguised as oversight.

Here’s how you can help us spread the word ➡️🧵(1/3):
www.nature.com/articles/d41...

11 months ago 595 432 4 28
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Can climate models reproduce observed trends?

The answer can be challenging. Our new review paper in Science Advances led by Isla Simpson and Tiffany Shaw @drshaw.bsky.social discusses challenges and ways forward in confronting climate models and observations.

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

1 year ago 106 44 1 6
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Science at Risk: Protect NOAA Scientists & experts: Add your name to this open letter calling on Congress and the Trump administration to ensure that NOAA and its sub-agencies remain fully funded and staffed, and that the independ...

Scientists & experts: Add your name to this open letter calling on Congress and the Trump administration to ensure that NOAA and its sub-agencies remain fully funded and staffed, and that the independent, trusted science the agency produces is protected. act.ucsusa.org/4kajJuk

1 year ago 90 44 0 0
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NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week.

"...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

1 year ago 1117 541 33 32
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Have we already breached the 1.5°C global warming target? Although the climate goals set by the Paris Agreement are based on the long-term average temperature, one year of high temperatures might be a sign that the 1.5°C threshold has already been reached

Have we already breached the 1.5°C global warming target?

@tinymaddie.bsky.social speaks to climate experts including @pauloceppi.bsky.social

Read more here
⬇️

1 year ago 5 4 0 0

Fair enough – same photo but cropped differently

1 year ago 0 0 1 0

Reverse image search.

On Android, press and hold the home button and then select anything on the screen for an image search 😊

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
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Coastal rivers and estuaries in Alaska vulnerable to sea level rise... Coastal rivers and estuaries in Alaska vulnerable to sea level rise and climate change

"Alaska rivers and estuaries" www.istockphoto.com/photo/alaska...

1 year ago 3 0 2 0
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📢Submit to our EGU session!📢

We are organizing a session at EGU 2025 in Vienna, with a focus on climate sensitivity, radiative feedbacks and the pattern effect!

If you work on anything related to climate sensitivity, we'd love to have you! 🥳🥳🥳 Submit soon! :)

1 year ago 30 17 4 0
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Redrawing the global warming stripes.

In a new paper led by Sebastian Sippel published in Nature today, we show that the early 20th century global ocean surface temperatures and thereby global mean surface temperature were warmer than previously thought.

Thread... (1/13)

1 year ago 248 78 7 18

For climate-interested people new on bluesky, here is an excellent starter pack of climate scientists to follow from @katharinehayhoe.com
@edhawkins.bsky.social @lisaschipper.bsky.social @andrewdessler.bsky.social @rahmstorf.bsky.social @oceanterra.bsky.social
go.bsky.app/7Mbnoge

1 year ago 64 37 3 1
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Here is why 2024 is virtually certain be the warmest year on record and first one above 1.5°C 👇

1 year ago 111 72 1 12
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Data released today by Copernicus Climate shows:

🌡️ It is now virtually certain that 2024 will be the warmest year on record. It is also virtually certain that the annual temperature for 2024 will be more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level, and likely that it will be more than 1.55°C above.

1 year ago 136 97 3 9
Timeseries of GISTEMP annual temperatures with uncertainties from 1880 to 2023 and including an estimate for 2024 using YTD temperatures. The 2024 estimate is clearly above and distinct from all previous years and straddles the '1.5ºC above the late 19th C' line.

Timeseries of GISTEMP annual temperatures with uncertainties from 1880 to 2023 and including an estimate for 2024 using YTD temperatures. The 2024 estimate is clearly above and distinct from all previous years and straddles the '1.5ºC above the late 19th C' line.

With the (belated) September data now in, the updated prediction is that 2024 is almost certain to be a new annual surface temperature record, and possibly by more than 0.1ºC. 50% change of exceeding 1.5ºC above the late 19th C.

1 year ago 275 161 13 18