In this article (in Hebrew) I make an interim assessment of winner and losers in the war. Losers: Israel, The US, Iran, Trump, Lebanon and the Palestinians. Winers: Israel's government, Iran's regime, Hezbollah, and Hamas. zman.co.il/676066/
Posts by Boaz Atzili
A month into this war, who are the winners and losers so far? *Winers*: Netanyahu's government, IRGC, Hezbollah. *Losers*: Israel, USA, Iran, Trump, the Gulf States, Lebanon, Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank, and the world.
It was the biggest massacre for decades - 10,000 Sudanese killed over two days. The international community knew genocide was inevitable. Why and how did it happen?
#KeepEyesOnSudan
www.theguardian.com/global-devel...
Ayala Metzger is a dear friend and a courageous peace activist, known for her commitment to dialogue, empathy, and coexistence even in the face of deep conflict. Her strength has been especially evident through personal tragedy: 🧵
Please help me echo her words and courage. 🇮🇱🤍🕊️🇵🇸
Huge boom in Jerusalem right now. Impact hundreds of meters from Al-Aqsa and Temple Mount.
(Not my video, but definitely my hearing of the boom)
Political science professors
Wendy Pearlman & @batzili.bsky.social wrote a whole book about why this is false.
The Lebanese state is weak, its Army may fracture at any moment. Yes, Beirut can do more, but pushing it through destroying state infrastructure is incredibly counter-productive.
The Trubio Doctrine: Dismantling diplomacy and bullying allies will make other countries help us when we need them. goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
I kind of think of Trump's reputational challenges in this are not from home but internationally. What will others (allies and enemies alike) think about his resolve. He got himself into the corner with his belligerent tweets and the military mobilization and could not back down easily.
Reminds me of Rumsfeld in the runoff to Iraq?
You know what’s the sort of thing you’d invest in if you wanted to reduce Iranian power over the global economy in the long run? Renewables, that’s what.
Concerning reports that Iran is attempting to mine the Strait of Hormuz. 1/
www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-mi...
From all the IR theories that may explain bits and pieces of the puzzle of how we got to this stupid war, there is one that I think explains Trump's decision-making best: Keren Yarhi-Milo's book, Who Fights For Reputation? www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
Cruelty and stupidity
Even if you support the war (which I’m not), how can this move be justified? A war crime, a strategic blunder, and a man made environmental disaster blend into one.
I’ve read somebody that said “the Supreme Court could tolerate fascism but has drawn the line on merchantilism.”
What is even more surprising, a majority of Israelis, as well, think that either the two state solution or a federation is the right one (despite decades of hostile government, media, and education system). Now the only thing to do is to get these majorities to positions of power...
As much as people in the west might fret that the two-states-solution is dead, it (or its version of Israeli-Palestinian confederation), a large majority of Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza still think it is the only realistic solution, despite of the horrors of the last three years.
If you work for ICE or Border Patrol and have information about unlawful conduct taking place at your agency, please speak up.
House Judiciary Dems want to hear from you. America needs to know about crimes committed in our name. As a whistleblower, you can share anonymously:
A good account of Hizbullah in its diminished state. "Whatever autonomy Hizbullah once enjoyed died with Nasrallah. Decisions about weapons, strategy and escalation now come from Tehran." www.economist.com/middle-east-...
6/6 Third, the end of the struggle to bring home the Israeli hostage means that the formidable protest movement that was built around the issue may now be able to focus on the body who was the primary responsible for allowing Hamas to perpetrate October 7th: The government of Israel.
5/6 Will the plan go further, with Israeli withdrawal to its recognized borders, Hamas demilitarization, and the rebuilding of Gaza? Netanyahu's government, no doubt, will still try to spoil any advancement. Elements in the Hamas will cooperate with that spoiling. But there is a gleamer of hope.
4/6 Rafah Crossing will apparently be opened this week, and that means both much more robust access of aid to Gaza, and the start of functioning of the technocratic committee of Palestinians, which will gradually take over running the devastated area's day-to-day governing.
3/6 (some unverified reports even claim that Netanyahu had the information but prevented the IDF form attempting to retrieve the body).
Now, once Witkoff and Kushner informed Netanyahu that Phase 2 will happen with or without the return of Gvili's body, there is no reason to delay it's findings.
2/6 Second, it's good news for the chances of moving on from the pseudo-ceasefire to a more stable end of war and the start of rehabilitating Gaza. Netanyahu used the fact that Gvili's remains not yet returned as an excuse to postpone the implementation of the second phase of the 20 Points Plan
www.nytimes.com/2026/01/26/w...
1/6 The return of the remains of the last Israeli hostage is good news for several reasons: First and foremost, of course, it's good news for his family, friends and all the Israelis who fought both Hamas and their government to return all the hostages.
I just spoke with the White House after another horrific shooting by federal agents this morning. Minnesota has had it. This is sickening.
The President must end this operation. Pull the thousands of violent, untrained officers out of Minnesota. Now.
The shape of America today: destructive ice storm in the south, destructive ICE storm in the north, and a catastrophic President in the middle…🤷🏻♂️