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Posts by Seth Jolly

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They look a lot like our cats (without the white boots)! Oh wait, that’s one of my cats with Kiki the Great Dane 🥳🥳🥳

4 days ago 1 0 0 0

He really gets beat down in a lot of episodes.

4 days ago 0 0 1 0

Oh for sure, TBS had all the things on. 80s slasher films were my jam for sure.

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

4 is way too young for Nightmare, but that also came out in 84. I definitely watched it at 8:) So were you watching Nightmare #6 in the theater as a super young kid? whoa.

6 days ago 0 0 1 0
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Look what showed up in my mail today, my favorite European politics textbook courtesy of @catherinedevries.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @sopro.bsky.social @jbslapin.bsky.social. My students love the data exercises built on their custom Shiny apps!

6 days ago 16 4 2 0

I’m sorry to see this Steven.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0

The victory of the opposition in Hungary yesterday, like the Polish election in 2023, is a victory for democracy, not just in Europe but around the world.

1 week ago 53490 9397 669 297
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1989 was awesome.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

How is that confident number still in the 30s?!?

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

Can you share?

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

Where he is in Kentucky?!?

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Whoa!

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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AJPS article from @kenbenoit.bsky.social, Scott de Marchi, Conor Laver, Michael Laver, and Jinshuai Ma on using LLMs to analyse political texts.

🧵 1/8 Social science research requires reliable extraction of information from texts to identify authors' preferences on various policies and issues.

3 weeks ago 25 12 1 1

A 🧵on how the @vdeminstitute.bsky.social accountability indices help us understand how democratic backsliding is occurring in the United States.

tl;dr: in principle, vertical constraints on the president remain strong; in practice, horizontal and diagonal constraints have been greatly weakened.

1 month ago 23 12 1 1

Bless your heart, Dan.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025. 
In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.

Two map graphs show the state of liberal democracy according to the V-Dem Liberal Democracy index for 2025 and 2024. The higher the score (or darker blue), the more democratic the country. Lower scores (or dark red) mean less democratic. While North and South America, Western Europe and Oceania are mostly in the blue, most parts of Asia and Africa are in the red in 2025. In comparison to the map for 2024, the map graph for 2025 shows democratic backsliding in some traditionally stable democracies in Western Europe and North America, in particular the USA, United Kingdom and Italy.

📢 Out Now! V-Dem Dataset v16 & the V-Dem Institute Democracy Report 2026
💾 The V-Dem Dataset: v-dem.net/data/the-v-d...
📰 The Report "Unraveling The Democratic Era?”: v-dem.net/publications...
📈 Explore the new data with the V-Dem Graphing tools: v-dem.net/graphing/gra...

#PoliSky #PoliSciSky
1/3

1 month ago 123 88 2 21
Abstract of the paper: Women are generally less likely to express an interest in politics, join political organizations, and participate in political activities. Scholars posit that gender-(in)egalitarian attitudes are an important determinant of women’s political engagement. Yet, existing work finds mixed support for this claim. Using the German General Social Survey (1991–2016), we compare citizens’ attitudes toward gender across birth cohorts from East and West Germany. We find that cohorts socialized in the East hold more progressive gender attitudes than West Germans. We then show that traditional gender attitudes are negatively correlated with political interest and participation and that this effect is somewhat greater for women. Importantly, women who hold gender-egalitarian attitudes are nearly as politically engaged as men. We then assess the robustness of these results, show the findings hold in cross-national analyses, and explore an individual-level mechanism underlying our results. Together, our findings reveal an important barrier to political engagement.

Abstract of the paper: Women are generally less likely to express an interest in politics, join political organizations, and participate in political activities. Scholars posit that gender-(in)egalitarian attitudes are an important determinant of women’s political engagement. Yet, existing work finds mixed support for this claim. Using the German General Social Survey (1991–2016), we compare citizens’ attitudes toward gender across birth cohorts from East and West Germany. We find that cohorts socialized in the East hold more progressive gender attitudes than West Germans. We then show that traditional gender attitudes are negatively correlated with political interest and participation and that this effect is somewhat greater for women. Importantly, women who hold gender-egalitarian attitudes are nearly as politically engaged as men. We then assess the robustness of these results, show the findings hold in cross-national analyses, and explore an individual-level mechanism underlying our results. Together, our findings reveal an important barrier to political engagement.

Congratulations to our Head of Dept @catherinedevries.bsky.social on her latest publication in @thejop.bsky.social.

The paper studies the effects of being socialized under East Germany on gender norms and the political engagement of women.

Read more here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10....

2 months ago 35 5 0 0
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@liss.bsky.social more fodder for your ongoing holy war.

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

I tell my students that one of the main reasons not to over-rely on AI for research/writing is because--at some point in the future--you're going to have a face-to-face conversation with someone who matters, and if you don't actually know some things, that interaction will not go well for you.

2 months ago 69 14 2 4

I’m in the middle of Dead Lions and I’m totally with you. Strong recommendation.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

You’re a rockstar!!

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

I would guess closer to 12/15 than 21/30

2 months ago 0 0 1 0

The honeymoon is usually pretty good, and hopefully for Dan that lasts the season. After that 🤷‍♀️

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

I was upset to learn this too as was @sgadarian.bsky.social

2 months ago 2 0 1 0

Seconded! This was a great experience, reminded me that I could actually write in just 30 minutes and I don’t need a 2 hour block of time.

2 months ago 12 2 1 0
Announcement that Washington Post will be dramatically cutting its staff, including closing the Sports and Book sections.

Announcement that Washington Post will be dramatically cutting its staff, including closing the Sports and Book sections.

A profound tragedy, not just for those involved but for public knowledge overall.

Completely avoidable tragedy, wrought by plutocrat who has entered "they were careless people, they smashed up things..." hall of infamy.

(WaPo's Sports section is legendary; Books excellent too. Semafor screenshot)

2 months ago 176 43 23 6
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I’d outsource that one to Claude for sure;)

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

Very exciting! Looking forward to reading and engaging with this!

2 months ago 1 0 1 0

Congrats @daniellethomsen.bsky.social !!

2 months ago 0 0 0 0