This work was a collaboration led by Thalia Vrantsidis and Kimia Sabbagh to whom I'm super grateful :) Check it out!

A fresh preprint! osf.io/rcmq7

Reward Prediction Errors, Not Expectations or Outcomes, Drive Emotional Valence.

We find that when accounting for multiple levels of RPEs (e.g., trial- and block-level) and their temporal dynamics, only RPEs predict affect.

Thanks for clarifying! I think this would actually be a cool follow-up :) At least I thought about probability correct here in a normative sense as something people try to approach when reporting confidence. I'm also curious about @kobedesender.bsky.social thoughts on this!

We assumed it based on Sanders, 2016 work on signatures for confidence and tried to see if affect works similarly. I understand that there is later work that challenges this assumption - do you have something specific in mind?

Yup - we didn't find the folded X and we also discuss Manuel's work to interpret this :)

Metacognitive confidence and affect – two sides of the same coin? Decision confidence is a prototypical metacognitive representation that is thought to approximate the probability that a decision is correct. The perception of being correct has also been associate...

Why does it feel good to be sure? In new work @voalan.bsky.social @andero.bsky.social and I bridge confidence and affect. In perceptual DM, we found a remarkably consistent association between both measures! ↓↓↓

link: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
#PsychSciSky #Neuroscience #Neuroskyence