I was just thinking about what your thoughts on the various seasons were when you mentioned the Diamond and Pearl anime a while back lol, you should talk about the Pokemon anime more often!

U.S. Senate:
🔵CHAMBER: Safe R -> Lean R
🔵IA: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵ME: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔴MI: Lean D -> Tilt D
🔴MN: Safe D -> Likely D
🔵NE: Solid R -> Likely R
🔴NH: Likely D -> Lean D
🔵NC: Tilt D -> Lean D
🔵OH-Special: Safe R -> Lean R
🔵TX: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵VA: Safe D -> Solid D

🔴TX-09: Solid D -> Solid R
🔴TX-28: Lean D -> Tilt R
🔴TX-32: Solid D -> Solid R
🔴TX-34: Lean D -> Lean R
🔴TX-35: Solid D -> Safe R
🔵VA-01: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵VA-02: Lean R -> Lean D
🔵VA-10: Lean D -> Likely D
🔴WA-03: Likely D -> Lean D
🔵WI-03: Lean R -> Tilt D
🔵WI-08: Solid R -> Safe R

(cont'd)

🔴OH-01: Safe D -> Tilt D
🔴OH-09: Lean D -> Lean R
🔵OK-05: Solid R -> Safe R
🔵OR-04: Likely D -> Safe D
🔵OR-06: Likely D -> Safe D
🔵PA-01: Likely R -> Lean R
🔵PA-07: Lean R -> Tilt D
🔵PA-10: Lean R -> Tilt D
🔵PA-12: Safe D -> Solid D
🔵SC-01: Solid R -> Safe R

(cont'd)

🔴MO-02: Likely R -> Safe R
🔴MO-05: Solid D -> Solid R
🔵NE-01: Solid R -> Safe R
🔵NE-02: Tilt D -> Lean D
🔴NH-01: Likely D -> Lean D
🔵NJ-07: Likely R -> Lean R
🔴NJ-09: Likely D -> Lean D
🔴NM-02: Likely D -> Lean D
🔵NY-17: Lean R -> Tilt R
🔴NC-01: Lean D -> Likely R
🔵NC-03: Solid R -> Safe R

(cont'd)

🔵IA-01: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔵IA-02: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵IA-03: Lean R -> Tilt D
🔵KY-06: Solid R -> Likely R
🔴ME-02: Lean D -> Tilt D
🔵MD-06: Lean D -> Likely D
🔵MI-04: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵MI-07: Lean R -> Tilt D
🔵MI-10: Likely R -> Lean R
🔴MN-02: Solid D -> Likely D

(cont'd)

U.S. House:
🔵CHAMBER: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔵AL-02: Likely D -> Safe D
🔵AZ-01: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔵AZ-04: Likely D -> Safe D
🔵AZ-06: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔵CA-13: Tilt D -> Lean D
🔵CA-49: Lean D -> Likely D
🔵CO-05: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵CO-08: Tilt R -> Tilt D
🔵FL-14: Safe D -> Solid D

(cont'd)

Governorships:
🔵FL: Solid R -> Safe R
🔵IA: Safe R -> Likely R
🔴ME: Safe D -> Likely D
🔴MI: Lean D -> Tilt D
🔵NV: Likely R -> Lean R
🔴NY: Safe D -> Likely D
🔵OH: Safe R -> Lean R
🔵PA: Likely D -> Safe D
🔵TX: Safe R -> Likely R
🔵VA: Likely D -> Safe D
🔴WI: Lean D -> Tilt D

(cont'd)

Changes from December 2024 (and the direction the races moved) below:

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 218 Democratic seats and 217 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 51 Republican seats and 49 Democratic seats

Decided to just skip to posting my predictions for 2026 a year out from now

Rating Changes:
Governorships:
NV: Likely R -> Lean R
NJ: Lean D -> Likely D
PA: Likely D -> Safe D

U.S. House:
CA-13: Tilt D -> Lean D
NY-17: Lean R -> Tilt R
OK-05: Solid R -> Safe R
VA-02: Tilt D -> Lean D
WI-03: Tilt R -> Tilt D

no Senate rating changes

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 225 Democratic seats and 210 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 52 Republican seats and 48 Democratic seats

August 2025 predictions

U.S. Senate
*CHAMBER*: Safe R -> Likely R
ME: Lean R -> Tilt R

Rating Changes:
Governorships:
MI: Lean D -> Tilt D
NY: Safe D -> Likely D

U.S. House:
KY-06: Safe R -> Likely R
MI-04: Safe R -> Likely R
MI-07: Tilt R -> Tilt D
MN-02: Safe D -> Likely D
PA-10: Tilt R -> Tilt D
TX-34: Lean D -> Tilt D

(cont'd)

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 224 Democratic seats and 211 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 52 Republican seats and 48 Democratic seats

July 2025 predictions

Rating Changes:
Governorships:
IA: Safe R -> Likely R
VA: Likely D -> Safe D

U.S. Senate:
ME: Tilt R -> Lean R
TX: Safe R -> Likely R
*CHAMBER*: Likely R -> Safe R

U.S. House:
IA-01: Tilt R -> Tilt D
IA-03: Tilt R -> Tilt D
ME-02: Tilt D -> Lean D

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 222 Democratic seats and 213 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 52 Republican seats and 48 Democratic seats

June 2025 predictions

U.S. Senate:
GA: Tilt D -> Lean D
IA: Safe R -> Likely R
ME: Tilt D -> Tilt R
NE: Solid R -> Safe R

Governorships:
FL: Solid R -> Safe R

Rating Changes
U.S. House:
ME-02: Lean D -> Tilt D
MI-10: Likely R -> Lean R
MN-02: Solid D -> Safe D
NE-02: Tilt D -> Lean D
NH-01: Likely D -> Lean D
NY-17: Tilt R -> Lean R
VA-01: Safe R -> Likely R
CHAMBER: Tilt D -> Lean D

(cont'd)

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 220 Democratic seats and 215 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 52 Republican seats and 48 Democratic seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

May 2025 predictions

Rating Changes
U.S. House:
CA-49: Lean D -> Likely D
IA-03: Lean R -> Tilt R
MD-06: Lean D -> Likely D
MI-07: Lean R -> Tilt R
NM-02: Likely D -> Lean D
PA-07: Tilt R -> Tilt D
VA-10: Lean D -> Likely D

U.S. Senate:
MN: Likely D -> Lean D
NH: Likely D -> Lean D

Governorships
OH: Safe R -> Likely R

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 220 Democratic seats and 215 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 51 Republican seats and 49 Democratic seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

April 2025 predictions

gaaaah I swapped the alt texts for the senate and governor maps oh well

U.S. Senate:
GA: Lean D -> Tilt D
ME: Tilt R -> Tilt D
MI: Lean D -> Tilt D
MN: Safe D -> Likely D
CHAMBER: Safe R -> Likely R

Governorships:
AK: Safe R -> Likely R
TX: Safe R -> Likely R

Rating Changes
U.S. House:
AZ-06: Tilt R -> Tilt D
CO-08: Tilt R -> Tilt D
KY-06: Solid R -> Safe R
NY-17: Lean R -> Tilt R
TX-28: Lean D -> Tilt D
VA-02: Tilt R -> Tilt D
WI-03: Lean R -> Tilt R
CHAMBER: Tilt R -> Tilt D

ratings for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 219 Democratic seats and 216 Republican seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 51 Republican seats and 49 Democratic seats

ratings for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

March 2025 predictions

Rating Changes
U.S. House:
AL-02: Likely D -> Safe D
OH-13: Lean D -> Tilt D
PA-10: Lean R -> Tilt R

no Senate or Gubernatorial rating changes

rating for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections; 219 Republican seats and 216 Democratic seats

rating for the 2026 U.S. Senate elections; 52 Republican seats and 48 Democratic seats

rating for the 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections; 27 Republican governorships and 23 Democratic governorships

February 2025 predictions

begging for a durable Dem Senate majority with a ceiling higher than 52 seats

y'all know what else is massive?