bsky.app/profile/moul...

Yeah, this is correct. Spammers have a measurable ROI for their posts, and if it's a cost of doing business they'll just pay it. Ordinary people are extremely irrationally sensitive to whether something is free or not.

For people in the AI industry itself, they're worried about it and trying to warn everyone.

I'm curious for a "complete the set" of movies like
- The Mummy (1999)
- Pirates of the Caribbean

Basically high quality rollicking adventures with a hot cast.

The best recent one in this mode I can think of is Fall Guy, which rocked.

T-Mobile, the traditionalist's cell company.

Yeah, probably should be 4 and counting meta and X each as 0.5

This chart but it's the decline of the arena shooter vs fighting online. You're just rage posting like that because you aren't rail gun headshotting him from across the map, or knocking him out of the air with a rocket.

Dudes Rock.

Blood on the Clocktower is accidentally becoming a community pillar for me. Whenever we throw a party all our friends and their kids want to play "that game." They want me to bring it whenever we come over. It's going to be the tentpole of a board game party.

I actually don't think the internet bubble is a very good analogy. Almost all of the capital is going into 3.5 labs. The biggest uncertainty is what fraction of those labs will survive, and what their ultimate margins will be, not whether or not they have a business model at all.

One way of saying this is just that these fields suck and aren't good at their jobs, but I think there's something more than that where people's expectations of what a scientific fact feels like are that it should be counterintuitive, undeservedly.

All of the drama and prestige concerns the second step, and sort of bamboozles people that this is what science is about, when fields haven't even gotten past paradigm construction step 1 where everything should be obvious other than the framework.

Maybe a better way of putting this is that step one of science is explain all of the basic things that you already know with a simple theory, and step two is to extend that theory to find counterintuitive results that test it.

So at the same time "things you have to believe about black holes" or "things you have to believe about climate change" end up in the same sort of milieu you as "things you have to believe about math education" and there's just no comparison.

So we end up in a much more directly receive and overrule your inner logic mode when it comes to things like energy, electrons, DNA, proton pumps, and such. Intuition there is just no match.

I think it's true that our intuitions are probably equally matched/ mismatched for day-to-day intuitions, but then the physical sciences advanced to the point that they make predictions about objects that we have no direct experience of at all.

Something bizarre. idgi

I would believe that accountability can get best practices adopted faster. I don't believe it can cause a prescientific field to start doing science.

At one point "debunking" was a quite successful genre of article, even if it wasn't, quite, a debunking, and I'm curious why that seems to have dried up.

Would punitive requirements for reading ability have gotten schools to switch back to phonics faster, even when they didn't believe that phonics works? I don't think it would.

“School Accountability” asks me to believe in a sort of emergent complexity/invisible hand within the public schools that would cause test scores to change conditions on the ground, and I don’t know if I believe it works there. The connection between action and outcome is too tenuous.

You musn't be afraid to open this image in full screen and stare directly at the central coordinate for several seconds.

Going to tell my kids this was peano arithmetic.

"I'm just a question raiser, not a question answerer. It's the the question answsers' jobs to go figure out whether any of this is true. Any day now. Hope they see this."

"Like, I'm just some guy goofing around. Why do I have to be good at epistemology all of a sudden? Not fair."

I get it.

I feel for people who want in their hearts to be crank amateurs who end up with a following too big to be irresponsible with.

Maybe I should retitle this bsky.app/profile/moul...

I've still seen some. Hard to say.

I don't think the observation that science fiction is now dated by the time it is published can be attributed to Heraclitus for whom it was not true.

It's even less the same river twice than usual if it's the zanclean flood.