My article with @heingoemans.bsky.social and @miweintraub83.bsky.social is now out at @thejop.bsky.social! See how prospect theory applies (and doesn’t) to territorial disputes:
Posts by Michael Weintraub
This paper with @miweintraub83.bsky.social, @edebruin.bsky.social, and Livia Schubiger has been online for a bit, but it is officially published! cambridge.org/core/journal...
Thanks for spending time with us in Bogotá!
Dream Team: Profs Carolina Pinzón, María Alejandra Vélez, @miweintraub83.bsky.social - thank you very much for receiving me @ceseduniandes.bsky.social in June/July 2025! The perfect place to investigate the current drug politics in Colombia and on a global scale. #cocaine #sharedresponsibility
New article on Fast Track by @miweintraub83.bsky.social, @abbeyst.bsky.social, and Sebastián Pantoja-Barrios, “The Bureaucracy of Reparations and Political Engagement,” www.ingentaconnect.com/content/cuny...
Gracias, querido!
Gracias mil, Ben :)
Hace unas semanas me volví colombiano. Escribí en @lasillavacia.bsky.social sobre lo que ha significado para mí.
"Colombiano, por fin" 🇨🇴
www.lasillavacia.com/red-de-exper...
🚨 working paper alert🚨
@carotorreblanca.bsky.social, Will Dinneen, and I have published an updated draft of "The Evolving Landscape of Political Science: Two Decades of Scholarship in a Growing Discipline." We hope you will find it interesting.
osf.io/preprints/os...
US trade war is not a global trade war. Its US self-isolation. Europe/China/Japan/India/Brazil should meet immediately and announce plans to resist global restrictions with each other. Otherwise, US tariffs could cause trade diversion spiral roiling global economy.
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/04/w...
Escribí en @elpaisamerica.bsky.social @elpaisamericaco.bsky.social sobre la tendencia del Presidente Gustavo Petro a llamar "nazi" a sus detractores.
Reduce a eslogan una palabra cargada de un peso histórico que exige cordura.
elpais.com/america-colo...
🚨 Calling all alumni of Bridging the Gap programming…
Check your email! We’ve just sent you a survey, and we’d love your input.
Let @bridgingthegap.bsky.social know if you didn’t receive it, and feel free to ask @miweintraub83.bsky.social & me any questions.
Thanks so much in advance!!
From the moment I met Edgar Tumiña, he was always surrounded by children.
Tumi dedicated his life to rescuing kids who were recruited into armed groups, and preventing more from joining.
I have been struggling to find words to write about his assassination on Saturday. Short 🧵
I am so sorry for your loss.
A small ray of light: my paper with @heingoemans.bsky.social and @miweintraub83.bsky.social, “Loss Framing in Territorial Disputes,” is “just accepted” at @thejop.bsky.social! See what prospect theory can (and can’t) explain about territorial disputes: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
“Lo obvio y lo correcto.” Mi columna en @ElPaisAmericaCo: a pesar de la violencia en el Catatumbo, volver a la erradicación forzosa de la hoja de coca sería un error. Mejor que el Estado ejerza su función reguladora del mercado.
elpais.com/america-colo...
Mañana hablaremos con más de diez Secretarios de Seguridad y de Gobierno en Colombia, para discutir los retos que enfrentan en sus labores. Próximamente sacaremos un documento de síntesis resumiendo las conclusiones principales.
It has been three years since my mom died. While I miss her terribly, each year it’s gotten progressively easier. If any one of you reading this is grieving, I hope you’ll soon find respite from the pain.
Thanks so much, Mara 👏👏👏
Congratulations @edebruin.bsky.social @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social, Livia Schubiger & @miweintraub83.bsky.social on this important contribution!
Chart showing the estimated number of federal workers in congressional districts in the South, based on an analysis by The Wall Street Journal.
"More than half of the 100 congressional districts with the largest proportion of federal workers are held by the GOP, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis." (@wsj.com chart below shows congressional districts in the South.) www.wsj.com/politics/pol...
I know so many talented young people who decided to pursue careers in public service in the past year and were excited to receive jobs in the federal government. It’s just sickening to see how they are being treated. We are losing people who were working hard on our behalf.
Out-Competing Rivals: Armed Group Governance and Civilian Attitudes in Colombia
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Paper in @apsrjournal.bsky.social by @edebruin.bsky.social, @gabriellalevy2.bsky.social, @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Fellow Livia I. Schubiger and @miweintraub83.bsky.social
📢 ¡Agéndese para la transmisión del seminario (en español) del
@ceseduniandes.bsky.social!
🗓️Este lunes 17 de febrero, a las 12:30 pm.
Inscríbase aquí: shorturl.at/zoalR
A tremendously important report. Bravo.
Thanks to the editors and reviewers for their helpful feedback. We are also grateful to National Science Foundation for their generous support of this project.
We look forward to your comments!
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
4️⃣ Even in contexts characterized by contestation, political and criminal armed groups have meaningful incentives to provide services and to incorporate the views of local residents into their governance practices.
3️⃣ Governments & armed groups may build legitimacy differently. While state-led economic aid often struggles to boost support, non-state armed groups can gain legitimacy by providing services, resolving disputes, and engaging communities.
2️⃣ Armed groups receive substantial dividends from offering dispute resolution, roads, and medicine. That *any* of these goods or services reduces civilians’ negative perceptions of armed groups suggests that the bar to “outcompete” rivals might be relatively low.
What conclusions can we draw?
1️⃣ While violence is most often studied in contested areas, our findings suggest that governance choices are important for how civilians judge groups in these contexts.