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Posts by Cynthia

The 2026 Lyrid meteor shower ā˜„ļø peaks tonight and tomorrow night, and will be visible worldwide but best seen in the Northern Hemisphere. It will be most visible across the entire US after midnight in places not affected by light pollution.

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83 California hospitals at risk due to Medicaid cuts, report finds Public Citizen says 83 California hospitals with heavy Medicaid reliance and losses face higher risk of service cuts, layoffs or closure.

83 California hospitals at risk due to Medicaid cuts — Trump’s #Project2025 ā€œBig Beautiful Bill,ā€ is projected to be at ā€œheightened riskā€ of closing, cutting services, or laying off staff. The projected impact nationally is 446 hospitals.
www.desertsun.com/story/news/n...

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2 Americans Killed in Mexico Crash Were C.I.A. Officers

2 Americans Killed in Mexico Crash Were C.I.A. Officers www.nytimes.com/2026/04/21/w...

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Donald Trump ā€˜sidelined’ by military brass during secret Iran rescue, report reveals | The Jerusalem Post Military aides kept Trump out of the Situation Room during the high-stakes Iran rescue mission of a US airman, fearing his temper would derail the mission.

Trump is unhinged — military advisers intentionally excluded Trump from the command room during the recent high-stakes extraction of a downed American airman in Iran, fearing his erratic temper would jeopardize the mission, according to a WSJ report.
www.jpost.com/internationa...

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Tariff refund system for businesses scheduled for launch on Monday The U.S. tariff refund system is set to launch on Monday, allowing businesses to submit their claims for reimbursements after paying $166 billion on duties determined to be illegal by the Supreme C…

Starting today, the US Government will begin refunding up to $166 billion in tariffs charged under Trump after SCOTUS ruled them illegal.

Businesses can now file claims through a new online customs system.

The CBP will manage the refunds which could take 60-90 days.
thehill.com/business/per...

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Donald Trump ā€˜sidelined’ by military brass during secret Iran rescue, report reveals | The Jerusalem Post Military aides kept Trump out of the Situation Room during the high-stakes Iran rescue mission of a US airman, fearing his temper would derail the mission.

Trump is unhinged — military advisers intentionally excluded Trump from the command room during the recent high-stakes extraction of a downed American airman in Iran, fearing his erratic temper would jeopardize the mission, according to a WSJ report.
www.jpost.com/internationa...

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ā€œAnd now the end is near
And so I face the final curtainā€¦ā€

One can hope.

Trump posts Sinatra’s My Way in the middle of the night.

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WHCA Announces 2026 Journalism Awards | White House Correspondents' Association (WHCA) Groundbreaking reporting about the first year of President Trump’s second term dominated the winners of this year’s journalism awards from the White House Correspondents’ Association. The reporting be...

The White House Correspondents’ Association is awarding photojournalist Andrew Harnik, Getty Images, ā€œThe Award For Excellence In Presidential News Coverage By Visual Journalists.ā€
whca.press/award/whca-a...

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The lunatics are running the asylum.

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The lunatics are running the asylum.

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WHCA Announces 2026 Journalism Awards | White House Correspondents' Association (WHCA) Groundbreaking reporting about the first year of President Trump’s second term dominated the winners of this year’s journalism awards from the White House Correspondents’ Association. The reporting be...

The White House Correspondents’ Association is awarding photojournalist Andrew Harnik, Getty Images, ā€œThe Award For Excellence In Presidential News Coverage By Visual Journalists.ā€
whca.press/award/whca-a...

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The head of the FBI isn't supposed to be getting blackout drunk. He's supposed to be cross-dressing

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ā€œPatel’s tenure [is] a management failure and his personal behavior [is] a national-security vulnerability.ā€

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The 2026 AI Index Report | Stanford HAI

The 2026 Stanford HAI Report — the AI Index offers ā€œinsight into AI’s technical progress, economic influence, and societal impact.ā€
hai.stanford.edu/ai-index/202...

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Stanford's big AI report: The most important takeaways The annual report tracks everything from how much money flowed into the industry to how the public feels about it

2026 Stanford AI report depicts a dire environmental impact

US’s 5,427 AI data centers’ 2025 power capacity reached 29.6 gigawatts = to NY state peak demand

Training 1 Grok produced 72,816 tons of CO2 > 1k cars in their lifetimes

Water use exceeds need of 12m people yearly
qz.com/stanfords-bi...

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Hungary lesson: Don’t debate Trump on policy. Name the corruption—and threat to democracy. Connect it to people’s lives. $3,800/household from tariffs. $2.5B gutted from the CDC. Billions in Trump family crypto profits while your grocery bill climbs and your kid’s school loses funding.

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The GOP pushed lawmakers into a midnight session to keep a surveillance program running.

Congress approved a 10-day extension of a surveillance program which permits the CIA, NSA, FBI and other agencies to collect and analyze overseas communications without a warrant.
www.wral.com/news/ap/3dc3...

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Trump turns totally toxic for Europe’s far right ā€œProximity with the United States in the current context did not go down well with Hungarian voters,ā€ said a senior official from France’s National Rally party.

Donald Trump has become so politically toxic in Europe that even his closest ideological allies increasingly view him as a liability.
www.politico.eu/article/trum...

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Trump graduated from trying to keep up with the Jones — to Hitler.
www.theguardian.com/world/2007/j...

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Nothing new, everything Trump does is tacky.

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It’s a place where they sell corners. His dementia is really showing.

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Hegseth Quotes Fake Bible Verse From Pulp Fiction at Pentagon Prayer Service The leader of the United States military just read from the gospel according to Tarantino

Hegseth Quotes Fake Bible Verse From Pulp Fiction at Pentagon Prayer Service

As one does when they are a fanatical pseudo-Christian.
meidasnews.com/news/hegseth...

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The AI Layoff Trap
Brett Hemenway Falk, Gerry Tsoukalasāˆ—
March 2, 2026
arXiv:2603.20617v1 [econ.TH] 21 Mar 2026
Abstract
If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding
the very consumer demand firms depend on. We show that knowing this is not enough for
firms to stop it. In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms
in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal. The
resulting loss harms both workers and firm owners. More competition and ā€œbetterā€ AI amplify
the excess; wage adjustments and free entry cannot eliminate it. Neither can capital income
taxes, worker equity participation, universal basic income, upskilling, or Coasian bargaining.
Only a Pigouvian automation tax can. The results suggest that policy should address not only
the aftermath of AI labor displacement but also the competitive incentives that drive it.
Keywords: artificial intelligence, automation, labor displacement, Pigouvian tax.
1 Introduction
ThefearthattechnologywilldisplaceworkersisatleastasoldastheIndustrialRevolution(Ricardo,
1821; Keynes, 1930; Leontief, 1982). Historically, displacement has largely been self-correcting:
automation of existing tasks has been offset by the creation of new tasks and occupations. What
Acemoglu and Restrepo (2018, 2019) call the reinstatement effect has tended to stabilize the labor
market. Whether this balance will hold in the age of AI is an open question: Autor et al. (2024)
find that displacement has intensified over the past four decades while the creation of new work
has not always kept pace, and early signs suggest the current wave is disproportionately affecting
entry-level workers (Brynjolfsson et al., 2025a).

The AI Layoff Trap Brett Hemenway Falk, Gerry Tsoukalasāˆ— March 2, 2026 arXiv:2603.20617v1 [econ.TH] 21 Mar 2026 Abstract If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding the very consumer demand firms depend on. We show that knowing this is not enough for firms to stop it. In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal. The resulting loss harms both workers and firm owners. More competition and ā€œbetterā€ AI amplify the excess; wage adjustments and free entry cannot eliminate it. Neither can capital income taxes, worker equity participation, universal basic income, upskilling, or Coasian bargaining. Only a Pigouvian automation tax can. The results suggest that policy should address not only the aftermath of AI labor displacement but also the competitive incentives that drive it. Keywords: artificial intelligence, automation, labor displacement, Pigouvian tax. 1 Introduction ThefearthattechnologywilldisplaceworkersisatleastasoldastheIndustrialRevolution(Ricardo, 1821; Keynes, 1930; Leontief, 1982). Historically, displacement has largely been self-correcting: automation of existing tasks has been offset by the creation of new tasks and occupations. What Acemoglu and Restrepo (2018, 2019) call the reinstatement effect has tended to stabilize the labor market. Whether this balance will hold in the age of AI is an open question: Autor et al. (2024) find that displacement has intensified over the past four decades while the creation of new work has not always kept pace, and early signs suggest the current wave is disproportionately affecting entry-level workers (Brynjolfsson et al., 2025a).

The AI Layoff Trap.

CEOs: this article argues that companies replacing workers with AI, eliminates the necessary customer base to succeed.

ā€œIf AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding
the very consumer demand firms depend on..ā€
arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20617

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JUST IN: John Eastman, the conservative attorney who helped devise President Trump's last ditch strategy to overturn the 2020 presidential election, has officially been disbarred, per the California Supreme Court:

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The AI Layoff Trap
Brett Hemenway Falk, Gerry Tsoukalasāˆ—
March 2, 2026
arXiv:2603.20617v1 [econ.TH] 21 Mar 2026
Abstract
If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding
the very consumer demand firms depend on. We show that knowing this is not enough for
firms to stop it. In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms
in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal. The
resulting loss harms both workers and firm owners. More competition and ā€œbetterā€ AI amplify
the excess; wage adjustments and free entry cannot eliminate it. Neither can capital income
taxes, worker equity participation, universal basic income, upskilling, or Coasian bargaining.
Only a Pigouvian automation tax can. The results suggest that policy should address not only
the aftermath of AI labor displacement but also the competitive incentives that drive it.
Keywords: artificial intelligence, automation, labor displacement, Pigouvian tax.
1 Introduction
ThefearthattechnologywilldisplaceworkersisatleastasoldastheIndustrialRevolution(Ricardo,
1821; Keynes, 1930; Leontief, 1982). Historically, displacement has largely been self-correcting:
automation of existing tasks has been offset by the creation of new tasks and occupations. What
Acemoglu and Restrepo (2018, 2019) call the reinstatement effect has tended to stabilize the labor
market. Whether this balance will hold in the age of AI is an open question: Autor et al. (2024)
find that displacement has intensified over the past four decades while the creation of new work
has not always kept pace, and early signs suggest the current wave is disproportionately affecting
entry-level workers (Brynjolfsson et al., 2025a).

The AI Layoff Trap Brett Hemenway Falk, Gerry Tsoukalasāˆ— March 2, 2026 arXiv:2603.20617v1 [econ.TH] 21 Mar 2026 Abstract If AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding the very consumer demand firms depend on. We show that knowing this is not enough for firms to stop it. In a competitive task-based model, demand externalities trap rational firms in an automation arms race, displacing workers well beyond what is collectively optimal. The resulting loss harms both workers and firm owners. More competition and ā€œbetterā€ AI amplify the excess; wage adjustments and free entry cannot eliminate it. Neither can capital income taxes, worker equity participation, universal basic income, upskilling, or Coasian bargaining. Only a Pigouvian automation tax can. The results suggest that policy should address not only the aftermath of AI labor displacement but also the competitive incentives that drive it. Keywords: artificial intelligence, automation, labor displacement, Pigouvian tax. 1 Introduction ThefearthattechnologywilldisplaceworkersisatleastasoldastheIndustrialRevolution(Ricardo, 1821; Keynes, 1930; Leontief, 1982). Historically, displacement has largely been self-correcting: automation of existing tasks has been offset by the creation of new tasks and occupations. What Acemoglu and Restrepo (2018, 2019) call the reinstatement effect has tended to stabilize the labor market. Whether this balance will hold in the age of AI is an open question: Autor et al. (2024) find that displacement has intensified over the past four decades while the creation of new work has not always kept pace, and early signs suggest the current wave is disproportionately affecting entry-level workers (Brynjolfsson et al., 2025a).

The AI Layoff Trap.

CEOs: this article argues that companies replacing workers with AI, eliminates the necessary customer base to succeed.

ā€œIf AI displaces human workers faster than the economy can reabsorb them, it risks eroding
the very consumer demand firms depend on..ā€
arxiv.org/pdf/2603.20617

1 week ago 5 2 0 0
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Zelensky just out with a long comment after the latest Ramstein meeting. Optimistic and gives thanks to many partners. Not a single mention of the US helping Ukraine.

The Ukrainians are not hiding the fact that the US is no longer their friend.

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This is why nobody likes JD Vance:

ā€œStopping funding for Ukraine is one of the things I’m proudest we’ve done in this administration.ā€

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I've written before about how USAID was the first government agency killed by conspiracy theory. This confirms it.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-death-...

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"Dear Iran: If you really want to make Trump mad, send a press release that says you will only negotiate with Obama."

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Vast difference between religious freedom and imposing Christian nationalism in the workplace. The Trump admin is doing the latter.

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