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Posts by Mark N. Katz

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Die neuen Russland-Analysen 479 sind online: Angelina Davydova & Aleksej Martow analysieren, wie der Naturschutz geschwächt wird. Dazu Kommentare von @marknkatz.bsky.social, @ulflaessing.bsky.social und @jkleinschmidt.bsky.social zu außenpolitischen Fragen. 👇

laender-analysen.de/russland-ana...

3 weeks ago 0 2 0 1

I spoke with @martinzubko.bsky.social about "The Changing World Order" on @theirthinker.bsky.social.

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

American foreign policy regained influence after experiencing losses in Indochina and elsewhere during the 1970s. But can American foreign policy regain influence now after the losses it has experienced in the 21st century?
katzeyeview.wordpress.com/2026/03/19/a...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Opinion: America’s Bad Habit US intervention in Iran is just the latest example of Washington becoming distracted by smaller adversaries. The prospect of a years-long war in Iran casts a specter on US strategy.

My thoughts on how US intervention against Iran is one more example of how American focus on a smaller adversary can benefit America's larger ones: www.kyivpost.com/opinion/71013

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Ayatollah FALLS: Putin’s WORST Iran Nightmare
Ayatollah FALLS: Putin’s WORST Iran Nightmare YouTube video by Smart Power Briefing

I spoke with my former student, Jason Jay Smart, on his new YouTube channel about the implications of the U.S.-Iran conflict for Russia's influence in the Middle East: www.youtube.com/watch?v=4lWP...

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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Come what may in Iran, Russia will adapt to preserve influence Russia likely views Iran’s mass anti-regime protests with deep unease, but may ultimately adapt just as it did in Syria to preserve influence whether the Islamic Republic survives or a new political o...

My latest article for Iran International:
www.iranintl.com/en/202601222...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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How to lose friends and alienate allies: Russia’s foreign policy losing streak Experts discuss Russia's partnerships in Latin America, Africa, and the Middle East, and how US policy should adjust as those relationships shift.

Looking forward to participating in this Atlantic Council Eurasia Program discussion on Thursday, January 15:
www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/how-to...

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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5 months ago 2 0 0 0
Opinion: Russia Keeps Its Syrian Bases: What’s in It for Damascus? Seldom has a major power been able to keep a foothold in country where the government it propped up got overthrown. By staying in Syria, Moscow is an exception to the rule.

My thoughts for @kyivpost.com on why the new government in Damascus has allowed Russia to keep its bases in Syria:
www.kyivpost.com/opinion/63284

5 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Zarif is right, Moscow wants Tehran locked in confrontation While relations between Moscow and Tehran have generally been good, ties between former Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif and the seemingly perpetual Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov...

My thoughts on former Iranian foreign minister Zarif's view that Russia does not want Iran to have normal relations with the rest of the world:

www.iranintl.com/en/202510177...

6 months ago 2 0 0 0
Trump sanctions won’t stop Putin unless militarily action is used | Mark N. Katz
Trump sanctions won’t stop Putin unless militarily action is used | Mark N. Katz YouTube video by Times Radio

I spoke with Stewart Willy of Times (of London) Radio about how Trump's sanctions are unlikely to induce Putin to agree to a ceasefire in Ukraine:
youtu.be/SG7Ez07WO4U?...

8 months ago 1 0 0 0
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If Putin Were Smart, He Would Accept Trump’s Ceasefire Deal Putin could strategically benefit from ending the Ukraine war by shifting US focus toward China, reducing dependence on Beijing, and regaining leverage—but he is too proud to do it.

My latest article for The National Interest:
nationalinterest.org/feature/if-p...

8 months ago 0 0 0 0
When will Russia and China turn on each other? Alliances, distrust, mistakes, scenarios? – Mark Katz
When will Russia and China turn on each other? Alliances, distrust, mistakes, scenarios? – Mark Katz YouTube video by NEMYRIALIVE

Long interview with Kyiv-based journalist Liudmila Nemirya, whose work I admire greatly: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTqq...

9 months ago 1 0 0 0

Honored that my 2005 article, "Iran and America: Is Rapprochement Finally Possible?" was included in the just published special issue of Middle East Policy, published by @mideastpolicy.bsky.social, on the Israel-Iran War.

9 months ago 1 1 1 0
Opinion: A Path Not Taken: Russia’s Reaction to the US Strike on Iran How the complex realities of geo-political decision-making can mark the difference between an imagined scenario and a real-world crisis.

My reflections on what Putin did not do to forestall the U.S. attack on Iranian nuclear facilities: www.kyivpost.com/opinion/55053

9 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Why Russia Is Still a Little Skeptical About BRICS Expansion While Putin sees BRICS expansion as a tool to counter Western influence, internal disagreements and differing group goals limit its effectiveness as a unified anti-Western alliance.

I argue in The National Interest that, "As more Global South governments that cooperate with the West join BRICS, it will be harder for Russia to orchestrate an anti-Western consensus within an expanded BRICS."
nationalinterest.org/feature/why-...

10 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Dr Mark N. Katz – Russia, the Middle East and the US: Shifting Regional Politics and a Changing Global Order Dr Mark N.

Dr Mark N. Katz – Russia, the Middle East and the US: Shifting Regional Politics and a Changing Global Order
open.substack.com/pub/duforumo...

10 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Can the Trump Phenomenon Be Considered Revolutionary? While Trump has succeeded in uniting disparate groups with differing interests, it is not clear whether anyone else can do so.

In this article, I discuss how various theories of revolution as well as analogies with previous revolutions can provide suggestive, even if not definitive, answers about whether and to what extent the Trump phenomenon can be considered a revolution.

www.e-ir.info/2025/06/08/c...

10 months ago 0 0 0 0

Pleased to have contributed a paper on "Russia, the Black Sea, and the Middle East" to the Transatlantic Leadership Network project on "Russian Intentions and Actions in the Black Sea":
www.transatlantic.org/wp-content/u...

11 months ago 0 0 0 0
Analysis: Kremlinology Is Dead. Putinology Rules. Inside Russia’s New Power Game What the 2025 Moscow Victory Day Parade reveals about Russia’s shifting global alliances – and why the age of Kremlinology is over.

Quoted in the Kyiv Post by Jason Jay Smart in an article comparing Cold War Kremlinology with present day Putinology: www.kyivpost.com/analysis/52380

11 months ago 0 0 0 0
Opinion: Diverging European and US Foreign Policy Interests Aren’t Just about Ukraine From the start of the Trump administration, there has been a clash in the transatlantic view of foreign policy, particularly noticeable is how best to resolve Russia’s war on Ukraine.

My latest for the Kyiv Post:
www.kyivpost.com/opinion/50648

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

My latest op-ed for The Hill:
thehill.com/opinion/5176...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
Opinion: Will Donald Trump Be Another Neville Chamberlain? The parallels between the 1938 Munich Agreement’s appeasement of Nazi Germany and Donald Trump’s Munich Security Conference accommodation of Putin should not be ignored.

My thoughts on the dangers of making an agreement about Ukraine without Ukraine:

www.kyivpost.com/opinion/47276

1 year ago 2 0 0 0
Opinion: Can Putin Really Keep Russia’s Bases in Syria? Neither the US nor Israel should help Putin out by providing the new Syrian government with a motive to allow him to keep his bases in Syria.

My thoughts on what Putin said about Syria during his December 19 press conference:

www.kyivpost.com/opinion/44314

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Will Russia be able to keep its bases in Syria? It would be in the United States’ and Israel’s interests not to give the new Syrian government reasons to let Russia keep those bases.

My latest for the Atlantic Council:
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Not So Bad After All: How US Foreign Policy Could Navigate a Multipolar World Containing rivals via buck-passing may be less costly for the U.S. than continuing to respond to each and every threat as if in a unipolar world.

Not So Bad After All: How US Foreign Policy Could Navigate a Multipolar World www.e-ir.info/2024/12/15/n...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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Experts react: Rebels have toppled the Assad regime. What’s next for Syria, the Middle East, and the world? Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad has been ousted as opposition forces quickly took Damascus. Atlantic Council experts share their insights.

Pleased that my comments were included in an Atlantic Council "Experts React" roundup on the implications of the fall of Assad: www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
Opinion: Putin’s Stakes in Syria Couldn’t be Higher The current setbacks faced by Russian forces in the face of rebel advances in Syria could have an impact that spreads far beyond that long-beleaguered Middle Eastern country.

My thoughts on what's at stake for Putin in Syria for the Kyiv Post: www.kyivpost.com/opinion/43408

1 year ago 0 0 0 0

Query: Since "Türkiye" has replaced "Turkey" as the correct spelling for the country, does this mean that "Türkiyish" should now be used as an adjective instead of "Turkish"? That would seem to be consistent in terms of spelling.

1 year ago 0 0 0 0
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ATACMS Missiles and Ukraine: What Will Donald Trump Do? After many months of Ukrainian leader Zelensky asking, President Biden finally allowed Kyiv to fire U.S.-made Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) missiles into Russian territory. What will Donald Tr...

My latest article for The National Interest: nationalinterest.org/feature/atac...

1 year ago 0 0 0 0