Iran going after Bsky is a genuinely funny waste of resources.

looking good for telarico too

Alerts sounded in northern Israel due to interceptor fire following a Hezbollah-launched UAV toward the Upper Galilee that was shot down before crossing into Israeli territory.-Kan News

There will be less overall turnout than 2025

My sense is more of the vote will be early this time

Seems like more high propensity voters turning out

Partisans deeply tuned into election, but less engaged voters more checked out

Not great to either side tbh

I still think 5-7

Not used to being the optimistic election opinion haver lol

"Just got off the phone with Rockingham County and they are at 6,740 votes through 10 a.m. That's 11% of registered voters. Red exurbs very strong today, rurals just fine from what I've seen so far. Edge GOP in turnout, but Virginia is a blue state." "Yes +3/4 Yes 70-75% chance to win. Red turning is better but it's just not quite good enough in rurals so far. Rockingham needs to be a little higher for NO to not need *really* good pursuasion" - Zachary Donnini

"Just got off the phone with Rockingham County and they are at 6,740 votes through 10 a.m. That's 11% of registered voters. Red exurbs very strong today, rurals just fine from what I've seen so far. Edge GOP in turnout, but Virginia is a blue state." - Zachary Donnini bluevirginia.us/2026/04/redi...

Relative to 2024, here are the 15 localities that had the highest and lowest turnout in 2025

This year, the bottom 15 localities would need roughly 20-25% higher %2025 turnout than the top 15 to get to an equal share of 2024's vote total

For the gop?

does “solid” mean better? Any actual numbers?

Early turnout reports suggests better turnout in red areas in Virginia compared to 2025

Keep in mind 2025 was best performance Dems have gotten in a long while in Virginia

But another indication this is going to be close election

We’ll see if it will be enough for No

wish i knew what the turnout in red areas is. if they are only matching their 2025 numbers then I still think yes has it, just a smaller margin. But no hoping for me, I am not really too invested in the referendum.

😂

Got me too, I m going to have to delete a post

Lower turnout overall maybe?

How is lived experience dogmatic?

That is not what lived experience means. Learn the concept before you assert shit about it. Start with Erlebnis, read Husserl. If you believe in the role evidence plays in establishing truth, you believe in lived experience

Curious to know when we placed underground cameras to monitor……

Because all of these sites are buried deep underground.

Sounds like the illegal war was entirely unnecessary then

The representative of Iran’s Supreme Leader in the IRGC:

There are currently no negotiations, and we will negotiate only when the enemy accepts our conditions. The enemy must acknowledge that we are in the position of the victor and it is in the position of the loser.

Trump on release of Iran prisoners:

Ty

The ev banked by the Dems is quite large, though. Maybe if NO persuaded Dems (possible; I drive by a house that has a Spanberger sign and a no sign out)

I would not spiral over this referendum if I were you.

How do these numbers compare to 2024? imo, maybe the best turnout comparison.

Truth nuke

Biden Official: Biden Was Preparing To Bomb Iran If Re-Elected Reading by Tim Foley:

Biden Official: Biden Was Preparing To Bomb Iran If Re-Elected

These moves were planned years in advance, and would have been rolled out regardless of what impotent meat puppet happened to be wheeled into office in January 2025.

www.caitlinjohnst.one/p/biden-offi...

Senate polls (Echelon Insights)

GA
🟦 Ossoff: 51%
🟥 Collins: 44%
---
🟦 Ossoff: 52%
🟥 Carter: 43%
——
FL
🟥 Moody: 50%
🟦 Vindman: 43%
——
ME
🟦 Platner: 51%
🟥 Collins: 45%
---
🟦 Mills: 48%
🟥 Collins: 46%
——
IA
🟦 Walls: 46%
🟥 Hinson: 44%

🟦 Turek: 46%
🟥 Hinson: 45%

No idea if it passes and maybe it shouldn’t

This was a vote out of pure spite lol

I voted for the damn thing against my own better judgment in part because of every day seeing this man act like this

2025 Politico headline: Trump on Texas redistricting: ‘We are entitled to 5 more seats’

John Gramlich skeet quoting Trump in NYT today: Trump: “I don’t know if you know what gerrymandering is, but it’s not good.”

A sowing/reaping for the ages

I’ll put many fake* dollars on Trump extending the deadline past Wednesday, lying that Iran has agreed to things it hasn’t actually agreed to.

*I wouldn’t bet for real on real world events. Doing so seems… unhealthy.

Emails show Amazon colluding with other firms to raise prices, California authorities allege The previously redacted messages were unveiled as part of an antitrust battle with California attorney general Rob Bonta

Emails released on Monday by California’s attorney general show Amazon allegedly colluding with other companies to raise the prices of pet treats, khaki pants, eyedrops and other products sold online