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Posts by Nathan Favero
Open call for proposals, Service Delivery by State and Local Governments. Conference to be held in Cambridge, MA on January 28–29, 2027. Submit proposals by 11:59pm EDT on July 15, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...
One red flag for me is any time someone summarizes views of Hispanic people yet doesn’t mention whether the survey was available in Spanish. Some survey platforms suffer from problems with bots answering questionnaires. Transparency can be a problem, with subcontractors obscuring recruitment, etc.
I don’t have a specific expectation that the results will be wrong in one direction. It is just that you can get all kinds of wacky results, and we probably never hear about the polls that show less shocking numbers. The outlier results are often the ones that get shared.
Online polling is a bit of a mess, so I generally don't put a ton of stock in it unless it is from a trusted organization (e.g., Pew is great, and the big news outlets generally partner with solid pollsters). And then when it comes to subpopulations, I am even more skeptical.
They may not be exactly the same, but they should be similar. My broader impression is these are very difficult subpopulations to sample accurately, and nothing in the methodology section from Manhattan Institute suggests to me that they are being particularly careful.
Do we have any reason to believe this poll is anywhere near representative (especially for Hispanic people)? www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/...
Breaking: Republican Senators shocked to see clowns they confirmed can’t run things good
A United States senator from the president's own party, one who serves on the Select Committee on Intelligence and the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations, has no idea what's going on as America goes to war with Iran.
New from APPAM: The Journal of Policy Implementation & Evaluation (JPIE)!
JPIE will publish short, peer-reviewed articles with timely, real-world insights on policy design, implementation & evaluation.
Learn more: https://ow.ly/TPNW50YmzVr
bsky.app/profile/ncwe...
The apostrophe in tge URL causes issues sometimes. Use this URL instead:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/what...
I'm shocked that a man who hired a prostitute to seduce his brother-in-law and then sent a recording of the encounter to his sister is not a good ambassador. www.france24.com/en/france/20...
Some don’t proactively share but do let you see other reviews/decision letters if you log in to their portals.
Some of the poli sci journals with Cambridge are trying a new approach i’d not seen before. Basically publishing fees if you can afford it but if not they’ll still let you publish. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
There’s also:
* Journal of Policy Studies
* Public Finance Journal
🚨 SCOOP: The IRS improperly disclosed confidential immigrant tax information to DHS, per sources.
It opens up HUGE liability for the US government.
Trump is suing the IRS over substantially the same disclosures -- for $10 billion.
🎁 Gift link:
BREAKING: @lizzylawrence.bsky.social reports that CBER director Vinay Prasad overruled career #FDA staff and unilaterally decided to refusal to accept #Moderna 's #flu vaccine submission. www.statnews.com/2026/02/11/m...
The night before the layoffs, they were up late working on this thing, in case they lost their jobs and access to our internal systems in the morning.
I cannot fathom better colleagues. I am immensely grateful for everything they did to bring this to life.
Abolish ICE and fire all agents is the moderate position.
🚨 The Senate has agreed to a deal to vote on 5/6 full appropriations bills and replace the DHS funding measure with a 2-week stopgap bill, per multiple sources. That gives time to negotiate on the Dem demands for ICE and CBP restraints.
polls showing decline in trust in trump among republicans since feb 25 to present
Fascinating polling by @pewresearch.org 👇. About 10-15% of Republicans have become upset with Trump--especially for his questionable ethics.
Before Trump was elected, Dems didn't trust him. What has changed is that some Republicans are now mistrusting him too.
www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
We represent the Lollipop Guild
The Lollipop Guild, the Lollipop Guild
And in the name of the Lollipop Guild
We will kidnap your children, pepper spray your priests, and shoot your mothers in the face
"You asked us to go. We went": Danish soldiers died in Iraq and Afghanistan fighting America's wars. Now Trump's America is threatening to go to war against Denmark. Danes feel betrayed and bewildered. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/18/w...
Yes, thanks for the important work y’all are doing on this topic!
To be honest, as someone who has lived in Denmark, I’ve felt rather depressed for most of this week. My experience with Danes has always been that they are unjustifiably generous to the USA. I want to hide my face in shame this week www.nytimes.com/2026/01/18/w...
Me too. There is a whole research lit on how performance quotas in the public sector generate bad outcomes.
Texas A&M decided to publicly cancel my Ethics class, and share a false statement that I declined to provide information, which made it impossible for [them ] to request an exemption. See for yourself, if this statement is true.
They are getting creative!
That’s great to hear! Hope the students like it.