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Posts by Ben Raue

Me, sowing an electoral system so I can get a constitution-amending supermajority on a smaller share of the vote: Haha fuck yeah!!! Yes!!

Me, reaping an electoral system where they can get a constitution-amending supermajority on a smaller share of the vote: Well this fucking sucks. What the fuck.

10 hours ago 469 85 7 4

the Rise and Fall of the Galactic Empire was excellent, written by a real historian from the perspective of an in-universe historian. Star Trek could do with something like that.

1 day ago 1 0 0 0
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Okay CTA. This is a good sign.

2 days ago 23795 4412 86 119
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2026 Senedd election - Wikipedia

The Welsh Senedd has a new electoral system; replacing MMP with low-magnitude closed list PR (with DM=6), ie. bang in the middle of the Carey-Hix “sweet spot” 😉
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Se...

6 days ago 13 2 1 0

They don’t seem to offer that either. I just want the last ~3 months.

6 days ago 1 0 0 0

Nothing immediately. It seems like you can request a statement the next day which is a PDF.

6 days ago 0 0 0 0

I use Goodbudget and for US banks they can automatically sync with your bank. But not Australia, we need to use CSV.

6 days ago 1 0 1 0

Is it normal now for banks to not give you the option of exporting your data as a CSV? Our bank just switched to a new system without that option.

1 week ago 5 1 4 0
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Measuring marginality beyond the pendulum When Australian elections were dominated by two major parties, Labor and the Coalition, the pendulum evolved as a simple tool to lay out the relative marginality of each seat. But things are more c…

Today's blog post shows a new pendulum following the South Australian election, but also looks at seats where a different 2CP was possible, and includes graphs showing how 3CP relates to who wins in each seat. www.tallyroom.com.au/64680 #sapol

1 week ago 10 5 2 0

I have stopped bothering with Rear Vision but can’t put my finger on why.

1 week ago 0 0 1 0
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There are now 10 toilets in Space

International Space Station: 4
Crew Dragon Docked at ISS: 1
Soyuz Docked at ISS: 1
Tiangong Space Station: 2
Shenzhou Docked at TSS: 1
Artemis II on way around Moon: 1

This will be the first time a toilet has left low earth orbit!

1 week ago 5697 1612 154 455

First test of One Nation preferences from 3CP to 2CP - 54.8% of ON preferences flowed to Nicholson over the Liberal on the final count.

2 weeks ago 6 2 2 0

Final margin was 55.2% to 44.8%.

2 weeks ago 10 2 1 0

In the seat of Finniss, independent Lou Nicholson has won despite coming fourth on primary votes.

Nicholson was 108 votes behind Labor on the primary vote, 18.5% to 18.1%.

On the 4CP, it was:
-Lib 28.7%
-Ind 25.4%
-ON 24.3%
-ALP 21.6%

On the 3CP it was:
-IND 40.4%
-LIB 32.6%
-ON 26.9%

2 weeks ago 32 9 2 0
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The shape of the vote in South Australia We now have results for most seats in the South Australian lower house, with the final distributions of preferences due this week. We also know the broad strokes of what happened – Labor poll…

I've got a blog post up today looking at the shape of the vote in South Australia - in particular it shows how Labor managed such an efficient vote, allowing them to win such a huge number of seats on a relatively low vote www.tallyroom.com.au/64667

2 weeks ago 29 13 2 1

special rules for the City of Sydney were introduced during the last NSW Coalition govt but we've had non-residential electors in NSW councils since the beginning.

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I was deliberately vague because the rule varies from state to state. Property owners, business tenants, it varies.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

the only state to not have non-residential voting is QLD.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

I'd argue they're very British actually!

Used to be more common in Australia but mostly been eliminated now.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

Yes

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There is little change to the margins worth noting. Labor holds 6 of its 7 seats by very large margins. Grey/O'Donoghue gets slightly more marginal.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

The seats of Spence and Mayo have contracted due to a large enrolment. Spence has mostly stayed put but Mayo has been pushed slightly into the Adelaide area to make room for Barker to expand.

3 seats are left entirely untouched - Adelaide, Sturt and Hindmarsh.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

The enormous seat of Grey, which covers the north and west of the state and is beginning to encroach into the northern outskirts of Adelaide, has been proposed to be renamed O'Donoghue after Lowitja O'Donoghue.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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SA federal redistribution live 11:43 – That’s it for today. All done within an hour. It’s worth noting that if the federal parliament is expanded, this redistribution process will be abandoned and will need to …

The redistribution committee's draft changes to South Australia's ten federal electorates has dropped this morning, and I've finished my analysis at the Tally Room. Here's a quick thread summarising some changes www.tallyroom.com.au/64649

2 weeks ago 3 0 1 0

Removalist?!

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
Never Cross a Picket Line
Never Cross a Picket Line YouTube video by Billy Bragg - Topic

www.youtube.com/watch?v=L0sy...

2 weeks ago 4 0 0 0
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‘Express Yourself’: Protest Bangers Fill ABC Airwaves as Strike Shuts Down Broadcaster ABC staff have walked-off the job for the first time in 20 years, bringing radio, TV and online operations to a grinding halt.

The Lamestream newsletter has excellent coverage of the ABC strike today, worth signing up for www.lamestream.com.au/express-your...

2 weeks ago 34 14 1 0

Yes. Should say 27%.

2 weeks ago 1 0 1 0
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Preference counts shed light on Labor-One Nation contests OnThe Electoral Commission of South Australia has been spending the last two days recounting votes in seats where they have had to do a new two-candidate-preferred (2CP) count after incorrectly cho…

I've got a new blog post, which runs through all the data we've gained from the preference counts conducted in South Australia in the last two days, and then I go through a few uncalled races and call some of them. www.tallyroom.com.au/64645 #sapol

2 weeks ago 21 3 1 0

(It did not)

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
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