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Posts by Pat Spoden

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a dry desert with mountains in the background and a cracked ground Alt: a dry desert with mountains in the background and a cracked ground

Only 2.03 inches of rain in March, which puts us at 5.88 inches for the year. I would estimate we are about 7 inches below normal for the year in northeast Foley, AL.

3 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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Can AI models reliably forecast extreme weather events? More-rigorous testing is required before artificial-intelligence approaches are widely adopted by public forecasting agencies.

The authors of a Comment article in Nature highlight concerns over adopting AI in meteorology and call on the weather and climate community to set clear standards, starting with agreed data sets, for testing out-of-sample extreme-event predictions objectively. 🧪

3 weeks ago 38 15 0 3

I have something similar, just don't have a way to host it.

1 month ago 1 0 1 0

NCAR is the backbone of Earth system science in the US and a global leader in open climate research. It directly supports our mission. Alongside a wide range of peers in the scientific research community, we submitted a letter to NSF strongly opposing any efforts to dismantle or restructure NCAR.

1 month ago 19 11 0 2

There are many factors, as you know, when it comes to tornado warning lead times. What is the regional philosophy? What is the experience level, what kind of reports did they have? Were they too distracted to see the radar data clearly? I, too, hope Ray is incorrect on the SOO thing.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

It is so short sighted to dismantle NCAR.

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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Trump Administration Readies Plans to Dismantle Renowned Science Lab

This should be the biggest weather and climate news on your radar today.

You can send an email today to say why dismantling NCAR is a bad idea for everyone: NSF_NCAR@nsf.gov

1 month ago 1313 871 18 66
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Exclusive: White House uses USAID funds for budget director Vought's security, documents show The White House budget office is using millions of dollars from the former U.S. foreign aid agency to pay for the security detail of Russell Vought, President Donald Trump's budget chief and an archit...

The Project 2025 author is using millions of dollars in USAID money for his own security detail.

It is estimated that 762,000 people have *already died* as a result of Elon Musk and Russell Vought’s obscene murder of USAID, including more than 500,000 children.

Vought is a mass murderer.

2 months ago 3861 1832 116 202
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The cruelty of this regime in a nutshell.

2 months ago 5230 2327 260 149
Map showing the U.S. 2025 Billion-Dollar Weather & Climate Disasters and highlights wildfires and severe weather through December 2025. Graphic is produced by Climate Central.

Map showing the U.S. 2025 Billion-Dollar Weather & Climate Disasters and highlights wildfires and severe weather through December 2025. Graphic is produced by Climate Central.

Just in - "According to @climatecentral.org, 2025 ranks as the third-highest year (after 2023 and 2024) for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters..."

+ Interactive graphics/data: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...
+ Climate Matters article: www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt...

3 months ago 120 60 8 14
Photo of a lightning strike. "Scott's Bluff" by Isaac Schluesche was a finalist in the AMS 2024 Photo Contest

Photo of a lightning strike. "Scott's Bluff" by Isaac Schluesche was a finalist in the AMS 2024 Photo Contest

New AMS Statement: Dismantling NSF’s National Center for Atmospheric Research would weaken U.S. leadership in weather, water, and climate science, putting public safety at risk.

For more than 60 years, NSF NCAR has improved forecasts and early warnings that save lives. More: https://bit.ly/4q6eChn

4 months ago 158 74 4 3
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Information on the magnitude 7.6 earthquake in Japan, including an animation showing the seismic waves as they were detected by seismometers across North America. 🧪

4 months ago 58 21 1 1

To my eyes, it looks the opposite. Meaning my eyes focus more on the expanding dark areas. It is harder to focus on the decreasing light areas.

4 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Washington, IL EF4 #Tornado – November 17, 2013! A devastating EF4 tore through Washington, destroying more than 600 homes and damaging hundreds more. The path continued across four counties, causing 125 injuries and three deaths. The strongest November tornado on record in Illinois. buff.ly/KcG7bQX

5 months ago 9 8 1 0
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NEW: Epstein survivors release the most powerful PSA I have ever seen.

Make this go viral so every member of the House of Representatives sees it.

5 months ago 59571 36404 1306 2902
Map showing the change in average winter temperature in degrees Fahrenheit by county for the contiguous United States from 1970 to 2025. Nearly all areas are warming.

Map showing the change in average winter temperature in degrees Fahrenheit by county for the contiguous United States from 1970 to 2025. Nearly all areas are warming.

Temperatures have warmed across the contiguous United States over the last five decades or so during the months of December through February (a rapidly warming season)...

Check out @climatecentral.org's winter package for more information and graphics: www.climatecentral.org/climate-matt... ❄️🥵

5 months ago 147 70 8 12
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Not happy

5 months ago 0 0 0 0

"World's first potential trillionaire has killed 600,000 people, including 400,000 children" is the only headline that anyone should ever read about Elon Musk

5 months ago 13854 6957 125 97
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8 months ago I had a vision: what if we had a unified, track-based dataset of all severe events?

Still a lot of improvements I can make to the algorithm itself, but otherwise, looks like we have one now. I can't wait to see what we can do with this 👀

5 months ago 103 15 4 3

Trump just continually shooting our country in the face. This unwarranted (and likely illegal) destruction of Goddard is madness. It jeopardizes the next several decades of space exploration.

5 months ago 1153 590 26 11

Walmart and McDonald’s are among the top employers of workers who rely on food stamps.

McDonald's CEO raked in $18.2M last year — over 1,000x the company's median employee pay.

Walmart's CEO pocketed $27.4M — 930x the company's median employee pay.

See the problem?

5 months ago 22123 8095 617 339

A little late with the October 2025 rain numbers for NE Foley, AL.

Total for the month: 15.37 inches (more like a June total)
Highest rainfall rate: 16.00 per hour on the 16th
-highest I recall ever recorded in my 3 years here.
#nwsmob

5 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Let's check in and see how November temperatures in the Contiguous U.S. have changed over the last 75 years. 🔥

5 months ago 60 13 5 2
Important: Changes to NOAA NEXRAD AWS Archive | NSF UnidataImportant: Changes to NOAA NEXRAD AWS Archive | NSF Unidata

Unidata had issued a public notice regarding the change in bucket name in August 2025:
www.unidata.ucar.edu/blogs/news/e...

5 months ago 7 5 0 0
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1-minute #GOES19/#GOESEast Visible images showed that soon after making landfall, the eye of Hurricane #Melissa became cloud-filled as the storm interacted with higher terrain on the western edge of Jamaica.

5 months ago 84 25 3 0

Per NOAA/AOML/HRD’s Sim Aberson, the 219 kt reading will be the fastest wind ever measured by a dropsonde if it passes final quality-control checks.

5 months ago 63 25 2 0
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This meso loop of #Melissa from CIRA is absolutely stunning at it makes its closes in on landfall in southwestern Jamaica.

rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/...

#hurricanemelissa

5 months ago 175 79 8 15
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From a crewmember on yesterday's Teal 74 mission into now-Category 5 Hurricane #Melissa. As clear of an eye as you will see in the Atlantic basin.

5 months ago 2769 1036 52 126
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An incredible view from satellite today as Major Hurricane #Melissa rages south of Jamaica 🇯🇲

5 months ago 115 49 3 7