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Posts by Quantpedia - Radovan Vojtko

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The Tranching Dilemma

What if a meaningful part of usual trading strategy’s performance has nothing to do with your signal—but simply when you rebalance?

quantpedia.com/the-tranchin...

#trading #strategy #portfolio #quant #financial #markets

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
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Exploiting Mean-Reversion in Decentralized Prediction Markets: Evidence from Polymarket Binary Contracts

quantpedia.com/exploiting-m...

#polymarket #kalshi #prediction #markets #trading #strategy #quant

4 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Trading as a Small Business: What Beginner Investors and Traders Usually Learn Too Late

quantpedia.com/trading-as-a...

#quant #trading #business

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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Quantpedia in March 2026

– Launch of Quantpedia's API
– Invitation to Uncorrelated Puerto Rico conference
– Quantpedia Awards 2026 reminder
– 11 new Quantpedia Premium strategies
– 7 new related research papers
– 7 new backtests
– 7 new blog posts

quantpedia.com/quantpedia-i...

#quant #trading

1 week ago 2 0 0 0
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Systematic Tactical Allocation in Emerging Markets vs. U.S.: A Momentum-Based Approach

Investors may be approaching a turning point where relative returns between U.S. equities and international markets—especially Emerging Markets (EM)—begin to shift.

quantpedia.com/systematic-t...
#quant #trading

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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One Year Later: Is ChatGPT Finally Worth Using for Quantitative Analysis?

Newer models are now available (from OpenAI and also other vendors) so can we finally use LLMs to assist with quantitative analysis tasks?

quantpedia.com/one-year-lat...

#chatgpt #claude #openai #anthropic #quant #trading

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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When Crypto Stopped Diversifying: The ETF Regime Shift

Can crypto still help diversify an equity portfolio—or has that edge disappeared? By comparing periods before and after ETFs, paper shows how the market structure has shifted.

quantpedia.com/when-crypto-...

#quant #bitcoin #etf #crypto

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Carbon that has not yet been emitted should not be used to predict stock returns. While this sounds obvious, prior research papers has done exactly that.

quantpedia.com/the-illusion...

#carbon #premium #quant #stock #picking #trading #strategy #esg #investing

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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The goal of our article is to examine the relationship between small value and large growth stocks using more than 100 years of data and test whether the spread between small value and large growth portfolios shows trends that could help investors switc.

quantpedia.com/timing-value...

#quant

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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This study examines the effectiveness of several anomaly-based trading strategies applied to the real estate sector represented by the RlEst index from the Fama–French 48 industry portfolios.

quantpedia.com/anomaly-base...

#REITs #quant #trendfollowing #momentum #seasonality #trading #strategies

1 month ago 0 1 0 0
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Quantpedia in February 2026

– Expanded the Trend/Reversal Analysis
– 8th episode of QuantBeats
– Invitation to Future Alpha conference
– Quantpedia Awards 2026 reminder
– 11 new Quantpedia strategies
– 5 new related papers
– 7 new backtests
– 5 new blog posts

quantpedia.com/quantpedia-i...

#quant

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
Episode 08 - Jiři Mrkva: Building Crypto Quant Systems
Episode 08 - Jiři Mrkva: Building Crypto Quant Systems YouTube video by Quantbeats

QuantBeats Episode 08 is Live!

Jiři Mrkva breaks down how he builds systematic crypto strategies, why automation beats emotional decision-making, and how robust quant systems can run in the background.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=QogV...

#quant #trading #strategies #crypto #algotrading

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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However, during market crises or extended bear markets, many strategies become synchronized. Portfolios built from pro cyclical strategies experience drawdowns. This creates a need for strategies that behave differently during stress periods.

quantpedia.com/finding-and-...

#quant #crisis #hedge

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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By identifying whether the Fed is in a tightening, easing, or neutral phase, investors can improve their expectations about the near-term evolution of the yield curve.

quantpedia.com/2-year-notes...

#quant #trading #strategy #fed #monetary #policy

1 month ago 2 0 0 0
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This research examines the critical quantitative investment problem of systematic tactical allocation to international equity mandates—specifically Europe, Australasia, and the Far East (EAFE)—amidst conjectured macroeconomic regime transitions.

quantpedia.com/systematic-a...

#quant #investing

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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When an ETF is liquid but its underlying assets are difficult to price in real time, temporary dislocations between market price and intrinsic value can arise, particularly during periods of elevated volatility.

quantpedia.com/evaluating-r...

#quant #arbitrage #trading #strategy

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Calendar strategies are not designed to operate as standalone trading systems. Their primary role is within a portfolio, where their structural properties become relevant rather than their individual performance metrics.

quantpedia.com/combining-ca...

#trading #quant #strategy #fintwit

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Quantpedia in January 2026

– 3 new volatility-based filters for the Trading Edge Analysis
– 7th episode of QuantBeats
– Quantpedia Awards 2026 is back!
– 11 new Quantpedia Premium strategies
– 8 new related papers
– 9 new backtests
– 5 new blogs

quantpedia.com/quantpedia-i...

#quant #trading

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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QuantBeats Episode 07 is Live!

David Kaiser walks through his evolution from fundamental analyst to quant value investor, explaining how rules-based portfolios help investors survive long periods when value is out of favor.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=VAeU...

#quant #value #investing #quantbeats

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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It has now been two highly volatile years since we first published our paper on Pragmatic Asset Allocation, making this an opportune moment to review the strategy’s performance over the past year.

quantpedia.com/pragmatic-as...

#quant #trading #strategy #gold #stocks #treasuries

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Volatile episodes routinely revive debate within the quantitative community about structural drivers of intraday instability, with particular attention paid to the growing prominence of S&P 500 zero-days-to-expiration (0DTE) options.

quantpedia.com/do-sp500-0dt...

#0DTE #options #trading #quant

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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Who Is the Counterparty to the Pro-Cyclical Investors

Dealer banks absorb the vast majority of the net flow coming from asset managers. Other active liquidity sources, such as principal trading firms and hedge funds, play only minor roles.

quantpedia.com/who-is-the-c...

#trading #quant #liquidity

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Is The Optimal Long-term Portfolio Share of Bitcoin Negative?

The crypto-enthusiast’s mantra—“just add Bitcoin and watch the efficient frontier fly”—runs into a hard empirical wall ...

quantpedia.com/is-the-optim...

#quant #trading #bitcoin #crypto #investing

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Market concentration has become one of the most discussed structural risks in today’s equity markets. Many investors worry that history is repeating itself and that extreme concentration today implies disappointment tomorrow.

quantpedia.com/the-fallacy-...

#fintech #quant #trading #magnificent7

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Top Ten Blog Posts on Quantpedia in 2025

Over the past 12 months, we published nearly 70 short analyses of academic papers and our own research articles. So let’s summarize 10 of them, which were the most popular ...

quantpedia.com/top-ten-blog...

#quant #trading #fintwit #finance #algotrading

3 months ago 2 0 0 0
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U.S. government shutdowns are a recurring political event that often dominate headlines — but do they actually translate into meaningful signals for investment decisions?

quantpedia.com/can-we-use-u...

#government #shutdown #trump #investment #analysis #quant #trading #fintwit

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Over the past seven decades, U.S. equity-market volatility has roughly doubled. A new paper argues that this change is not driven by macroeconomics but by the dramatic growth of index-level trading (futures, ETFs, index funds).

quantpedia.com/can-we-blame...

#fintwit #quant #finance #stockmarket

4 months ago 3 0 0 0
Episode 06 - S. Ghatak: From Government Tech to Quant Alpha
Episode 06 - S. Ghatak: From Government Tech to Quant Alpha YouTube video by Quantbeats

From government tech to quantitative finance, Sid Ghatak breaks down how decades of AI and data engineering shaped a unique approach to finding alpha. Join us in the 6th episode of our quant podcast ...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bfrz...
#quantbeats #quant #trading #machinelearning #ai #alpha #fintwit

4 months ago 4 1 0 0
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In this article, we examine the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the Corrugated and Solid Fiber Box Manufacturing industry. Our motivation is to evaluate this index’s effectiveness as a signal for the SPY, sector-specific ETFs, and Amazon (AMZN)

quantpedia.com/alternative-...
#quant #fintwit #trading

4 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Systematic Edges in Prediction Markets

This article reviews common systematic edges in prediction markets, illustrates their practical application and highlights the potential for profitable trading.
quantpedia.com/systematic-e...
#kalshi #polymarket #quant #trading #strategies #prediction #markets

4 months ago 1 0 0 0