Advertisement · 728 × 90

Posts by Christian Ambrosius

Compared to 137 or so illegal and arbitrary executions that’s of course not the the main issue but wtf:

Once the men were on the patrol boat, the US personnel boarded the fishing boat and stole the crew’s food and the beer, Palacios said.

8 hours ago 0 0 0 0
Post image

During Easter processions at Lake Atitlán, you’ll meet Maximón — originally a Maya deity who often takes on the role of Judas Iscariot. He also drinks, smokes, and has a thing for neckties.

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Good MPI is setting an example with one position. Maybe, considering the pace at which things change in Germany, things will be better 30 years from now 😅

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
Post image

I like the new piñatas offered in Tijuana

1 month ago 1 0 0 0

Congratulations! I envy your students for the teacher and mentor they get wonderful news

1 month ago 1 1 1 0
Video

Wow.

2 months ago 36178 16732 1307 2488
Käte Hamburger Centre for Apocalyptic and Post-Apocalyptic Studies - CAPAS

Goodby end of history hello apocalyptic studies www.capas.uni-heidelberg.de/en

2 months ago 0 0 0 0

Very much looking forward to this very nice conference in Segovia next week

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
Advertisement

Do we already have a quiz show “satire or reality” based on trump quotes?

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
Post image

#Nobel #FoundInBerlin

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
Post image

📢 2nd Junior Workshop Economics of Latin America - Call for Papers!

Aimed at PhD students & post-docs working on development economics with a regional focus on Latin America.

9-10 July 2026 in Berlin.

Submission deadline: Feb 28. (details below)

#EconConf #EconSky

3 months ago 10 11 0 0

Also: with so many terrible things happening in the world it feels really good to just see everybody having fun with simple things and not thinking about any of it for a while.

3 months ago 1 0 1 0
Video

Berlin sledding season ❄️
Sleds spotted today include: traffic signs, Euro pallets, skateboards, drying racks, and garbage bags.
When it snows, Berlin improvises.

3 months ago 2 0 1 0

So hard these days to distinguish satire from reality 😢

3 months ago 1 0 0 0
Post image

Inaugural Workshop of the Standing Committee for Political Economy of the German Economic Association (Verein für Socialpolitik e.V.), @vfsecon.bsky.social
Call for Papers below! Maik T. Schneider, @steinhardt.bsky.social @theocharisgr.bsky.social
and I hope to see you in Berlin, March 26-27!

3 months ago 16 12 1 1

Vielen Dank für eine der sachkundigsten Analysen die ich in deutschen Medien gesehen oder gelesen habe

3 months ago 1 0 1 0

“With the U.S. not just unwilling but unable to underwrite any order, it’s Trumpian anarchy. There is a sudden vacuum in the world order, while Trump wields diminished U.S. military and diplomatic power wildly, with no constraints.”

3 months ago 17 4 0 0
Advertisement

reminder if not evident: US backed coups in Latin America haven't usually led to periods of democratic transitions and stabiliy, and neither did they usually have that intention (e.g. Guatemala 1954; Brazil 1964; Dominican Rep. 1965; Chile 1973; etc.)

3 months ago 4 1 0 0
Post image

Back in Christmas mood

3 months ago 2 0 0 0

10/
📚 Why this matters:
Millions are affected by enforced return each year—yet data is fragmented.
The research note helps map the landscape and opens doors for research on the drivers & consequences of deportation.
#Research #MigrationStudies #DataForPolicy

4 months ago 0 0 0 0

9/🧩 Overall pattern:
Deportation risk is:
• highly uneven across countries
• extremely unequal across corridors
• shaped by politics, bureaucracy & international cooperation
#MigrationPolitics #ComparativeMigration #DeportationRegimes

4 months ago 1 0 1 0
Post image

8/
📏 Figure 7: Deportation risk relative to diaspora size & origin-country populations.

U.S.–Central America corridors dominate absolutely and relatively—but Europe–Albania and Spain–Morocco also show high relative risks.

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

🌍 Figure 6: Biggest enforced-return corridors (excluding the 4 U.S. giants to Mexico and Central America): Spain–Morocco, Greece–Albania, Colombia–Cuba, Germany–Albania. Lot of diversity below the Top 4.

#MigrationCorridors #MobilityData

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

⚖️ Figure 5: Enforcement gap = enforced returns ÷ orders to leave.

Variation is huge: Japan ~60%; others (BE, PT, BG, PL, CZ) <10%.

#DeportationGap #AdministrativeState

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

🔄 Figure 4: “Other returns” (assisted/voluntary/administrative).

Mexico and the U.S. dominate.

In many EU countries, “other returns” exceed enforced ones—showing how procedure & reporting shape the data.
#VoluntaryReturn #AVR #MigrationGovernance

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

📊 Figure 3: Annual enforced returns by country (2014–2022).

The U.S. is an outlier—several orders of magnitude above others.

Germany ranks 2nd, ~5% of U.S. levels.
#MigrationStats #ForcedReturn #ComparativePolitics

4 months ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

🛂 Figure 2: Refusals of entry, U.S. vs EU.

EU refusals collapse during COVID; U.S. do not—because of Title 42, which artificially inflated turnbacks.

Excluding Title 42 shows the “true” refusal trend.
#Borders #USBorder #EU #Title42 #MigrationControl

4 months ago 1 0 1 0
Advertisement
Post image

In the following: Seven graphs created from this data.

Figure 1: U.S. removals massively exceed those in Europe.
Four U.S.– Central America + Mexico corridors (MX, GT, HN, SV) dominate global return patterns.

4 months ago 0 0 1 0

New research note: Cross-Country Variation in Deportation Risk tinyurl.com/3x5ss4jk

We mapped ~7,200 deportation corridors using data from 42 deporting countries. Data available as an interactive #RShiny app 👉 www.deprisk.info

#DepRisk #Migration #Deportations #Data4Migration

4 months ago 2 0 1 0

My 11yo explained to me why the opportunity cost of spending less time with his friends isn’t worth the marginal improvement in grades.

I think he’s ready for an economics degree.

5 months ago 5 0 0 0