Advertisement Β· 728 Γ— 90

Posts by Chiara Poletto

Post image

As you may know, Binghamton will host #CCS2026. Although @binghamtonu.bsky.social ranks first among New York's public universities, let us introduce you to our hometown, often known as the "Parlor City" for its historic elegance πŸ›οΈ, and the "Valley of Opportunity" for its industrial past 🏭.

1 day ago 2 4 1 0
View over the canal in Nyhavn, Copenhagen

View over the canal in Nyhavn, Copenhagen

Thrilled to announce CS2Nordics: the First Nordic Conference on Computational Social Science. Copenhagen, September 21-22, 2026.

We invite all CSS researchers in the Nordics as well as in the international research community to submit 2-page abstracts by June 19: nosocss.org/conference.h....

4 days ago 51 27 0 0
This is figure 3, which shows the probability of emergence of different SARS coronaviruses in the presence of vaccination and co-circulating SARS-CoV-2.

This is figure 3, which shows the probability of emergence of different SARS coronaviruses in the presence of vaccination and co-circulating SARS-CoV-2.

A study in Nature Communications suggests that SARS-CoV-2 circulation and vaccination have generated widespread immunity against related sarbecoviruses, creating an immunological barrier to novel sarbecovirus emergence in humans. go.nature.com/4sDW5Kk #medsky πŸ§ͺ

2 weeks ago 16 3 0 0
Preview
Women's mobility networks enable more efficient travel Our understanding of gender differences in mobility is marked by a clear tension: surveys portray women's movements as more complex than men's, while digital traces suggest less diverse travel. Here, ...

Women's mobility networks enable more efficient travel. Great work by Silvia de Sojo, @sunelehmann.com and Laura Alessandretti.
arxiv.org/abs/2604.00943

2 weeks ago 3 3 0 0
Post image Post image

Incredible work by Jonathan Pekar et al.: The emergence and molecular evolution of H5N1 influenza viruses in United States dairy cattle

www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...

2 weeks ago 10 7 0 0
Preview
GSIDD Transmission Digest: March 2026

1/ GSIDD Transmission Digest: March 2026

ℹ️ The GSIDD Transmission Digest keeps you in the loop on what is happening with GSIDD, from upcoming events to the latest announcements.

πŸ”—: hustling-producer-1761.kit.com/posts/gsidd-...

#IDsky #EpiSky #PublicHealth #OneHealth πŸ§ͺ

3 weeks ago 1 2 1 0
Post image Post image

Biosecurity depends critically on the early identification of novel pathogens.

Our international team developed a global multi-scale model of infectious diseases to evaluate the time to detection in aircraft wastewater vs. other surveillance modalities.

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

1 month ago 30 9 0 2
Advertisement
Post image

Excited to share our work w/ @justinlessler.bsky.social, Trevor Bedford & Amanda Perofsky: doi.org/10.1098/rspb.... We investigate when sequence datasets are informative about between-group transmission, and how this depends on the relative pace of mutation, between-group transmission and sampling.

1 month ago 11 6 0 0
Post image

Join ESPIDAM 2026 β€” the European Summer Program in Infectious Disease Analysis & Modelling!

A unique training opportunity for early-career researchers in epidemic modelling πŸ¦ πŸ“Š

⏳ Early bird deadline: March 31

www.su.se/english/divi...

1 month ago 7 7 0 0

We are very excited to have launched the establishment process for a global professional society for infectious disease dynamics. Join us!

1 month ago 15 8 0 0

Deeply grateful to Francesco Bonacina for his enormous work and stamina, and to Pierre-Yves BoΓ«lle, @vcolizza.bsky.social, Olivier Lopez, and Maud Thomas!

1 month ago 0 0 0 0

The joint analysis of spatiotemporal dynamics of influenza subtypes worldwide reveals a hidden structure in subtype circulation that can inform anticipation.

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

We leveraged this geographical structure with a Bayesian hierarchical vector autoregressive model to predict next year's subtype composition, obtaining improved performance compared to more naive approaches

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
Post image

This approach enabled us to analyze country-level subtype mixing across years and identify geographical patterns in subtypes' composition. Interestingly, we found that air travel is among the key factors driving subtype alternation.

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
Post image

We used compositional data analysis (CODA) to map trajectories of A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B percentages in a bidimensional space, providing a new perspective for visualization and quantitative analyses.

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
Preview
Characterization and forecast of global influenza subtype dynamics - Nature Health A global analysis sheds light on the dynamics and features involved in influenza subtype composition in epidemic seasons between 2000 and 2023 and presents a series of tools to predict next year’s com...

πŸ’« New paper out in @nathealth.nature.com πŸ’«

Characterization and forecast of global influenza subtype dynamics

www.nature.com/articles/s44...

We analyzed the subtype compositions of countries' influenza waves globally to understand their drivers and test predictions of next season's composition.

1 month ago 11 1 1 0

Attending the @gs-idd.bsky.social launch seminar. Couldn't be more excited to see this effort take shape and can't wait to see how it helps push the infectious disease dynamics community forward! Thank you to all of the founding members and organizers πŸ™

1 month ago 2 2 0 0
Advertisement
Preview
Join us for the launch event! We are excited to invite you to the official launch of the Global Society for Infectious Disease Dynamics (GSIDD) on February 26th, 2026.This launch marks an important milestone for our global communi...

Launch of the Global Society of Infectious Disease Dynamics. πŸŽ‰

2 online webinars on Thursday 26th.
Do join to see what it's all about, and get involved in the community as it kicks off!

www.gsidd.org/post/join-us...

1 month ago 26 14 1 1
Post image

Step 1: Insert bacteria ("Wolbachia") into mosquitoes.

Step 2: Release mosquitoes.

Step 3: Watch Dengue rates plummet.

Phenomenal results from Singapore.

Link: tinyurl.com/59c9t67u, by Lim et al.

2 months ago 82 25 2 2
Preview
Beyond binary: a machine-learning classification of childhood COVID-19 vaccination intentions using behavioural data - Population Health Metrics Population Health Metrics - Immunisation is one of the most cost-effective tools for preventing infectious diseases. Yet, vaccine hesitancy, defined as a delayed acceptance or refusal of...

What shapes parental vaccination intentions? Are sociodemographic predictors enough to understand this phenomenon? @dondenacentre.bsky.social

Read more in the full paper link.springer.com/article/10.1...

2 months ago 3 2 0 0
Preview
Network map of Bluesky users Theo Sanderson visualized the network of 3.4 million Bluesky users, placed by follow patterns. It is searchable and interactive. If you zoom in close enough, you can find our tiny pocket of data vi…

Network map of Bluesky users flowingdata.com/2026/02/11/n...

2 months ago 7 7 0 0

Apply now to become a member of the Advisory Board!

2 months ago 2 3 0 0
Preview
Does AI already have human-level intelligence? The evidence is clear The vision of human-level machine intelligence laid out by Alan Turing in the 1950s is now a reality. Eyes unclouded by dread or hype will help us to prepare for what comes next.

Goddness, there's lots to say about this. Good to see the case pro laid out in detail. I wonder if Nature will be publishing the counter-argument too?
www.nature.com/articles/d41...

2 months ago 29 7 9 3
Post image Post image Post image

πŸ”¬ London 2026 πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Complexity72h is open for applications!

Young researchers in #ComplexSystems, come to London, June 22–26, 2026 @nunetsi.bsky.social

What is Complexity72h? Participants form teams and work 72 hours on original research projects, guided by expert tutors.



More details below:

2 months ago 1 2 1 0
Post image

Globally, seasonal influenza kills an average of 700,000 people each year from respiratory disease or cardiovascular disease.

During large flu pandemics, when influenza strains evolved substantially, the death toll was even higher.

3 months ago 32 9 1 2
Preview
Does AI already have human-level intelligence? The evidence is clear The vision of human-level machine intelligence laid out by Alan Turing in the 1950s is now a reality. Eyes unclouded by dread or hype will help us to prepare for what comes next.

Does AI already have human-level intelligence? The evidence is clear www.nature.com/articles/d41...

2 months ago 1 2 0 0
Advertisement

Neat work, showing that the entire evolution of a variant of concern can happen in one persistently infected individual over about a year.

2 months ago 27 7 0 0

Our Satellite Call for #CCS2026 is still open, but the clock is ticking. βŒ›οΈ

Want to spotlight a hot topic in #ComplexSystems? Submit your proposal by Feb 10 and help shape our community. Any methods, tutorials, debates, and demos are welcome!

Apply here: bit.ly/3LUgTNc

2 months ago 5 8 0 0
Mobility-driven synthetic contact matrices as a scalable solution for real-time pandemic response modeling - Nature Communications Contact matrices are used to describe social mixing patterns and inform mathematical models of disease transmission. Here, the authors evaluate the accuracy of synthetic contact matrices generated usi...

Mobility-based synthetic contact matrices offer a promising alternative for real-time pandemic response modeling. How do they compare with traditional empirical contact matrices?

We address this question in our latest study, now published in Nature Communications ⬇️
doi.org/10.1038/s414...

2 months ago 7 3 1 0
Preview
Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa - Nature Projected impacts of climate change on malaria burden in Africa by 2050 highlight the urgent need for climate-resilient malaria control strategies and robust emergency response systems to safeguard pr...

Projected impacts of climate change on malaria in Africa

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

2 months ago 7 3 0 0