It’s just the 20 bump was so large. Don’t think it’s very related to the underlying demography at all

What legislation are you thinking of here?

I get the administrative complexity/burdens, etc but there are tons of examples of quite targeted social programs being very durable and popular that I think you need to wrestle with more. And I don't know how you could possibly blame Democrats for this!

Eagle eyed commenter @gojomo.bsky.social pointed out Claude made an oopsie on the math here.

I've redone the rings with corrected math, and it's way better now imo.

Another way of looking at our giving over the past 8 years.

Why bad politics? Consistently makes programs more popular in all the polling I see and lowers fiscal costs which voters also like

Elite middle position on I/P issues quite popular w/ voters (competitive with the Liberal position here), fyi

Ahem, Dustin it's the "friends we made along the way"

As @jonrobinson2.bsky.social says, Democrats are good

It also means moderation on specific issues—particularly issues where a party is out of step with the public—may yield bigger electoral gains.

These gains will still be small, though—meaning moderation across *many* issues is likely needed for parties to make a meaningful dent.

Talarico was an overperformer in his district, no?

Yes, I AM obsessed with learning how to win elections!
(from @gelliottmorris.com)

And because this is social media, I will share my obsession w/ you. Starting tomorrow, I'll share one recent study on winning elections per (work?) day

But first, why am I obsessed with how to win elections? Because:

Research Obsession Day 1: What do we know about the impact of creators? And what does it have to do with Elon Musk?

Featuring this incredible research by @eunjikim.bsky.social, Nate Lubin & others: arxiv.org/pdf/2512.15401

Claudia

Claudette

Data Archivist Position Summary Pew Research Center is seeking a Data Archivist to support our commitment to open science and data transparency. This newly created role will play a key part in enhancing the accessib...

New dream job just dropped: pewtrusts.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/CenterExtern...

Pew Research Center is an extraordinary organization, and this is such a fantastic opportunity. When I was there, I felt like we were building mountains of data and only able to showcase a tiny slice of what was there.

That's even more of a reason to want them in a walled garden like Instagram, though, right? In that you can meter access, etc.

Parents knowing about security and verification and monitoring features and thus using them is a huge differentiator and very costly. I sure would want to know how it affected my business bottom line

If you care about internal safety this safety advertising pivot seems like a big win

I look like I’m praying for land value tax

https://press.stripe.com/origins-of-efficiency “Interesting book,” he wrote. https://gist.github.com/Richard-Weiss/efe157692991535403bd7e7fb20b6695 “Applied philosophy” https://www.thexebec.com/products/xebec-tri-screen-3 [No commentary appended] https://substack.com/inbox/post/179297961 “Could you send the recipe for the chicken” https://www.piie.com/blogs/realtime-economics/2025/private-sector-cant-replace-official-statistics-could-be-great “Bye bye growth” https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/07/11/mike-lee-utah-mormon-church-profile-00437296 “I want to talk about the ending of this article it’s so good,” he wrote. “But also [redacted preschooler] pooped” https://www.nytimes.com/1998/07/17/books/books-of-the-times-a-river-ran-through-their-dreams.html “Did you know Machiavelli and Da Vinci worked together to try to redirect the river Arno away from Pisa and totally failed.” https://nanransohoff.substack.com/p/is-romanticism-making-a-comeback “Deranged.” https://www.plasticlist.org/report “Have you read this,” he wrote. “All these mega tech guys got super into micro plastics.” https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/776856/algospeak-by-adam-aleksic/ “Looks interesting” Jorge Bravo Abad @bravo_abad In-memory attention: Accelerating LLMs with analog hardware Large language models (like GPT) generate text one word at a time. To decide the next word, they compare the new input with many past words stored in a short-term “cache.” On today’s GPUs, that cache has to be 10:01 AM · Sep 10, 2025 · 382K Views 37 Replies · 351 Reposts · 2.17K Likes “If true, fascinating” “Really helpful” https://nymag.com/strategist/article/how-to-break-phone-addiction.html [no commentary appended]

The top 16 links @avizenilman.bsky.social sent his wife Noreen Malone this year that she did not open, from @maxread.info maxread.substack.com/p/the-read-m...

Elie is awesome and the Givewell story is a huge part of why we built Good Ventures to do leveraged philanthropy at scale.

I was also bored and pulled up the replication package.

The results are quite sensitive in aggregate to needing the controls. Here's the replication of Figure 3, including the case w/o controls:

Remember Nuzzel? A similar news-aggregating tool now exists for Bluesky The creator of Sill says "the death of the link" has had disastrous consequences for journalism, art, and the web. His free social media tool entered public beta on Friday.

Oops, apparently it was Nuzzel (sp). The bad place acquired it and it shut down. Sounds like there’s a competitor on here that I’ll definitely be trying!

www.niemanlab.org/2024/11/reme...

Love this btw. Useful social aggregation is something I really wish there was more of. I particularly miss Nuzzl (did you ever use?).

This is really disappointing from msifry.bsky.social, who I expect better from. Not only is the title ad hominem clickbait, but the substance of the post is simply wrong.

We have to train ourselves to listen to evidence, even if it doesn't say what we want it to.

“We’re going to prevent all mergers” just means the mergers will happen when the other guys are in charge. Hopefully next time Dems will have a more thoughtful approach and facilitate some mergers on terms they find acceptable.

Its her district