Gotta love convective snow in the spring…flakes are about 2” in diameter!

At some point in the relatively near future we’ll ask ourselves how a “frickwad” like Russell Vought was allowed to almost single handedly do so much damage to US science.

December 2025 through February 2026 was the 2nd warmest winter on record for the Contiguous U.S. according to Prism climate data. The widespread record to near record warmth in the west easily outweighed the cool temps in the east. 🔥🔥🔥

The low getting captured by the 500mb low and doing a little loop while bombing out off the Delmarva is chef's kiss. It slows a bit again as it goes by southeastern New England on this run too.

On the 0z RGEM, it’s a prolonged borderline nuisance/moderate impact at 10:1 and a “winter storm!” with Kuchera ratios near Cleveland. The snow through Sunday will fall with marginal surface temps, and a lot of the lift is below the DGZ. So, the ratios may not be this generous along with the QPF.

Looking at Kuchera snow maps is usually more exciting…but those higher ratios can struggle to verify on a widespread scale. Be careful if there’s dry air or weak life in the DGZ, and/or if surface temperatures are marginal. Anyways, I suppose we’re back to winter in the Great Lakes/Northeast…

It’s worth pointing out that these tactics violate the Geneva Conventions

Why is the Trump Administration fighting harder to arrest 5-year-old children than pedophiles in the Epstein files?

Yeah that's all it is, just is cool when the heat/moisture from that is enough to cause a little band of snow to develop that wouldn't otherwise be there.

The hi-res NAM/HRRR have been insistent on a band of “Gulf effect” rain/snow showers pushing into the Tampa/Sarasota area late tonight. The sounding suggests a moist/unstable enough BL for it, and salt particles may help act as ice nuclei despite the inversion right around -12C (bottom of the DGZ).

Little plume of snow coming off the Perry, OH nuclear power plant this morning.

Just insane legislation being drawn up in Kansas (with other red states likely to follow) that seeks to dehumanize an entire group of people.

0z GFS trending towards the rest of the pack for this weekend's winter storm...

Minnesota: "School officials say the [5-year-old] child was used as bait. They say [ICE] agents made little Liam knock on the door to ask to be let in in order to see if anyone else was home."

Respectfully, look at this fucking bullshit that we’re dealing with, not a single person here has “taken the bait.” We have born witness as little kids are used as bait and neighbors are kidnapped on our streets. A mad dipshit is going to invoke the Insurrection Act regardless and you are blaming us

Just a drive by analysis on the end of week/weekend storm...these are not the 500mb trends of a storm that isn't actively trending NW, in more ways than one...
-PV exiting quicker
-Much more amplified northern stream and better phasing
-Both resulting in higher heights ahead of the developing storm

Yes state has obvious jurisdiction here, but yeah I’m curious to see how hard the feds try to protect him from that.

Yes, I think the state of Minnesota could charge him just based off of the videos and eye witness accounts, even if the feds don’t charge him or share their “investigation” with the state.

What a monster

Somehow the video the agent was taking with his cell phone when he shot Renee Good is public, and you have got to be fucking kidding me.

The NAM is not a good model on the balance, but I’d sort of disagree with Mike’s notion that it should be ignored in cases like that one. Have seen more than a few storms over the years where warm air aloft gets much farther north than every model except the NAM suggests and skunks the forecast.

December 5th normals and records for Youngstown Ohio. Normals is 42 and 28 degrees and records of 71 and 9 degrees.

METAR plot of the 251 Zulu December 5th Youngstown observation. Clear skies, calm winds, temperature of 10 degrees F dew point of 8 degrees.

Youngstown, OH may break Friday morning’s record low at midnight. It is 10 degrees at 10 PM. Tomorrow’s record is 9 degrees. Today’s record is 3 degrees.

FLORIDA — Woman in scrubs: “I’m a U.S. citizen! Why are you doing this to me??”

They’re killing people as a twitter joke. It’s depraved. Can’t let yourself lose the capacity to be appalled and disgusted and outraged by this.

European ensemble mean 500 millibar heights and anomalies valid at 360 hours, including above average heights over the north Pacific, Alaska and extending into the Arctic with two closed height contours.

While I'd usually advise against posting 360 hour model images, it's always fun when the ensemble mean has closed 500mb height contours north of the Arctic Circle that far out.

First real tap of arctic air of the season into the Great Lakes Sunday and Monday. The lakes still have plenty of warmth and will be primed to go beneath this cold air, with the airmass cold enough for the ptype to be mainly snow. It'll be a quick shot, but some accumulating lake effect is likely.

The CDO is very large, symmetric, cold and expanding, and the eye remains very sharp and warm. Recon confirms the satellite trends and suggests that Hurricane Melissa is deepening at the moment. This is just unimaginably bad for Jamaica.

Dropsonde from recon in the eye of Hurricane Melissa, showing a surface pressure of 902 millibars and 22 knots of wind...implying a minimum central pressure of 900 millibars.

The latest eye dropsonde (342z) from recon in the eye of Hurricane Melissa splashed down at 902mb with 22kt of wind...suggesting a minimum central pressure of ~900mb. Melissa remains extremely well organized on satellite and recon suggests it is not at all weakening, and may still be intensifying.

The Blue Jays blew the roof off this inning, holy fuck!

Merrill Garland sounds like he could play basketball for the Cleveland Cavaliers