New Policy Brief: 3 recommendations for how the 🇪🇺 can strengthen the 𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐨𝐜𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐜, 𝐬𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐨-𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐜, & 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 of (potential) Candidate Countries against foreign malign influence.
Read here: reunir-horizon.eu/strategic-po...
@horizoneu.bsky.social @gppi.bsky.social @bressansar.bsky.social
Die @gppi.bsky.social & @venro.org Studie zeigt, dass die Bundesregierung die ODA-Quote schönrechnet indem Ausgaben die in keinem Zusammenhang mit der deutschen humanitären Hilfe oder Entwicklungspolitik stehen eingerechnet werden.
So geht unglaubwürdige IZ & EZ @bmz.de @diplo.de
Europe needs to prepare for a future where the US is not a reliable security guarantor, says GPPi's @tbenner.bsky.social.
In an interview with @deutschewelle.dw.com, he argues that the current oil crisis in the Strait of Hormuz is, once again, making this crystal clear.
Watch here 👇
Gründung des neuen AA-Evaluationspanels mit Julia Monar (Leiterin Abt. S), dem Evaluationsteam und MdB Jürgen Hardt (CDU/CSU-Fraktion), Emily Haber (Botschafterin a. D.), Philipp Rotmann (@gppi.bsky.social), Vera Hennefeld (CEVAL), Gunnar Wälzholz (ehem. KFW ). Thema war u.a. Kritik-Kultur im AA.
How can international actors best support democratic mobilization in African cities?
Melissa Li analyzed recent protests in Nairobi and Dakar. Her conclusion: disengagement isn’t neutral, but effective support must be strategic, context-sensitive & risk-aware.
Read more ⬇️
@fesonline.bsky.social
German development policy is facing both rising domestic criticism and budget cuts.
In his latest study, @rotmann.net proposes a new "opportunity-based" model that emphasizes mutual opportunities for the partner country & Germany.
Read it here 👇 (in German)
🎥 REUNIR’s next video features Dr. Tamar Gamkrelidze, Postdoctoral Fellow at the College of Europe Natolin
Foresight methodology provides a new perspective on future geopolitical risks by combining expert qualitative assessments with computer-based quantitative analysis.
@horizoneu.bsky.social
📩Fresh in your inbox: GPPi’s first newsletter of the year!
It focuses on how Europe is navigating a global order marked by intensifying geopolitical competition & shifting alliances.
Read it here: lnkd.in/d8A2EgaR
And if you’re not signed up already, consider doing so here:
lnkd.in/dtpiXSNG
Due to its supply chain dependencies and competition in core German industries, Germany is dangerously close to a massive “China Shock,” argue GPPi’s @tbenner.bsky.social, @jhensing.bsky.social and Florian Klumpp.
What must Germany and Europe do to avoid economic dire straits? Find out here 👇
Montag kommt pünktlich zum Kanzlerbesuch in Peking die neue IP zum Thema "China-Schock" heraus.
Habe mit den GPPi-Kollegen Jakob Hensing und Florian Klumpp gern das Titelstück beigesteuert.
Resilienz entsteht nicht durch Abschottung und dicke Mauern, sondern durch Reaktions- und Anpassungsfähigkeit. Und die beginnt damit, wie wir über Zukunft nachdenken.
Was hat Psychologie mit demokratischer Resilienz und Staatsreform zu tun?
Stress verändert, wie wir denken.
Er verengt unseren Blick, verstärkt den Status-quo-Bias und lässt uns an Routinen festhalten – selbst dann, wenn die Situation das eigentlich nicht mehr erlaubt.
Warum psychologische Ansätze wie Narzissmus helfen können, 🇩🇪🇪🇺 Außenpolitik strategischer zu machen und aus veralteten Denkmustern auszubrechen (plus Top 3 Dos and Dont’s für den Umgang mit den Trump-USA):
🎙️ @sicherheitspod.de #103 ist da. Wir reden über Macht, warum Macht eine neue (alte) Rolle spielt und inwiefern Europa (noch) vergleichsweise machtlos ist. Im zweiten Teil erklärt uns @sofielillistoffel.bsky.social, warum "Narzissmus" eine hilfreiche analytische Linse mit Blick auf die USA bietet.
3️⃣ countries in 72 hours ✈️
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s fast-paced Gulf trip is part of an ambitious push to explore how Germany can diversify its international ties.
@jhensing.bsky.social went on air at @deutschewelle.dw.com's Berlin Briefing to discuss.
📕ICYMI: New Publication on “Localization” in Global Peacebuilding
Following a year of major donors retreating, the field of international peacebuilding is trying to accomplish more with fewer funds.
🔎 How is this affecting local peacebuilding? 👇(in German)
My op-ed on Europe’s failure to better support Ukraine ahead of a devastating winter is now available in English.
gppi.net/2026/02/04/a...
What needs to happen now:
1️⃣ Close energy security financing gaps and build reserves of critical components and spare parts (e.g., transformers).
1/3
Mein Beitrag in der @fr-zeitung.bsky.social zur Flugabwehrkrise der Ukraine.
TL;DR: Europa könnte mehr tun!
Ganzer Text: www.fr.de/meinung/gast...
🆕 ENSURED Blog!
Trump’s renewed withdrawals from international institutions echo Trump 1.0. A new ENSURED blog by @heinkelmann-wild.bsky.social distils 3 lessons for defending IOs.
🔑 takeaway: Western powers & the EU must preserve the rules-based order!
📝: www.ensuredeurope.eu/blog/three-l...
Scenario Booklet is Out!
📚Foreign Malign Influence in the WB & EU’s Eastern Neighbourhood – 6 Scenarios for 2035 @gppi.bsky.social
The scenarios build on expert surveys about critical uncertainties & underrated future threats
🌐Read here reunir-horizon.eu/foreign-mali...
@horizoneu.bsky.social
⬇️ Following up with our scenario booklet, we are happy to share our next publication:
📚 𝐀𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐅𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐮𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐄𝐔 𝐂𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐢𝐞𝐬
🌐 Read here reunir-horizon.eu/d7-1-anticip...
@horizoneu.bsky.social @gppi.bsky.social @bressansar.bsky.social
#REUNIR #Foresight #EU
Berlin - see you there!
🚨Happening Now
Future-Proofing EU Enlargement Against Foreign Malign Influence in the Western Balkans, Ukraine, Georgia&Moldova
This panel examines different approaches to hybrid threats & malign influences among candidate countries @gppi.bsky.social @bressansar.bsky.social @horizoneu.bsky.social
Yesterday, we held a great discussion on future-proofing EU enlargement against foreign malign influence in the Western Balkans, 🇺🇦 & 🇲🇩. Many thanks to our partner @gppi.bsky.social and to the panel with @milanninberlin.bsky.social, former PM Gavrilita, the Foreign Office, Lura Pollozhani & ... /1
Save the date: Ahead of #MSC2026 we want to discuss the future of German security policy and its peace, development + humanitarian interlinkages w Sarah Bressan GPPi & Flotilla Admiral Christian Bock Verteidigungsministerium [10 Feb; German+autosubtitles]. Register here: https://ow.ly/qcAl50Y0CJY
🚨REUNIR event: Future-Proofing EU Enlargement Against Foreign Malign Influence
🙌Join us for a panel discussion (co-organized with DGAP) to learn more about EU enlargement, foreign threats, and future-proofing EU policies.
📅 29 January
⏲️ 18.30-20.00
📍DGAP, Rauchstr. 17, 10787 Berlin
Registration👇
A marina and waterfront scene with yachts in the foreground and high-rise buildings in the background, suggesting a global financial hub. Oxford Martin School and University of Oxford logos appear at the top. Overlaid text states that Africa’s offshore ties to Asia are growing but remain largely unexamined, and summarises new Oxford research finding that African offshore finance is increasingly routed through Asian financial centres such as Dubai, Singapore and Hong Kong, creating blind spots for regulators, researchers and policymakers.
Africa’s offshore finance is shifting east — but what does that mean?
New Oxford research links Africa’s offshore ties with Dubai, Singapore & Hong Kong as part of a single structural shift, with implications that remain largely unexamined. Published with @gppi.bsky.social
🔗 tinyurl.com/4zfwtv3x
🚨Exciting opportunity!🚨
Our Critical and Emerging Technologies team is looking for an intern!
Tasks: Support with conducting research & prep for events
Preferred starting date: 1 February, for a period of 2–3 months
Compensation: €800 for full-time internships
More info & how to apply here 👇
den ganzen Artikel gibt es jetzt hier zum download @gppi.bsky.social:
