and earlier, we did a full nerding out model talk episode going deeper on Goodman's new possession value metric and trying to work through exactly what "possession value" means when people are talking about new player value statistics and why it needs some rethinking www.patreon.com/posts/model-...
for subscribers we previewed the quarterfinals with a focus on PSG - Liverpool and Real Madrid - Bayern, and walk through some... mild disagreement on our expectations for PSG and Bayern www.patreon.com/posts/champi...
new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
more Champions League coverage, first our review of a set of second legs that didn't teach us all that much but also didn't teach us that something is wrong with the Premier League: www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
Been traveling and catching up on pods and was excited to hear @michaelcaley.bsky.social give me a shout out in the @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social pod below for inspiring the term sweeping the soccer/football world - meat wall.
Truly a contribution for the ages.
new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
Title! Race! Drama!
Arsenal! Bottling?!
and our boring analytics takes that sometimes the ball bounces one way, and sometimes the ball bounces the other way www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
for @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social subscribers we did also cover, yknow, the big football news
Thomas Frank sacked by Spurs, where did this go wrong, how much was this all baked in to much larger dysfunctions at Tottenham, and what will it take to dig the club out? www.patreon.com/posts/frank-...
big new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social on Biathlon!
it's my favorite winter games sport and we found the perfect guests, RJ and Jordan from the @penaltyloop.bsky.social podcast to get us the expert's view of the sport
cannot wait for tomorrow's race, I'm ready www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
also!
tune in to the latest @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social for the full inside scoop on the insane petty larceny scandal that has split the (dominant!) French biathlon team in two right before the Olympics
very excited to share the latest @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social
hell yeah we're doing Biathlon Analytics
we are joined by RJ and Jordan of the @penaltyloop.bsky.social podcast to teach us all how to watch biathlon like an expert
this was so much fun
open.spotify.com/episode/1Jj6...
new subscriber @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
Thomas Frank sacked
we talk about how many things had to go wrong to get to this point, what we've learned about Thomas Frank, and what Spurs need to do to get out of this hole now www.patreon.com/posts/frank-...
but that wasn't enough Scenarios! for me, so I brought on @skandaamarnath.bsky.social, who has built a matchday eight projection spreadsheet, to walk through all the scenarios, including Round of 16 implications, for subscribers: www.patreon.com/posts/scenar...
two @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social episodes for you before the big Champions League kickoffs
first, Mike and I talk about the broader economic context of this Champions League and the era of Premier League dominance, and then we get into the fixtures: open.spotify.com/episode/78R7...
new subscriber @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
talking through all the Champions League Matchday Eight ~~Scenarios~~ with @skandaamarnath.bsky.social and his projection spreadsheet www.patreon.com/posts/scenar...
if you have a child wondering why they have to learn boring elementary school math and how to multiply fractions, tell them, what if you become a soccer analytics podcaster and you have to come up with in the moment the improvement in your odds if you don't have to play a 75% EV game, you'll need it
new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
talking about the Deloitte Money League and the Champions League League Phase and the financial dominance of the Premier League and the wild upcoming drama of the final day www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
many people are saying
new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
Xabi Alonso sacked. we take a little victory lap on our Real Madrid predicting skills and discuss how a manager who had the team playing at such a high level so quickly could already be out the door (it's pretty funny tbh) www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
Christmas Eve power rankings
not meaning like power rankings related to Christmas Eve
actual European soccer power rankings on Christmas Eve open.substack.com/pub/expectin...
see also our discussion on @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social this week open.spotify.com/episode/4Rk9...
check out the latest pod on the biggest analytics/tactics story of the season: open.spotify.com/episode/4O7g...
@doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social blowing my mind that Gyokeres is 7th in non pen xG per 90 amongst all players who have played 50% of the teams minutes
We are so back
here's a chart for one of the stats -- the set piece moment in the PL happened incredibly fast, and the only season in the database even close to 25-26 PL in set piece goals was the 2010-11 PL
new @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social
are set pieces breaking the Premier League? www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episo...
In typical @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social fashion I started off saying I had pretty much nothing to say about Antoine Semenyo except “he’s fine” and then talked for half an hour about him.
and our free episode this week on the Turkish football gambling scandal(s) and the increasing, worldwide challenges to sporting integrity: open.spotify.com/episode/261b...
new subscriber @doublepivotpodcast.bsky.social !
we talk about Antoine Semenyo and his newly-reported release clause and what's making analytics types skeptical of Semenyo now www.patreon.com/posts/antoin...
We live! bsky.app/profile/mich...
I think there were at least four times on our most recent podcast (dropping this week) where @michaelcaley.bsky.social just gave up and let me rant for ten minutes before gently trying to get us back on track.
